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4月16日,HTFX外汇表示,随着市场逐渐消化特朗普关税政策的影响,各大机构纷纷下调了对石油需求和价格的预期。尽管如此,全球石油市场仍在努力寻找新的平衡点。

  近期,石油市场经历了显著的波动。国际能源署(IEA)和欧佩克(OPEC)均下调了2025年的石油需求预期,其中IEA削减了30万桶/日的预期,而OPEC的调整幅度稍小。高盛、瑞银、汇丰和法国巴黎银行等金融机构也纷纷下调了对布伦特原油和WTI原油的价格预期,目前布伦特原油和WTI原油的价格分别约为每桶65美元和61.5美元。

  HTFX外汇认为地缘政治因素也在石油市场中扮演着重要角色。例如,伊朗和美国在阿曼就核问题进行了“建设性”的谈判,双方同意在下周继续进行下一轮谈判。此外,委内瑞拉因美国对伊朗的制裁,要求雪佛龙公司归还两批原油货物,并取消了其未来的原油装载计划。在能源转型方面,国际能源署预测2025年欧洲的液化天然气(LNG)进口量将增加25%,相当于330亿立方米。这一增长主要是由于欧洲需要补充库存,且无法再依赖俄罗斯的管道天然气。

  尽管市场面临诸多不确定性,但HTFX外汇认为,投资者应密切关注全球贸易局势的发展以及主要产油国的政策变化。在当前市场环境下,投资者可以考虑多元化投资组合,以降低风险并捕捉市场机会。

  HTFX外汇提醒投资者,尽管市场波动可能会持续一段时间,但通过密切关注市场动态和政策变化,投资者可以更好地应对市场波动,实现投资目标。

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