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【报告导读】

1. 24年公司业绩逐季增长,25Q1大幅扭亏为盈。

2. 24年鸡肉销量增长近15%,自研品种性能明显提升。

3. 24年肉制品量价齐升,C端保持良好增长态势。

4. 24年肉制品量价齐升,C端保持良好增长态势。

核心观点

事件:公司发布2024年年度报告。24年公司营收185.86亿元,同比+0.53%;归母净利润为7.24亿元,同比+9.03%;扣非后归母净利润为6.91亿元,同比+3.58%。其中24Q4公司营收48.23亿元,同比+5.78%;归母净利润3.42亿元,同比扭亏为盈(23Q4为-0.75亿元);扣非后归母净利润为3.23亿元,同比扭亏为盈(23Q4为-0.47亿元)。分红预案:每10股派发现金红利2元(含税)。

24年公司业绩逐季增长,25Q1大幅扭亏为盈。24年公司收入&盈利稳增长的主要原因是公司在产品端和渠道端均实现高质量增长,保持稳定的行业竞争优势。24年公司综合毛利率11.12%,同比+0.56pct;期间费用率为6.84%,同比+0.8pct。其中24Q4公司综合毛利率13.44%,同比+6.06pct;期间费用率为6.43%,同比-0.89pct。根据公司2025年一季度业绩预告,25Q1公司归母净利润预计1.3-1.6亿元,同比大幅扭亏为盈(24Q1为-0.62亿元),在行业鸡肉价格同比下滑的背景下,实现逆势突破。

24年鸡肉销量增长近15%,自研品种性能明显提升。24年公司鸡肉销量140.27万吨,同比+14.72%,主要得益于公司深挖产能潜力等带来产销量的增长,24年公司肉鸡养殖产能接近8亿羽,未来将主要以并购方式提升至10亿羽;鸡肉销售收入103.56亿元,同比小幅下降1.53%,主要原因为鸡肉制品售价的下降,估算销售均价为7383元/吨,同比-14.16%;毛利率为5.7%,同比-0.62pct,保持行业领先且稳定的盈利水平。2018年以来公司综合造肉成本保持下行态势,24年在饲料原料价格同比大幅下降的驱动下,估算公司鸡肉单位成本为6962元/吨,同比-13.6%。此外,受公司精细化管理及配套激励措施的影响,公司种鸡潜能和肉鸡生产性能得到明显提升。23年底推出的圣泽901Plus品种料肉比较原圣泽901品种显著改善,产蛋率、生长速度、抗病性等指标均达到国际领先水平,24年外销量接近500余万套,同比增长超30%,市场认可度不断提升中。公司加快圣泽901Plus品种的全面替换进程,为未来养殖成本的进一步下降提供了有力保障。

24年肉制品量价齐升,C端保持良好增长态势。公司已建及在建食品深加工产能已超50万吨。24年公司深加工肉制品销量31.69万吨,同比+6.32%;实现收入70.1亿元,同比+9.63%;估算销售均价为22120元/吨,同比+3.11%;毛利率为19.61%,同比-0.22pct。分渠道来看,B端方面,公司在国内向腰部及长尾客户渗透,进一步扩大市场份额;在国外成功开拓多个新市场,24年实现出口增速17.29%。C端方面,公司紧抓零售行业结构性升级机遇,持续覆盖会员店、零食店、内容电商等高增长渠道,实现零售端线上线下双轮驱动,24年C端业务收入同比+23.4%,25Q1C端收入同比增长超30%。

投资建议

公司为白羽肉鸡养殖全产业链企业,具备一体化优势,并持续推进熟食+生食双曲线同步发展的战略,行业竞争优势更显著,行业周期将进一步被平滑。我们持续看好其中长期成长性。

风险提示

动物疫情的风险;原材料价格波动的风险;食品安全的风险;鸡价波动的风险等。

如需获取报告全文,请联系您的客户经理,谢谢!

本文摘自:中国银河证券2025年4月15日发布的研究报告《【银河农业谢芝优】公司点评报告_圣农发展(002299.SZ):24年业绩逐季增长,25Q1逆势突破》

分析师:谢芝优

研究助理:陆思源

评级体系:

评级标准为报告发布日后的6到12个月行业指数(或公司股价)相对市场表现,其中:A股市场以沪深300指数为基准,新三板市场以三板成指(针对协议转让标的)或三板做市指数(针对做市转让标的)为基准,北交所市场以北证50指数为基准,香港市场以恒生指数为基准。

行业评级

推荐:相对基准指数涨幅10%以上。

中性:相对基准指数涨幅在-5%~10%之间。

回避:相对基准指数跌幅5%以上。

公司评级

推荐:相对基准指数涨幅20%以上。

谨慎推荐:相对基准指数涨幅在5%~20%之间。

中性:相对基准指数涨幅在-5%~5%之间。

回避:相对基准指数跌幅5%以上。

法律申明:

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本订阅号不是银河证券研究报告的发布平台,本订阅号所载内容均来自于银河证券研究院已正式发布的研究报告,本订阅号所摘录的研究报告内容经相关流程及微信信息发布审核等环节后在本订阅号内转载,本订阅号不承诺在第一时间转载相关内容,如需了解详细、完整的证券研究信息,请参见银河证券研究院发布的完整报告,任何研究观点以银河证券发布的完整报告为准。

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