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特别声明

特别声明《证券期货投资者适当性管理办法》、《证券经营机构投资者适当性管理实施指引(试行)》于2017年7月1日起正式实施。通过新媒体形式制作的本公众号推送信息仅面向西部证券的专业投资者。若您并非西部证券的专业投资者。请取消关注本公众号,不再订阅、接收或使用本公众号中的任何推送信息。因本公众号受限于访问权限的设置,若给您造成不便,烦请谅解!感谢您给予的理解与配合。

       事件       

公司发布2024年度报告。24年公司实现营业收入351.4亿元,同比增长9.6%;归母净利润36.2亿元,同比增长10.1%;扣非归母净利润35.3亿元,同比增长11.4%。全年公司毛利率为20.8%,净利率为10.3%。

       核心结论       

· 受益端侧AI浪潮,PCB业务多点开花,协同增长。

收入层面,公司“云、管、端”AI全链布局卓有成效。24年主要增量,1)消费电子及计算机用板业务营收97.54亿元,同比+22.3%,其中AI端侧类产品占比超45%;2)汽车\服务器用板营收10.3亿元,同比+90.3%。年内,AI服务器销售收入高增,智能汽车领域雷达运算板、域控制板、汽车雷达高频领域产品实现量产出货。利润层面,公司利润稳健,24年毛利率略下滑,主要系产品成本结构变化所致。

· 经营情况优化,积极进行产能扩张。

截至24年底,公司净现金达100亿元,应收账款周转天数为62天,同比减少9天、存货周期天数为42天,同比减少5天,整体保持在行业较好水平。24年,公司淮安三园区高阶HDI及SLP项目一期工程已顺利投产,二期工程正在建设中;高雄园区高端软板产能也建设完毕在小批量试产。预计泰国园区建设项目于25年5月建成,下半年有望小批量投产。公司25年规划资本开支50亿元,较24年增长75.8%,充分彰显发展信心。

· 深化布局AI端侧PCB,公司未来成长动力充足。

1)消费电子方面,公司作为PCB龙头,有望充分受益于苹果本轮端侧AI及折叠屏创新。一方面Appleintelligence对硬件要求升级,有望拉动FPC及SLP整体价值量提升。另一方面,折叠屏手机对FPC的用量及形态均有更高要求,相比直板机有望量价齐升。2)AI服务器方面,公司目前已成为AMD等核心客户供应商,服务器主力量产产品板层已升级至16~20L以上。公司泰国园区主要定位AI服务器,预计2025年下半年认证打样,持续打开公司未来成长空间。3)车用PCB方面,公司通过国际Tier1车厂认证,积极把握智能驾驶带来的业务机会。

       投资建议       

公司是PCB行业龙头企业,积极扩展AI服务器/汽车业务,成长动力充足。我们预计鹏鼎控股2025-2027年营收分别为400.53、457.18、520.07亿元,归母净利润分别为44.23、50.87、57.51亿元。我们持续看好公司未来业务拓展以及业绩增长,维持“买入”评级。

       风险提示       

下游需求不及预期,端侧AI发展不及预期,宏观经济不及预期

       西部证券—投资评级说明       

       分析师声明       

       免责声明       

       研究报告来源       

证券研究报告:《鹏鼎控股2024年年报点评--深度把握端侧AI浪潮,产能扩张节奏加快》

对外发布时间:2025年4月16日

对外发布机构:西部证券研究发展中心

参与人员信息:

分析师:郑宏达 

执业编号:S0800524020001

邮箱:zhenghongda@research.xbmail.com.cn

分析师:卢宇程

执业编号:S0800525040002

邮箱:luyucheng@research.xbmail.com.cn

联系人:徐乙苒

邮箱:xuyiran@research.xbmail.com.cn

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