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玫瑰1V1H江听-揭示新时代下的经济发展新机遇与挑战
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华致酒行2024年净利降超八成。

4月17日晚间,华致酒行披露年报。2024年,营业收入约94.64亿元,同比减少6.49%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润约4444.59万元,同比大降81.11%;拟每10股派发现金红利0.93元(含税)。

分季度来看,去年Q4华致酒行实现营收16.33亿元,同比下滑12.62%,归母净利润-1.23亿元,由盈转亏。Q4单季度毛利率为4.14%,创上市以来最低纪录。

分产品来看,去年华致酒行白酒、葡萄酒、进口烈性酒分别实现营收87.6亿元、4.2亿元和0.8亿元,同比变化-6.77%、-13.68%和-43.75%。其中,公司白酒毛利率为7.33%,同比下降约2个百分点。

对于业绩下降,华致酒行表示,报告期内,酒类行业面临周期性调整,主销名酒市场价格呈下降趋势,公司毛利率因此降低,收入也略有下滑,同时公司基于谨慎性原则对部分存货计提了存货跌价准备,导致净利润同比减少。

华致酒行主营茅台、五粮液等名酒。而去年茅台酒价格一度跳水,市场价由2900元/瓶,一度跌破2000元/瓶,目前则回升至2100元/瓶左右。这使得华致酒行这类酒类流通商面临存货减值的要求。年报显示,截至去年末,华致酒行的存货跌价准备为6083.73万元,同比增长超过110%。

在酒类市场低迷情况下,去年华致酒行也加大力度清理积压库存。财报显示,截至去年末,公司的存货价值约32.59亿元,较去年初略有下滑。其中白酒的库存量同比下滑了约11%,但葡萄酒的库存量反而同比增长了约20%。

公开资料显示,华致酒行是一家精品酒水营销和服务商,依托全国的酒类流通全渠道营销网络体系,以及与上游酒类生产企业长期的合作关系,开发及遴选契合市场需求的产品,持续为客户和消费者提供白酒、进口葡萄酒和烈性酒等国内外优质中高端酒类产品和多元化的服务。

华致酒行年报介绍,酒类产品流通领域竞争较为充分,市场参与者众多,占市场较大份额的大型龙头企业较少,公司面临着来自市场不同主体的竞争。随着居民酒类消费升级,新型销售业态如电子商务兴起,促使传统酒类分销商逐渐启动业务转型,零售终端呈现出多元化的趋势,公司面临的市场竞争将进一步加剧。

对于2025年,华致酒行称,将加速数智化营销,积极发展零售渠道,实现对用户消费全场景需求下的个性化、精准化、快捷化响应。

4月18日,华致酒行股价开盘下跌。

4月18日,不出意外的话,出现了意外。本周五因为耶稣受难日所以美盘休市,这也注定了今天的交易会比较清淡,亚盘的反弹力度则取决于大家认为当前的回落是否已经到位了,周初黄金开盘价格冲高到了3250附近,紧接着周一回落地位3195附近,周二开始探底回升,径直冲击到了高位3300破位,直到隔夜周四3358附近才停止冲高,开始走出回落;回落幅度也相当大,低位能够触及到了3290附近,还是讲明立场,这并不是趋势逆转,只是上涨速度太快出现了一定的抛售,加上耶稣受难日美盘停盘,周末还有谈判那么出现抛售是正常可以接受的,可是谁也无法阻挡国际局势的进程,因为美国它一直是那个美国;中东第二阶段已经快要开启了,黄金的起飞阶段还在后半段;所以黄金继续看涨不变。

  为什么说中东第二阶段要开始了,因为俄罗斯和东大都开始和埃及军演了,而且东大五架运20飞过去应该装了不少装备,为什么核心点在中东,因为川普上台后的第一个动作就是放弃乌克兰,那么剩下的战端就只剩下中东以色列和内塔尼亚胡这一个选项了。俄罗斯已经给全球立了一个案板,那么接下来就只需要等待川普下台进入中东绞肉战场了。技术形态上来看当前冲高以后出现了技术性回调,换句话来讲也需要消息面明确出来,无论周末美国和伊朗的谈判如何,都影响不了当前国际局势的进程,凯枫仍旧认为技术形态大家可以参考,可是核心仍旧是要抓住国际局势来看,不能单看技术形态了,技术形态日线级别和四小时级别上早已经出现了顶背离,可是MACD上的金叉运行状态仍旧良好,消息面的冲击太过于强势,几乎没有很强大的回踩空间。另外还是需要提一句,川普可能会服软,如果川普服软那么所建立的逻辑则会往回走,黄金也会开始趋势逆转,我们暂时性持有低位看看具体情况,任何情况下都会发生意外,所以我们不得不考虑新的可能性。

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