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  2025年4月15日晚间,牧原股份(002714.SZ)发布公告称,拟发行境外上市外资股(H股)并在香港联交所主板挂牌上市,成为继A股上市后资本市场布局的又一重要举措。此次H股发行规模预计不超过总股本的8%(超额配售权行使前),并可能额外增发15%的股份,募集资金将用于推进国际化战略、研发创新及公司运营等领域。公司表示将结合市场环境及监管审批进展择机推进,上市计划需获股东大会及境内外监管部门批准,最终实施仍存不确定性。 

  业绩强劲复苏:成本优化与量价齐升 

  这一资本运作背后,是牧原股份2024年经营业绩的全面回暖。财报显示,公司全年实现营业收入1379.47亿元,同比增长24.43%;归母净利润达178.81亿元,较上年亏损41.68亿元实现扭亏为盈,增幅高达519.42%。这一逆转得益于生猪出栏量增至7160.2万头、销售均价同比上涨12.7%至16.30元/公斤,叠加养殖成本从15.8元/公斤降至13元/公斤的成本控制成效。值得注意的是,公司生猪毛利率从2023年的2.92%跃升至19.21%,推动整体毛利率提升至19.05%。 

  现金流与财务结构双重改善 

  牧原股份的财务健康度显著提升,2024年经营活动现金流净额同比激增279.50%至375.43亿元,创历史新高,资产负债率下降3.43个百分点至58.68%。这一优化得益于固定资产折旧(141.61亿元)首超资本开支(123.81亿元),标志着公司从高速扩张转向现金流收获期。管理层表示,2025年资本开支将进一步压缩至90亿元,聚焦高质量发展。 

  H股上市:国际化战略的关键跳板 

  此次赴港上市被视为牧原股份国际化战略的核心一环。2024年,公司已与越南BAF公司达成合作,输出养猪技术及管理方案,并在东南亚市场积累经验。H股平台不仅可拓宽融资渠道,更利于对接国际资本,强化全球资源整合能力。盘古智库研究员余丰慧指出,此举既能响应国家支持香港金融中心的政策导向,也可通过技术输出提升国际竞争力。 

  行业周期与风险提示 

  尽管牧原股份展现出强劲复苏势头,但生猪养殖行业的周期性波动仍是潜在风险。2024年行业供需关系改善带动价格回升,但未来若产能再度过剩可能导致盈利承压。此外,H股发行仍需通过境内外多重监管审批,地缘政治及汇率波动也可能影响募资进程。 

  作为国内生猪养殖龙头,牧原股份此次资本布局与业绩回升形成共振,若H股成功落地,其“A+H”双平台架构将为企业全球化注入新动能,也为投资者观察农业龙头转型升级提供重要样本。

  (注:本文结合AI工具生成,不构成投资建议。市场有风险,投资需谨慎。)

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