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  兰州4月22日电(记者冯志军)“茶饮、煲汤、冲泡饮,这是传统中药材祛病除疾的‘新发现’。”随着健康理念日益普及,具有“药食兼用”功效的甘肃中药材近年持续走俏海外市场。继去年甘肃中药材对外贸易出口值增长逾五成的基础上,今年一季度,该省中药材出口值同比增长逾两成。

  记者22日从兰州海关获悉,在中医药振兴发展工程全面实施的大背景下,兰州海关立足甘肃中药材产业链发展优势,支持培育甘肃中药材产业发展新质生产力,抢抓“本草”经济发展新机遇。据统计,今年一季度,甘肃中药材出口值达2216万元人民币,同比增长24.8%。

  郑州4月22日电由中原出版传媒集团、作家出版社主办的长篇小说《天下良田》新书首发式暨座谈会日前在郑州举行。来自文学界、出版界及农业领域的40余名嘉宾共同见证了这部作品的正式亮相,并就《天下良田》的时代意义、文学价值以及如何讲好乡村振兴故事进行了深入探讨。

  《天下良田》作为“新时代山乡巨变创作计划”的重要成果,由作家出版社与河南文艺出版社联合出版,周口市文联副主席、周口市作协主席柳岸历时多年创作,以豫东平原的高标准农田建设为切口,通过基层干部群像的生动刻画,全景式展现中原农村十年间从传统农业向现代化转型的史诗性变革。

  作家出版社社长鲍坚介绍,《天下良田》是柳岸从高标准农田建设项目实施亲历者的视角,肩负记录时代进步的责任感和荣誉感,历时三年精心打磨奉献的一部优秀作品,用细腻的笔触描绘了农村生活的点点滴滴,用鲜活的人物形象展现了农民的喜怒哀乐,用真挚的感情表达了对农村未来发展的美好祝愿。

  发言环节,作家、鲁迅文学奖得主刘庆邦表示,《天下良田》很好地处理了实和虚的关系、软(情感)和硬(主题)的关系、主要人物和人物群像的关系、普通语言和地方方言的关系,是柳岸的集大成的作品。

  在中国社会科学院文学研究所研究员、中国当代文学研究会副会长陈福民看来,柳岸有丰富的基层工作的经验,有丰厚的积累、观察,柳岸以及她所创作的《天下良田》的生命力和现实性是一个特别真实的存在,是近年来中国农村题材、乡土题材中很重要的一部作品。

  郑州大学文学院教授、河南省评论家协会理事刘宏志认为,《天下良田》切入的角度非常有特点、有新意,非常好地呈现出了复杂、多元的现实中的中国农村的发展过程,很大程度上讲出了一个中国特色的中国故事,它不是脱离生活的高调理想主义的表达,而是在生活现实的泥泞、纠缠中,实实在在写出了当下中国农村的发展。(完)

  文/赵斌

  纽约黄金期货价格今日再度上演“心跳时刻”,截至北京时间4月21日18时,金价盘中冲破3400美元/盎司,较月初已涨逾8%,这还是在上月纽约金涨幅超过10%的基础上。

  这场席卷全球的黄金热背后,各方观点分歧加剧:多家知名国际金融机构看多黄金,大幅上调目标价格;也有经济学家发出预警:当前金价或已站上“悬崖边缘”,支撑与风险正在激烈博弈。

  黄金的“飞天”密码

  汇源信息研究院副院长赵庆明在接受中新社国是直通车采访时直指这波行情的核心驱动力:首当其冲是黄金美元“跷跷板”压出了黄金弹性。

  “美元指数跌破99点成为关键诱因”,赵庆明通过历史数据分析称,金价涨幅通常是美元跌幅的2—3倍。随着美联储加息周期落幕,美元吸引力下降,黄金作为传统避险资产的价值愈发凸显。

  另外,地缘冲突的“双引擎”正在轰鸣,俄乌战场的硝烟与巴以冲突的火星形成双重风险支撑。

  赵庆明警告:“当前或已处于临界状态,任何化解迹象都将削弱金价支撑。”

  贸易战阴霾笼罩全球,美国政府挥舞的关税大棒,让世界贸易体系伤痕累累。这种不确定性被视作持续推高避险情绪的核心变量。

  上海黄金交易所也在21日发布公告称,近期贵金属价格波动剧烈,请各会员增强风险防范意识,继续做好风险应急预案,维护市场平稳运行。同时,提示投资者做好风险防范工作,合理控制仓位,理性投资。

  多家国际机构认为,黄金价格或仍有上行空间,投资者对避险资产的配置意愿持续增强。在高盛的乐观情景假设下,若美国经济陷入衰退,黄金ETF的资金流入或将进一步提速。

  据了解,近期全球央行频频出手增持黄金,也导致黄金赛道“拥挤效应”进一步加剧。

  工信部信息通信经济专家委员会委员盘和林指出:“美元和美债因关税战风险遭抛售,黄金成为投资者唯一避险选择。”这种拥挤交易推动金价形成自我强化循环。

  风险暗藏

  在这波金价上涨中获利颇丰的投资者举杯相庆之际,有经济学家警告风险。

  赵庆明指出黄金价格潜在的暴跌诱因。

  首先是政策转向的风险。若美国政府展现关税政策纠偏诚意,金价可能迎来趋势性转折。尤其是6月G7峰会前的政策信号,若中美达成实质性贸易协议,黄金的避险光环将迅速褪色。

  其次是地缘风险“解压阀”将随时开启。俄乌和巴以冲突若出现具有公信力的停火协议,可能触发黄金多头集中平仓。这类事件往往引发金价单日超过50美元的跌幅。

  届时,投资者止损潮或将引起黄金价格下跌的多米诺骨牌效应。

  市场普遍建议设置动态止损线,当金价单日回调超2%时,可能引发程序化交易止损与散户恐慌抛售的叠加效应。

  盘和林也认为,黄金价格上涨趋势“保质期”取决于风险解除进度。黄金上涨趋势将持续到美元和美债风险解除,而解除风险需要先结束关税战。若全球经济稳定因素逐步显现,黄金需求可能遭遇断崖式下跌。

  综合来看,金价大跌需满足两大条件:

  一、估值泡沫破裂。当金价明显偏离全球货币定价水平时,机构投资者将率先调仓;

  二、风险事件消退。若地缘政治冲突缓和且贸易战熄火,黄金将失去核心支撑。

  “普通投资者应避免将黄金异化为投机工具”,赵庆明警示道,配置黄金资产需注意,是对冲而非投机。建议将黄金资产控制在总资产的15%以内,并关注信号组合,同时盯紧美元/美债收益率利差、VIX恐慌指数和中美PMI数据,设置动态止盈。 新闻结尾 宋晓薛 双龙齐入菊 - 畅享无限精彩影视,尽情追剧娱乐无极限!的相关文章
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