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来源:@财联社APP微博

财联社4月16日讯(记者王晨林坚)当全球市场风声鹤唳,中国散户不仅没有恐慌抛售,反而看到投资机会,以“越跌越买”的姿态逆势入场。

上述结论,不仅来自财联社的一线调研,也有包括实际市场数据的支撑,还有包括对交易所的监管调研。

财联社调查显示,上周市场急跌期间,散户开户不减反增,互联网渠道成主力军,且与机构前期的抛出不同,散户为主的小单资金上周单周净流入超2470亿元,对冲了机构资金流出。

券商的研究数据也对结论支撑,以小单(挂单额小于4万)衡量的A股散户资金净流入规模重回高位。4月7日至11日一周净流入2285.8亿元,较前值增加1191.6亿元,处于过去五年97%分位。

杠杆资金在动荡市场中也呈现稳定性,两融开户量稳中有升,两融业务参与交易的投资者数量创阶段新高,融资余额守稳1.8万亿大关。

一直被打着“追涨杀跌”标签的散户投资者,在市场这一波震荡中,展现的是“聪明投资者”的本色,也是对这一轮国家稳市护盘的信心体现。

不可否认的是,很多机构有控制仓位以应对市场调整的需求,卖出无可厚非,但与此同时,也展现了一般投资者的投资定力。

散户开户踊跃,呈现四大分化点

记者上述结论的得出,来自券商的信息反馈,也有一线调查,也包括监管数据。与经纪一线业务人员深入交流后发现,尽管市场动荡,但在系列稳市举措之下,市场反而敏锐感受到了投资机会,并引发一波开户热潮。

有营业部员工向记者称,“市场下跌最快的周一和周二,我们一方面忙于两融追保,通知客户两融平仓风险,关注账户维保比例并及时补足保证金,这是市场急跌后的正常应对举措;另一方面则忙着接待前来开户的客户。令人意外的是,此次下跌行情中开户情况不仅没有减少,甚至还有客户咨询买什么ETF抄底最合适。”

“最近来开户的没有减少,很多投资者看准波动调整下的投资机会,选择抓紧入场”,也有营业部财富顾问向记者透露。还有券商柜台人员提到,近几日新开户审核量并未减少,和过去一两个月上涨行情时期基本持平。

记者就此情况,还采访了多家券商总部经纪业务相关人士,同样拿到了本轮行情下投资者开户整体稳中有进的结论,但同时也体现出四点变化:

一是券商之间出现分化:记者广泛调研了大中小券商发现,渠道完善,尤其是已布局互联网渠道,同时品牌效应强的券商在本轮极端行情中开户增长明显。“上周投资者开户确实有所增长,这很出乎意料。”上海某综合型券商向记者透露。

机会总是留给有准备的人。一些区域性中小券商,以及依赖传统线下渠道的券商则未有明显增长。有区域性券商的反馈是,开户情况一般,甚至还出现了下降情况。一位中小券商相关负责人称:“我们的互联网渠道不行,不仅没有吃到9·24红利,也错失了当下可能的机会。”

二是渠道之间分化:从开户渠道来看,互联网渠道成为主力军。开户显著增长的券商谈到,新增开户大多来自互联网途径,并且以年轻群体为主。线上平台的便捷性、信息的及时性以及丰富的投资工具展示,有效吸引了年轻投资者。

与之相比,传统线下开户渠道的吸引力持续下降,不仅开户流程相对繁琐,而且在信息传播和客户互动方面也难以与互联网渠道抗衡。“传统线下渠道很难了。”不仅是少数从业者的反馈,这也成为行业共识。

三是地域之间分化:地域上,投资者的开户热情存在明显差异。上海、深圳等经济发达且金融资源丰富的地区,投资者开户积极性高涨,开户更热情。这些地区的投资者对市场变化更为敏感,具备较强的金融投资意识,能够迅速把握市场调整带来的投资机会。

在调研过程中,记者发现,上海、深圳地区的券商一线从业人员给出了更为积极的反馈,即:上周在极端行情下,散户开户更踊跃、入金更积极。

相对而言,部分经济发展水平较低、金融市场活跃度不高的地区,开户人数增长较为平缓,甚至出现了下降的趋势。

四是开户群体分化:年轻群体成为开户的新生力量,他们借助互联网便捷地获取金融信息,对新的投资理念和工具接受度高,积极寻找投资机会。在过去一周震荡行情中开户数量增长的券商透露,确实是年轻群体开户更为积极。

华创策略研究数据显示,此前一周(4/5-4/11),作为散户主要入场渠道的同花顺累计下载量达15.7万次,较前值增加8.0万次;东方财富下载量5.5万次,较前值增加2.6万次。这进一步印证了互联网渠道的火热以及年轻群体的积极入场。当然,不可否认的是,60、70甚至80后群体,对股市投资有需求的,早已开户入市。

小单资金逆流而上,散户也成股市“稳定器”

当机构资金因避险情绪流出时,散户资金却以“小单撬动大市”的姿态逆势而动,也能成为股市的“稳定器”。

一组数据让这一说法更有说服力。

Choice数据显示,A股上周(4月7日至11日)小单资金净流入2470.73亿元,而大单资金净流出1455.87亿元,超大单净流出913.1亿元。这一数据清晰地表明,在市场波动期间,散户投资者不仅没有恐慌离场,反而抓住机会积极加仓布局。

华创策略研究进一步显示,以小单(挂单额小于4万)衡量的沪深两市A股散户资金净流入规模重回高位。最近一周(4.7-4.11)净流入2285.8亿元,较前值增加1191.6亿元,处于过去五年97%分位。

这一规模的资金流入,对稳定市场起到了至关重要的作用。在全球股市因关税政策陷入恐慌抛售的情况下,A股市场的散户资金逆流而上,一般投资者信心的充分被调动。

资金流向的逆转也打破了历史规律。以往市场急跌时,散户往往跟风抛售,但此次调整中,“越跌越买”成为新现象。某券商财富顾问透露:“此次股市震荡散户恐慌抛售的现象比较少见了,即使是抱着‘抄底’的想法加仓的客户也非常理性。”

散户逆势上杠杆,两融开户稳定增长,两融投资者数量创阶段新高

在杠杆资金方面,A股市场同样表现出良好的态势。有券商相关业务人员告诉记者,两融新开户情况维持正常水平,甚至可以用“还不错”来形容。这同样在数据上得到强有力的印证。

据ifind数据显示,从融资融券业务开展情况来看,上周个人投资者数量环比略有增长,尤其是4月8日当日环比变动创前两周之最。4月8日至4月10日环比变动幅度均在万分之3以上,而4月7日至4月11日两融业务参与交易的投资者数量也明显高于前一周,4月10日一度达到了362996这一水平。

融资余额的变动更是市场信心的重要指标。经历市场下跌后,融资余额并未如预期出现大幅下降。4月7日-9日呈现小幅下降后,4月10日出现逆转回升,重返1.8万亿,目前基本稳定在1.8万亿左右。

融资资金期间买入额在4月8日降至1165.80亿元后,4月9日和4月10日就回升到1400亿元以上。4月9日后,市场信心企稳,融资买入额占A股成交额比重稳健回升。这一系列数据表明,杠杆资金在市场波动中保持稳定,投资者对市场的信心正在逐步加强。

“危机是机会”,从恐慌到冷静,散户信心重铸

“中国股民不仅仅更冷静,投资也更有章法。”多位券商一线员工不约而同提到这一变化。

有券商营业部人员谈到,9·24行情之前,阴跌打击了许多投资者的信心,几乎每天都会有前来销户的客户在回访电话中无奈地表示,“不会再炒股了”“不会再碰股票了”。叠加9.24行情的启发,加之自上而下、行之有效的稳市举措,让散户投资者的心态发生了变化,紧急抛售的少了,理性加仓、调仓的多了。”

记者在采访中发现,众多个人投资者对中国股市长期向好充满信心,面对市场波动表现出难得的冷静与理性。他们认为,当前市场的波动是短期的,一是不会影响中国股市的长期向好趋势,二是在国家强大的稳市力度下,是难得的布局机遇。

“每一次市场调整其实都是买点,国家政策也在全力支持资本市场发展。股民自然也有信心。”有接受采访的投资者表示。

还有投资者表示:“市场调整,我觉得是个加仓的好机会,我也相信中国股市的韧性,国家也出台了这么多利好政策,我对未来市场有信心。”

从“追涨杀跌”到“逆向布局”,在市场下跌时逆流而上,甚至成为股市“稳定器”,这是中国散户正经历的变化。

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