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男男高hnp|孤独生存的艰辛与勇气
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男男高hnp|孤独生存的艰辛与勇气

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“银行又降息了,但这已不是新鲜事。”近期不少储户感慨。

自4月以来,多家中小银行大幅下调中长期定期存款利率,幅度在10BP至40BP之间。调整后,目前大部分银行的定期存款利率普遍低于2%,迈入“1时代”。

据不完全统计,4月至今,已有广西巴马农商行、安徽新安银行、上海华瑞银行、武汉众邦银行、广西融水农商银行等近20家中小银行下调定期存款利率。这一轮调整主要针对3年期、5年期的长期存款产品,下调后利率不超过2%。

以广西巴马农商行为例,该行从4月16日开始下调各档存款利率,其中2年期降为1.55%,3年期和5年期下调后均为2%。在调整之前,该行2年期存款利率为1.85%,3年期和5年期为2.35%。这次下调幅度在30BP左右。

民营银行、村镇银行曾是市场上“高息揽储”的主力,但这波也有一些相关银行加入“降息”大军。

以广东省兴宁市的兴宁珠江村镇银行为例,该行之前2年期、3年期和5年期的存款利率分别为2.10%、2.75%和3.25%。自今年4月1日起,各档利率分别降至1.50%、1.60%、1.55%,5年期利率降幅达到170BP,调整后的利率水平向国有大行看齐。

除了地方中小银行,股份制银行也在这一轮下调范围内。如平安银行(000001.SZ)在4月8日宣布下调3年期定期存款利率,由2.05%降至1.65%,降幅为40BP。这次下调后,平安银行的3年期利率相比2年期1.70%的利率,低了5BP,出现利率倒挂现象。

国有大行在经历数次利率下调后,目前最新的存款利率全部低于2%。以建设银行(601939.SH)为例,该行5年期利率最高为1.55%,1年期利率仅为1.1%,超过20万元的大额存单利率为1.9%。

AI识股

建设银行不同年限、大额存单的最新存款利率

在股份行中,还有少部分银行的利率保持在“2字头”。如浙商银行(601916.SH)3年期利率为2.15%,20万元起的大额存量利率能达到2.3%,该行3年期、5年期利率保持一致。

储户如何应对“降息”潮

从去年开始,主要商业银行进行过两轮下调存款利率,国有大行的利率开始进入“1时代”。进入2025年后,多家中小银行曾在3月初进行过一轮下调,当时3年期、5年期定期存款利率普降至“2”字头,少部分进入“1”字头。

在最新这轮下调后,市场上“2”字头的存款利率变得越来越少。对储户而言,存款利率连续下降,最直接影响就是储蓄收益减少,接下来该如何应对,是否要选择其他理财方式?

如储户继续选择银行存款,在被动接受利率下降的同时,也可以考虑采用“梯度存钱法”。一位银行客户经理建议,储户可以将本金分拆成几份,选择1至5年的不同期限存款,然后逐年滚存以捕捉利率高点。

“如果储户不嫌麻烦,还可以关注一些地方中小银行的存款利率,普遍会比一二城市高出0.15~0.3%。”,上述客户经理称,像“存款特种兵”一样,在全国范围内寻找相对高息的银行。

也有储户选择投资其他产品。数位有储蓄需求的人士告诉银柿财经,“现在3年期定存连两个点利率都没有,一些农商行也只有1.6%,跑了几家银行比价后,将部分资金买了银行理财产品。”

存款利率下降,对银行理财来说,或许是推广相关产品的机会。一位理财客户经理表示,对于风险偏好较低的投资者,可以考虑从存款转向购买一些R1(低风险)的银行理财和保险产品。

该客户经理称,部分投资者一方面可以锁定银行存款的收益,另一方面在风险承受能力可接受的范围内,配置部分固收类理财,如果风险承受能力强一些,还可以考虑一些包含权益类的理财产品。

也有业内人士认为,在大力促消费的背景下,银行下调存款利率,除了自身原因外,也能响应号召,让部分居民减少存款转向合理消费。

存款利率还可能下降

从银行的角度看,持续下调存款利率,能降低负债端成本,缓解不断收窄的净息差压力。

据国家金融监管总局公布的数据,2024年一至四季度,我国商业银行净息差呈下降趋势,各季度分别为1.54%、1.54%、1.53%、1.52%。去年四季度的净息差水平已处于历史低位。

各大银行也面临净息差下降带来的盈利压力。目前已发布2024年年报的上市银行中,平均净息差为1.65%,相比2023年下降19BP。同时去年各上市银行的净利润增速均放缓,核心一级资本补充也面临一定压力。

在今年的业绩会上,不少银行均表达了继续优化资产负债结构、加强存贷款定价管理的意愿。从目前落地的动作看,下调中长期存款利率,有利于银行进一步减少利息支出,缓解存款长期化问题,稳定负债成本、改善盈利能力,也能加强支持实体经济的贷款投放力度。

考虑今年我国将实施适度宽松的货币政策,LPR利率和金融市场利率未来仍有下行的可能。尤其是在4月份全球贸易冲突爆发后,央行多次提及“择机降息降准”,部分银行近期下调存款利率,也是与宏观政策方向相契合。

平安证券、开源证券均在近期研报中表达同一观点:如“降准降息”窗口打开后,我国存、贷款利率将继续下行,在进一步支持实体经济、降低企业融资成本的背景下,银行负债端的存款利率也会相应下降。

另外,部分中小银行在存款自律机制统一协调下,以往具有“手工补息”“特色存款”的相关高利率产品会继续减少,市场存款利率将逐渐趋于一致。

招联金融首席研究员董希淼也认为,在低利率市场环境下,部分中小银行的高利率揽储不可持续,未来还有下降可能,存款利率加速向大行靠拢。

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