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  热点品种分析

  一、商品指数

  来源:财联社

  4月18日,金融监管总局发布《关于推动深化人身保险行业个人营销体制改革的通知》(以下简称《通知》)。

  其中,在深化个人营销体制改革方面,《通知》提出建立以业务品质、服务质量为导向的佣金激励设计和递延发放机制,引导保险销售人员长期留存;在强化管理和监督力度方面,《通知》将建立保险销售人员违法违规导致经济损失的佣金薪酬追索扣回机制,防范销售误导和套利风险,对违反要求的机构和个人严肃查处追责。值得注意的是,此次《通知》还提出,将推动建立有中国特色的保险销售人员荣誉评价体系,提升保险销售人员的职业认同感和归属感。

  对外经济贸易大学保险学院教授王国军对财联社记者表示,《通知》的印发将有助于推动保险公司转变经营发展模式,改革完善体制机制,强化保险销售人员管理,建立管理体系科学、利益分配公平、激励机制有效的营销体制。其次,《通知》还将促进培养笃守诚信理念、明悉客户需求、具备专业知识、提供优质服务的高素质保险销售人才队伍,在保护消费者合法权益同时,更好满足消费者日益增长的保险保障和财富管理需求。

  以业务品质、服务质量为导向,建立佣金激励设计和递延发放机制

  自1992年个人保险代理人模式引入我国保险市场以来,个人代理渠道迅速发展,多年来已成为人身保险行业增长的主要动力,在服务客户需求、推动行业发展、解决社会就业等方面作出了积极贡献。

  近年来,随着我国经济快速发展和社会大众保险意识的提升,个人营销体制潜在问题日益凸显。比如,传统营销体制激励约束不足,个人保险代理人专业化程度不高、职业归属感不强,保险公司管理不到位等,无法适应人身保险行业高质量发展需求。

  针对个人营销体制当前存在的主要问题,《通知》在深化个人营销体制改革方面,提出四个方面的要求。

  一是提升保险销售人员专业化水平。强化保险公司对保险销售人员的全流程管理,健全完善招募选任、岗位培训、行为管控、激励约束等制度体系。

  二是引导保险销售人员职业化发展,优化人员管理机制,逐步构建支持保险销售人员长期服务的组织架构、晋升体系和佣金薪酬激励制度。

  三是鼓励保险公司创新保险销售人员管理体制,支持公司员工依法自愿转换为保险销售顾问,在取得相应销售资质后销售本公司保险产品,发掘个人营销渠道新动能。

  四是优化佣金激励分配机制,增强长期服务能力。建立以业务品质、服务质量为导向的佣金激励设计和递延发放机制,引导保险销售人员长期留存,持续为客户提供良好服务。对于不同类型销售人员,建立平衡合理的激励分配机制,保障保险销售人员合法权益。

  防范销售误导和套利风险,将建立佣金薪酬追索扣回机制

  在强化管理和监督力度方面,《通知》提出三个方面的要求。

  一是全面强化渠道管理。压实保险公司主体责任,明确公司内部在个人营销体制规划、实施以及销售人员队伍管理等方面相应责任;要求深化执行“报行合一”,加强费用预算管控,做到精算假设费用、预算费用和考核费用相统一;强化风险监测、预警和干预,建立保险销售人员违法违规导致经济损失的佣金薪酬追索扣回机机制,保护消费者合法权益;建立健全适当性管理制度,更好满足消费者需求。

  二是进一步从严监管。监管部门依法严格监管,加强法人监管,落实属地监管责任,强化行为监管,防范销售误导和套利风险,对违反监管要求的机构和个人,依法依规严肃查处追责。

  三是统一监管要求,要求保险专业代理机构、保险经纪人等参照《通知》执行,确保对各渠道保险销售人员的监管要求一致。

  代理人分级、产品分类,推动建立有中国特色的保险销售人员荣誉评价体系

  此外,为夯实行业发展基础,《通知》要求发挥行业组织、监管部门等合力,共同推动个人代理渠道转型升级。

  一是支持中国保险行业协会建立人身保险产品分类和保险销售人员分级标准,实现保险销售人员分级、产品分类、差异授权。

  二是由保险业协会建立健全保险销售人员诚信信息管理和运用机制,各保险公司做好保险销售人员诚信信息登记及管理工作,规范销售人员在市场主体间的合理有序流动。

  三是推动支持为保险销售人员按照灵活就业人员相关政策参加社会保险、办理居住证等,建立有中国特色的保险销售人员荣誉评价体系,提升保险销售人员的职业认同感和归属感。

  普华永道金融业合伙人周瑾对财联社记者表示,《通知》以制度规范督促保险公司加强对保险销售人员的约束和引导,推动个人代理渠道转型升级,从而为保险行业高质量发展夯实基础。

  对于保险机构而言,需要以客户的需求为出发点,动态评估客户的风险承受力,针对性开发和适当匹配产品,并采用适当的销售模式、策略和流程。因此,保险机构要完善内控和合规体系,采用低成本高效率强体验的客户洞察与风险评估方式,适时调整产品和渠道策略。

  来源:证券日报之声

  本报记者熊悦

  截至记者发稿,A股三大指数涨跌不一,银行板块持续上涨,继续担当“护盘使者”。

  Wind数据显示,自4月10日以来,银行板块已实现7连涨,截至发稿,累计涨幅为4.50%。今日盘中,工商银行、农业银行、中国银行、建设银行、上海银行等股价创新高。

  多位受访专家分析认为,此轮银行板块接连上涨受多重因素支撑。包括低利率环境下,资金避险需求提升,高股息策略受资金追捧;增量中长期资金持续入市,银行权重股受益显著;险资举牌、股东增持彰显发展信心等。伴随基本面积极因素累积、资金面改善预期强化,银行板块红利行情有望延续。

  多股股价刷新纪录

  4月8日至4月17日,沪指连续8个交易日实现收涨,红利资产压舱石银行板块功不可没。4月18日盘中,银行板块继续走出上扬,截至记者发稿,涨幅为0.36%,达成连续7个交易日实现上涨。

  个股方面,今日盘中,工、农、中、建四家国有大行股价创历史新高。建设银行连续两日(4月17日、4月18日)股价刷新纪录,今日盘中一度达到9.24元/股。

  多家中小银行同样表现优异。上海银行股价盘中最高价触及10.71元/股,创历史新高。此前该行发布的2024年度业绩快报显示,2024年,该行实现营业收入529.86亿元,同比增长4.79%,增速较前三季度提高4.11个百分点;实现归属于母公司股东的净利润235.60亿元,同比增长4.50%,增速较前三季度提高3.10个百分点。2024年末,该行资产总额为32266.56亿元,较上年末增长4.57%。存款总额17100.32亿元,较上年末增长4.27%。资产质量方面,该行不良贷款余额、不良贷款率双降。

  年初至今,5只银行股累计涨幅超过10%,涨幅由高到低依次为上海银行、齐鲁银行、渝农商行、重庆银行、兴业银行。

  中长线资金流入获益显著

  业内人士分析认为,此轮银行股走势受多重利好支撑。

  梳理来看,近日,中央汇金公司增持交易型开放式指数基金(ETF)并将继续增持;第一批险资长期股票投资试点500亿元资金全部投资落地,第二批险资长期股票投资试点百亿元资金即将入市;ETF密集上新扩容等,均带来增量中长期资金。

  “受汇金增持、ETF扩容影响,银行板块资金面改善预期强化,被动型资金为主导的银行板块红利行情有望延续,权重股受益更显著。”中国银河证券银行业分析师张一纬在研报中表示。

  与此同时,今年以来,银行股频获险资举牌;一季度多只基金加仓银行股;邮储银行、浙商银行、光大银行、江苏银行、苏州银行等多家上市银行公告股东、董监高增持或计划增持等资金支持进一步加码,市场对银行板块的认可度持续增强。

  高股息吸引力有望延续

  在业内人士看来,3月份信贷和社融水平超预期且政策继续发力支撑社融;降准降息预期增强;加之低利率环境下,全球政治经济环境不确定性加剧,资金避险属性提升,低波动、高股息的银行板块配置性价比凸显。

  巨丰投顾高级投资顾问朱华雷告诉《证券日报》记者,前期市场整体波动较大的情况下,银行板块作为红利资产压舱石,表现出较强的抗跌属性,进而吸引部分资金从高波动板块流向银行股。

  从股息率方面来看,Wind数据显示,截至目前,A股已有27家上市银行公布了2024年度利润分配方案或预案,合计分红金额拟超过3515亿元。以每股派现金额与2024年末收盘价为基准计算,8家上市银行的股息率超过5%,股息率排名前五的分别为兴业银行、浙商银行、北京银行、平安银行、招商银行。

  上市银行的现金分红进展方面,4月18日,交通银行2024年度现金分红率先落地,每股派发现金红利0.197元(含税),共计派发现金红利146.3亿元(含税)。其中派发A股现金红利77.3亿元(含税)。

  稳健的基本面是资金青睐银行股的根本支撑。2025年中央金融机构注资特别国债发行在即,国有大行的资本实力将进一步夯实。Wind数据显示,截至目前A股披露2024年度报告的36家上市银行,28家实现营收同比增长,33家实现归母净利润同比增长。

  深圳市前海排排网基金销售有限责任公司研究员卜益力对记者表示,展望后市,银行股或仍具备较强的上涨动能,主要基于以下核心驱动因素:一是全球避险情绪持续升温,二是股东增持彰显发展信心,三是板块估值仍具修复空间,四是业绩改善趋势明确。

  深圳市优美利投资管理有限公司总经理贺金龙认为,银行板块上涨是经济预期修复、政策支撑、资金配置需求等因素共振结果。短期需关注业绩报兑现情况,中长期则取决于经济复苏强度及净息差能否持续企稳。低利率环境下,“中特估”主线和高股息策略延续,银行股仍可能成为资金防御性配置的重要选择。

  “未来,银行板块有望在宏观经济复苏、高股息与低估值优势、政策支持与市场预期等多重因素的推动下,继续演绎出上涨行情。”朱华雷同样认为。

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