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  ——险资的投研经历令他十分看重安全边际,注重估值性价比

  AI投资领域正历经波澜壮阔的变革,只有坚持长期跟踪,深入研究,才能把握先机。

  作为“老十家”之一,华安基金在科技领域深耕已久,构建起全面覆盖产业链、融合量化与基本面研究的立体化科技投资体系,这支集结产业学术背景+投研实力的“华安基金科技联盟”,凭借深厚的产业积淀与团队协作能力,在科技投资领域不断扩容深耕与迭代探索。

  作为华安基金科技联盟投研团队的重要一员,基金经理金拓长期深耕电子和计算机行业,险资的投研经历更让其十分看重安全边际。金拓表示,今年是国内AI应用的产业化元年,未来将重点挖掘能够真正推动AI应用商业化落地的优质企业。

  攻守兼备基于估值性价比的景气度投资

  入行初期,金拓在安邦资产担任研究员,重点深耕电子和计算机行业。险资主要考核绝对收益,TMT则属于成长范畴,这为金拓此后投资框架的形成打下了坚实的基础。既追求高景气度行业的成长性,也注重估值性价比,强调安全边际。用一句话来概括,即基于估值性价比的景气度投资。

  从景气度来看,金拓主要关注景气持续的机会和景气反转的机会。行业景气度的高低,可以通过对上下游产业链和同业公司的调研进行确认。优选与产业链景气共振的标的,胜率会更高。景气度有时代特征,在不同的社会发展阶段,其代表性景气行业是不一样的,所以要与时俱进。同时,各个行业皆有周期,关键是要把握景气度趋势,在行业选择上不存偏见,不把某些行业排除在外。

  除了关注行业景气度,金拓非常看重估值性价比。他认为,上市公司适用的估值体系并非静态存在,而是根据上市公司的产业生命周期、商业模式、竞争格局及公司竞争力等方面综合评估的结果。不同的公司所适用的估值体系可能是不一样的,估值体系要和公司相匹配。

  在金拓看来,通常而言,同一家公司的估值体系,在大部分时候是比较稳定的,但随着时间推移也会发生变化。这时候就要重新审视这种估值体系底层因素的变化,因为这种估值体系的变化,往往预示着一轮大的行情或者一轮大的风险,这种低频但特别重要的变局尤其需要关注。

  此外,在估值体系稳定的情况下,估值还有宏观特征,即不同宏观环境对应着不同的估值因子表现。例如,最近两年宏观不确定性上升,市场对业绩确定性更为看重,盈利确定性高的公司持续享受估值溢价。

  重视长期绩优、重视股东回报的优质龙头企业

  站在当前时点,后市方向何寻?“后续出台的储备政策非常值得期待,在对冲政策的保驾护航下,经济有望稳步复苏。从流动性的角度看,美元降息周期并未结束,目前市场预期今年年内仍有两至三次降息,国内货币政策仍有操作空间,对年内的流动性环境保持乐观态度。”金拓表示,随着“新国九条”的发布,整个资本市场将更趋于成熟和理性,未来更加重视长期绩优、重视股东回报的优质龙头企业。 

  在他看来,今年可以称之为国内AI应用的产业化元年,除了成本大幅下降之外,DeepSeek的横空出世至少在客户教育、推理过程可追溯、本地化部署三个层面对B端应用起了很大的推动作用。

  “值得欣喜的是,我们看到国内厂商在C端AI应用领域展现出了强大的竞争力,全球前十大AI应用国产占了半壁江山,证明了我国自主的大模型能力已经达到世界一流水准。在AI向B端渗透的浪潮下,垂直领域Know-how定制AI工作流和搭建私有知识库是当前实现企业级Agent的两大基础,我们将重点挖掘能够真正推动AI应用商业化落地的优质企业。”AI浪潮如火如荼,金拓加快研究的步伐,持续跟踪产业发展趋势,重点挖掘能够真正推动AI应用商业化落地的优质企业。

MACD金叉信号形成,这些股涨势不错!热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  越疆(02432)盘中涨超8%,截至发稿,股价上涨7.21%,现报69.15港元,成交额3.50亿港元。

  消息面上,继北京亦庄人形机器人半程马拉松之后,全国首届具身智能机器人运动会也将在4月24日-26日落地无锡。

  国开证券研报指出,随着人形机器人逐步具备完成长续航稳定运动的能力,标志着人形机器人已经初步具备由单纯娱乐场景向物流分拣、配送、巡检、安防、救援等应用领域渗透的潜力,进一打开了更多商业化场景的想象空间。该行认为,在政策支持叠加技术升级等多重因素推动下,我国人形机器人行业发展有望驶入快车道。

  4月2日,越疆升级推出行业领先的新一代CRAF智能力控协作机器人。

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