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为何会是选择在此时?

2025年4月23日,A股储能龙头南都电源的一纸公告搅动资本市场——公司宣布筹划H股上市,拟登陆香港联交所。

这一看似常规的资本动作背后,却隐藏着令人咋舌的财务数据:2024年扣非净利润亏损预计超14亿元,创下历史新高;资产负债率攀升至73.26%,远超行业平均水平。

在储能行业价格战愈演愈烈、企业普遍收缩战线的背景下,南都电源为何选择此时“逆势突围”?这是破釜沉舟的“背水一战”?

亏损与负债的双重压力

根据2024年业绩预告,南都电源全年归母净利润亏损12亿至15.6亿元,扣非后亏损更达14亿至17.6亿元。

从经营情况来看,其核心业务“全线溃退”。

具体来看,受电池寿命延长导致废旧电池供给锐减、回收产能过剩影响,铅回收业务毛利率断崖式下跌。叠加地方奖补政策不确定性,第四季度被迫减产,营收同比腰斩。

碳酸锂价格暴跌引发锂电产品售价跳水,叠加海外订单延迟交付、产能利用率不足,下半年新型电力储能出货量骤降。为保毛利放弃低利润订单的策略,反而加剧了营收下滑。

此外,与新日电动车合同纠纷案导致计提预计负债及存货跌价准备,进一步侵蚀利润。南都电源指出,报告期内,因公司处置部分长期股权投资等因素,影响非经常性损益约为2亿元。 

值得关注的是,根据2024年三季度的财报显示,去年前三季度南都电源的净利仍有2.47亿元,以业绩预告的数值计算,南都电源四季度净利亏损至少有14.47亿元。

糟糕的财务表现,也让其股价处于近10年低位。

 除了亏损外,高负债风险也是压低股价的“稻草”。

截至2024年9月末,南都电源总负债高达145.16亿元,资产负债率73.26%,流动比率仅1.08,速动比率低至0.63。

根据其债务结构来看,风险凸显。110.14亿元流动负债中,应付账款及短期借款占比超70%,而账面货币资金仅能勉强覆盖利息支出。 

财务费用方面,2023年财务费用达2.72亿元,2024年Q3利息支出同比激增40%,债务滚雪球效应持续放大。

存货方面,其存货规模高达51亿元,应收账款39.37亿元,高企的“两金”占用进一步加剧现金流紧张。  

港股IPO能否成救命稻草?

南都电源的困境,根源可追溯至其战略摇摆。

早在1999年,南都电源即布局磷酸铁锂技术,并储备多项锂电技术。在2010年10月,南都电源就宣布拟投资13亿元兴建新型动力及储能电池生产线,规划年产动力及储能用锂离子电池1.2GWh,年产动力及储能用新型高能阀控蓄电池3GWh。

然而,却因2011年转投民用铅酸电池而错失动力电池黄金十年。

2013-2019年,业内人士透露,南都电源斥资约30亿元建设用户侧铅炭储能电站,但因消纳不足、政策变动,项目普遍亏损,最终以1.23亿元“骨折价”甩卖给子公司。

好不容易处理完铅炭储能电站,转战锂电储能市场却又陷入价格战泥潭。

2024年锂电储能系统价格跌破0.5元/Wh,较年初下降40%,行业陷入“成本倒挂”。南都电源为保市场份额被迫参战,但0.915元/Wh的均价远低于行业水平,毛利率仅18.43%。国内市场的“流血竞争”使其陷入“越卖越亏”的恶性循环。 

南都电源将H股上市定位为“全球化战略的关键一步”,计划募资用于海外市场拓展、国际并购及补充流动性。

一方面,借助香港资本平台,南都电源重点开拓欧洲、北美等高价市场,摆脱价格战泥潭。另一方面,入选BNEF全球一级储能厂商榜单后,南都电源亟需通过港股上市强化国际投资者认可。  

有头部券商新能源分析师指出,“2025年或是储能行业最艰难一年。国内市场量价齐跌,海外市场门槛高企,企业要么靠技术壁垒突围,要么靠资本耐力‘熬死对手’。”

后记

南都电源的港股IPO,既是企业自救的背水一战,也是中国储能产业转型期的缩影。当技术迭代加速、政策红利消退,企业的生存法则已从“规模扩张”转向“精益运营”。

对于投资者而言,这次“带病上市”,既需警惕财务风险,亦应关注其能否借力国际资本重塑竞争力。毕竟在碳中和的马拉松赛道上,暂时的亏损或许可以容忍,但战略定力的缺失,才是真正的致命伤。 

南都电源的境遇折射出中国储能行业当下的集体阵痛,这也引出了两个“灵魂拷问”的话题:

在技术路线上,押注单一技术路径的风险(如铅炭储能)与多元化布局的成本压力如何平衡?

海外市场对产品性能、质保、本地化服务的要求远超国内,“全球布局”是否具备可持续性?

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