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  今天上午,A股多点开花,盘面上,变与不变并存。

  不变的一面体现在:在现货黄金持续创新高带动下,贵金属板块继续走强;市场继续抱团人气股,国芳集团、中毅达涨停,国光连锁、安记食品大涨。

  变的一面是:科技股的人气逐渐回暖。今天上午,在A股成交额榜前列,科技股数量明显增多,其中,拓维信息、寒武纪上午成交额分别居A股第一、第二位。

  值得一提的是,AI又跑出新的“风口”——MCP概念,东方材料、恒锋信息、合合信息、汉得信息等概念股上午大涨。MCP(ModelContextProtocol)协议,即模型上下文协议。该协议是一种开放协议,支持大模型应用程序与外部数据源和工具之间的无缝集成。

  从3月中旬以来,由于受到交易拥挤、短期涨幅过大、面临4月业绩期等多重因素影响,以AI为代表的科技股持续调整。眼下,上述因素的制约作用正在减弱,科技龙头股的一季报业绩无疑起到提振作用。这也正如市场此前所预期,经历一季报验证,高景气的科技细分赛道后市仍会重拾升势。

  机构表示,目前AI应用已处于突破阶段,在多模态、Agent(智能体)等驱动下需求上扬、产业景气度维持高涨。中期来看,只要AI叙事逻辑未发生根本性动摇,产业发展仍会按照规律持续进行。

  上午收盘,上证指数上涨0.3%,深证成指上涨0.72%,创业板指上涨1.05%。

  科技股反弹

  今天上午,科技股反弹,华为概念、AI智能体、光模块等板块上涨。

  市场热度最高的是寒武纪,该股上午上涨5.68%。4月18日晚间,寒武纪发布2024年年报和2025年一季报。2024年公司实现总营业收入11.74亿元,同比增长65.56%。2025年一季度,公司实现总营业收入11.11亿元,同比增长4230.22%;净利润为3.55亿元。

  仕佳光子迎来“20CM”涨停。4月18日晚间,仕佳光子发布2025年一季报,公司实现营业总收入4.36亿元,同比增长120.57%;归母净利润9319.44万,同比增长1003.78%。

  中际旭创上午上涨2.24%。4月20日,中际旭创发布2025年第一季度报告,实现营业收入66.74亿元,同比增长37.82%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润为15.83亿元,同比增长56.83%。

  最近一段时间,虽然科技股表现一般,但AI产业不断有新的进展,比如MCP。

  2024年11月底,Anthropic公司发布了全新的MCP(ModelContextProtocol)协议,即模型上下文协议。该协议是一种开放协议,支持大模型应用程序与外部数据源和工具之间的无缝集成。无论用户是构建AI驱动的IDE、增强聊天界面,还是创建自定义AI工作流,MCP都提供了一种标准化的方式来连接LLMs(LargeLanguageModels,大型语言模型)需要的上下文。

  4月以来,阿里、谷歌、腾讯等宣布上线MCP服务。4月9日,阿里云百炼平台上线全生命周期MCP服务,大幅降低Agent的开发门槛。百炼平台首批上线了高德、无影、Fetch、Notion等50多款阿里巴巴集团和第三方MCP服务,可满足不同场景的Agent应用开发需求。4月10日,谷歌宣布,将为其Gemini模型添加对Anthropic主导的模型上下文协议MCP的支持。4月14日,腾讯云宣布大模型知识引擎升级支持MCP协议,用户在搭建应用时,可以通过大模型知识引擎调用平台精选的MCP插件或插入自定义MCP插件。

  开源证券表示,看好2025年AIAgent产业崛起趋势,中美科技巨头密集布局MCP协议,MCP有着更高的工业化程度,激发了协议统一的工具涌现。MCP协议有望显著提升AIAgent与外部工具的配置效率,加快AI应用场景拓展。

  贵金属板块大涨

  今天上午,现货黄金继续冲高,站上3380美元/盎司关口,再创历史新高。沪金主力合约上午拉升,突破800元/克关口,刷新历史高点。

  今天上午,贵金属板块爆发,晓程科技、赤峰黄金、湖南黄金等个股大涨。

  天风证券表示,黄金作为实物商品,价格主要受通胀预期、避险需求及全球货币信用环境等因素影响。而黄金股作为权益类资产,其价格取决于企业盈利能力、运营成本及市场对金价持续性的预期。由于金价空间的打开,黄金股业绩相对金价的敏感性加大,黄金股业绩增长获得更高高度与久期的概率提升。

  (文中行情图片来自同花顺)

  4月21日午后,医疗板块表现活跃,中证医疗指数震荡飘红,成份股方面,微电生理、三诺生物涨超7%,爱博医疗涨超5%。

  热门ETF方面,医疗ETF(512170)场内价格涨近1%,成交额超3亿元,场内溢价走阔,显示买盘资金尤为强势。

  值得关注的是,近期医疗板块资金面火热,此前5个交易日,医疗ETF(512170)场内申赎净流入合计逾3.7亿元,最新份额突破800亿份,刷新上市以来新高。

  光大证券认为,作为美无理对我国输美商品先后加征关税的反制措施,我国对美加征关税政策将推高进口医疗器械成本,推动国产替代加速。利好国内具有创新属性及高壁垒、供应链多元或自主可控、美产仪器占比高的医疗器械领域,如医学影像设备、基因测序设备、临床质谱仪器、手术机器人以及电生理等赛道。

  投医疗主题板块,认准医疗ETF(512170)。该ETF是A股最具代表性的医药医疗类ETF之一,最新规模超240亿元,被动跟踪的中证医疗指数聚焦“医疗器械+医疗服务”两大板块,与AI医疗相关性较高,且覆盖7只CXO龙头股。场外可关注医疗ETF联接基金(A类162412/C类012323)。

  需要特别提示的是,医药医疗板块调整时间较长,波动较大,短线反弹不预示未来表现。关注医药医疗投资机会的投资者务必根据自身的资金状况和风险承受能力理性投资,高度注意仓位和风险管理。

  数据来源于沪深交易所。风险提示:医疗ETF(512170)及其联接基金被动跟踪中证医疗指数,该指数基日为2004.12.31,发布于2014.10.31。文中指数成份股仅作展示,个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议,也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。中证医疗指数2020年至2024年的分年度业绩分别为79.67%、-14.71%、-25.1%、-24.25%、-17.16%,标的指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整,其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。基金管理人评估的该基金及其联接基金的风险等级分别为R3-中风险、R4-中高风险,分别适宜平衡型(C3)、积极型(C4)及以上投资者,适当性匹配意见请以销售机构为准。任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另,本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的投资建议,亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。基金投资有风险,基金的过往业绩并不代表其未来表现,基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证,基金投资需谨慎。

MACD金叉信号形成,这些股涨势不错!  21日午后,AI应用方向接力活跃,创业板人工智能涨幅冲击3%,汉得信息盘中涨超16%,易点天下、蓝色光标、创意信息等涨超3%。算力方向维持反弹,AI硬件、AI软件均有上涨,奥飞数据涨逾5%,博创科技、新易盛、协创数据、网宿科技等多股涨超3%。

  热门ETF方面,全市场首只的创业板人工智能ETF华宝(159363)午后涨幅进一步扩大,盘中冲击3%,盘中已站上10日均线,实时成交额超7700万元,已超前一日全天成交额,放量明显。

  市场分析指出,从3月中旬以来,由于受到交易拥挤、短期涨幅过大、面临4月业绩期等多重因素影响,以AI为代表的科技股持续调整。眼下,上述因素的制约作用正在减弱,科技龙头股的一季报业绩无疑起到提振作用。这也正如市场此前所预期,经历一季报验证,高景气的科技细分赛道后市或重拾升势。

  AI应用方面,机构表示,目前AI应用已处于突破阶段,在多模态、Agent(智能体)等驱动下需求上扬、产业景气度维持高涨。中期来看,只要AI叙事逻辑未发生根本性动摇,产业发展仍会按照规律持续进行。

  算力硬件方面,国盛证券指出,目前光模块等行业估值已充分包含关税相关风险,关税落地后风险有望释放。叠加接下来各光模块与其他算力产业链相关企业财报落地,绩优股有望率先获得资金青睐。光模块等行业需求高增情况下,有望出现龙头领衔修复估值、二三线企业紧随其后的情况,继续看好国产算力产业链。

  把握AI修复机会,建议重点关注全市场首只创业板人工智能ETF华宝(159363)及场外联接(A类023407、C类023408)。资料显示,创业板人工智能ETF华宝(159363)被动跟踪创业板人工智能指数,一键布局算力硬件+算力软件+AI应用三件套,高效地捕捉AI主题行情,“光模块”龙头含量高,充分享受全球AI产业链红利。

  数据来源:沪深交易所等。注:“全市场首只”是指首只跟踪创业板人工智能指数的ETF。

  风险提示:创业板人工智能ETF华宝被动跟踪创业板人工智能指数,该指数基日为2018.12.28,发布日期为2024.7.11。创业板人工智能指数2020-2024年年度涨跌幅分别为:20.1%、17.57%、-34.52%、47.83%、38.44%,指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整,其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。文中指数成份股仅作展示,个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议,也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估的本基金风险等级为R4-中高风险,适宜积极型(C4)及以上的投资者,适当性匹配意见请以销售机构为准。任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另,本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的投资建议,亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。基金投资有风险,基金的过往业绩并不代表其未来表现,基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证,基金投资须谨慎。

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