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文|张玉龙赵子鹏

本周受特朗普宣布加征关税影响,市场各板块普跌,周一北证50指数单日跌幅达到17.95%,创开板以来历史最大单日跌幅记录;但随着国内各监管机构快速推出一系列稳资本市场举措及表态,市场流动性预期充裕,作为板块的主导因素,带动北证板块快速反弹。至本周五,北证板块已收涨0.92%,领跑沪深北各板块;周五晚间,北交所公告了首批6家存量代码切换试点企业,920代码切换在即。

市场表现:本周(4月7日-4月11日),北证50指数上涨0.92%,同期上证指数/深证成指/创业板指/科创50均累计下跌,跌幅分别为3.11%/5.13%/6.73%/0.63%。周一(4月7日)受特朗普宣布加征关税影响,北证50指数单日大跌17.95%;但国内快速推出了一系列稳资本市场举措进行响应,流动性预期充裕,作为主导因素带动北证板块快速反弹。年初至今,北证50指数累计上涨23.74%;同期上证指数/深证成指/创业板指/科创50的涨跌幅分别为-3.39%/-5.57%/-0.63%/+4.10%;在事件驱动市场波动下,北证50的高弹性特征展现相对明显。

从行业层面看,本周北证行业分化与沪深两板基本一致,内需型细分板块上涨明确——涨幅靠前的三个行业为农林牧渔(+17.19%)、食品饮料(+16.48%)、建筑装饰(+4.34%);跌幅较高的三个行业分别为电力设备(-4.43%)、汽车(-3.93%)、家用电器(-3.52%)。

从个股层面看,本周北交所265支标的中117支上涨、148支下跌,涨幅中位数为-1.14%;北证50指数成份股中20支上涨、30支收跌,涨跌幅中位数为-1.63%。由于板块的内需型行业标的市值偏低、较少纳入指数成分股,故指数跌幅稍高于板块整体。北交所标的日均换手率均值为11.46%,北证50成份股日均换手率均值为7.47%;对关税政策的不确定性促使资金预期分化,标的换手率显著提升至接近2024Q4的较高位。

流动性&估值:本周北证板块交易加速放量,两融余额略减。本周北交所265支个股累计成交103.9亿股、环比上周增加64.8亿股、环比+165.6%;周成交额1926.6亿元、环比上周增加1106.6亿元、环比+135.0%。截至4月11日,北交所两融余额为52.0亿元,环比上周五减少2.2亿元(-4.1%)。

新股发行: 2025年至今,北证板块累计发行新股2支,累计发行金额12.41亿元。本周北证板块新增2支新股岷山环能和鼎佳精密过会。截至4月11日,北交所1支新股注册生效、9支新股已过会待注册、84支新股已受理问询待上会。

1、北交所标的整体盈利能力偏弱,出现经营类风险可能性更高的风险:北京证券交易所上市的公司市值整体较沪深主板更低、上市企业净利润整体更低、盈利能力整体相对略弱,面临外部影响时出现经营风险的可能性更大,如果出现此类情况,可能会导致投资者投资相关标的收益不及预期。

2、市场流动性风险:市场表现与市场流动性存在高度相关性,如果市场流动性出现大幅变化,则可能导致北交所市场表现不及投资者预期。

3、宏观风险:资本市场与宏观经济息息相关,以当前国内权益市场为例,宏观经济表现、地缘政治扩大化都是影响资产定价的宏观因素;如果俄乌、巴以等地缘冲突进一步激化和扩大化,可能导致全球金融市场出现大幅波动,甚至出现系统性风险,同样会影响国内权益资产的定价,进而影响北交所的市场表现。

证券研究报告名称:《板块周内快速修复,存量代码切换试点-2025年4月第2周北交所周报》

对外发布时间:2025年4月15日

报告发布机构:中信建投证券股份有限公司 

本报告分析师:

张玉龙SAC编号:S1440518070002

SFC编号:BPW299

赵子鹏SAC编号:S1440523080001

中国风电新闻网讯:4月15日,明阳集团党委书记、董事长张传卫到中国石油化工集团有限公司(下称“中国石化”)北京总部,拜会中国石化集团党组书记、董事长马永生,并开展座谈。双方围绕推进全面战略深化合作、聚力打造绿色新质生产力等进行深入交流。

马永生对张传卫一行的到访表示热烈欢迎。他表示,中国石化牢牢把握能源革命和产业变革趋势,发展绿色氢能等高质量能源供给技术,以科技创新引领产业创新,推动石化产业高端化、智能化、绿色化发展。希望双方此次全面深化战略合作,充分发挥明阳新能源装备技术创新领军优势,携手在海上风电开发建设、氢能场景应用、循环可再生润滑油、生物质航油、碳纤维材料与项目合作、技术创新与产业协作等方面落实合作,共同探索新能源与石化产业融合发展的新路径,为推动中国能源产业的转型升级和经济社会的可持续发展作出更大贡献。

张传卫在座谈中指出,明阳集团三十多年坚持制造业和装备技术创新引领,推动实现“风光储氢燃”新能源全业态和全球化布局。他表示,明阳创新推动新能源技术高端化、产业集群化和应用场景化,全面服务协同中国石化高质量发展大战略,双方携手共进,在海上风电、绿色氢能制加储输、漂浮式海洋能源岛、循环可再生润滑油、碳纤维以及绿电氢氨醇等场景应用和科技创新等方面深化合作,共同探索新能源领域的新技术、新模式和新业态,为“双碳”目标和全面绿色转型发展贡献智慧和力量。

中国石化集团党组成员、副总经理李永林,董事会秘书、党组秘书、综合管理部主任、党组办公室主任张钧,科技部总经理卞凤鸣,物资装备部总经理孔小强,炼油事业部总经理田宏斌,化工事业部副总经理杨栋,发展计划部副总经理刘应红,新星石油执行董事、党委书记刘世良,润滑油公司董事、总经理、党委副书记张春辉;明阳智能副总裁叶凡、栾晶、文宏、杨璞,明阳电气副总裁胡连红,明阳中央研究院氢能研发中心主任张泰基,华阳长青润滑油公司总经理马军,明阳新材总经理顾育慧等参加座谈交流活动。

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