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  近日星光证券发布环球新材国际深度研究报告,首次覆盖给予“买入”评级,目标价5.79港元,相比现价存在64%的上涨空间。

  报告摘要如下:

  中国珠光材料知名品牌,外延式扩张打开全球市场。环球新材国际是研发、生产、销售珠光材料及合成云母等关键基础性材料的国家级高新技术企业,公司拥有两千余种珠光材料产品,销售网络覆盖全球上百个国家和地区,已在国内乃至全球市场享有较高知名度。公司基本面优秀,2019-2024年公司营收从2019年的4.41亿元,增长至2024年的16.49亿元,复合增长率高达30.2%。同时公司毛利率常年维持在50%左右的水平,2024年达53.0%。2023年以来,公司相继完成对韩国CQV的并购整合、并且与德国默克达成对其表面解决方案业务的收购,通过跨国并购,环球新材国际正加速打开国际市场,成为一家新材料跨国企业。

  珠光材料应用广&市场空间大,行业壁垒较深。珠光材料色彩和功能性皆优,正逐步替代传统颜料,且由于珠光材料基材多样,应用领域不断被拓宽。根据Frost&Sullivan数据,2023年全球珠光材料的市场规模235亿元,2016-2023年复合增长率14.1%,预计2030年市场规模将达到440亿,2023-2030年复合增长率9.4%。此外,生产工艺难度较高和品牌效应构筑行业深厚护城河,珠光材料市场均价连年上涨,头部玩家强者恒强。

  研发驱动的增长模式,成长确定性较强。环球新材国际高度重视研发投入,随着技术的进步公司中高端产品占比已超过50%,产品矩阵持续向高端领域迭代,驱动公司营收利润双增;同时公司还持续降低生产成本,全面保障低、中、高三档产品的市场竞争力;环球新材国际还掌握合成云母的关键技术,随着合成云母基材对天然云母的替代,环球新材国际已掌握市场先机;未来伴随着并购整合,环球新材国际的产品矩阵/市场资源/研发团队有望得到全面提升,奠定公司未来十年高速发展的基础。

  基于对公司稳定的内源式发展,以及外延式并购整合预期(该盈利预测不计算并购默克表面解决方案业务带来的财务变化)。我们测算2025-2027年,公司营收分别为22.29/29.00/36.31亿元,增速分别为35.2%、30.1%、25.2%;归母净利润分别为3.37/4.58/6.17亿元,增速分别为39.0%、36.1%、34.7%。PE分别为12.22/8.97/6.66,结合可比公司估值水平,我们认为环球新材国际2025年合理PE应为20倍,目标价5.79港元,相比现价存在64%的上涨空间,首次覆盖给予“买入”评级。(1HKD=0.9376CNY)

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