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  葡萄酒咨询公司WineLister最新研究显示,波尔多精品酒市场价过去12个月暴跌18%,成为全球主要葡萄酒产区中跌幅之最。同期西班牙仅微跌2%,托斯卡纳下滑3%。法国本土产区中,香槟区以8%跌幅成为唯一未现双位数下滑地区,勃艮第则重挫14%。

  纵观三年周期,所有监测产区均遭重创。波尔多以27%跌幅成为法国最抗跌产区,勃艮第累计下跌39%,香槟区更暴跌46%。但若将时间拉长至五年维度,121款波尔多样本酒均价较发售价仍保持9%增长。该价格指数通过比对英镑计价的发行价与现行均价得出。 

  最新年度调查显示,2024年市场信心降幅收窄,134款评级酒整体信心指数仅降0.3点(上年为1.0点)。头部40款酒信心指数仅微跌0.1点,柏图斯(Petrus)以0.2点的涨幅领跑2025年预期。该数据源自对全球精品酒市场1/3份额企业的50位高管调研。

  美国葡萄酒的退出对国内市场几无影响

  随着中美关税纷争持续,越来越多的美国产品受到影响逐步退出中国市场。记者了解到,加征高额关税后,美国葡萄酒的价格面临暴涨,部分进口商表示库存售罄后将不再进货。

  根据此前海关总署的规定,自2025年4月10日12时01分起,对原产于美国的所有进口商品,在现行适用关税税率基础上加征125%关税。4月10日12时前启运且在4月10日12时至5月13日24时期间进口的在途货物不在此次加征关税范围内。

  关税的增加使美国葡萄酒进口成本接近翻倍。WBO葡萄酒商学院院长杨征建告诉第一财经记者,一般而言,美国葡萄酒的进口关税为54%,若申请关税加征排除,可降至29%。此次加征关税后,价格骤涨将显著限制美国葡萄酒在中国市场的接受度和流通空间。

  “卖完就不再进货了”经营美国知名葡萄酒品牌蒙大菲的松鸽酒业销售人员告诉第一财经记者,加征关税后美国葡萄酒的价格太高,库存清空后将暂停进货。在部分电商平台上,记者看到在售的美国葡萄酒产品还未调整零售价格,但据客服介绍,目前主要是销售库存,后续是否调价还在等通知。

  中国食品土畜进出口商会数据显示,2024年美国葡萄酒位列中国葡萄酒进口榜第5位,进口额5177万美元,同比增长1.4%,也是少数保持增长的国家之一。2025年1-3月,美国葡萄酒进口额1217万美元,同比减少21.4%。

  上海潮饮荟创始人殷凯告诉第一财经,美国葡萄酒在中国主攻中高端市场,虽无法撼动法国高端葡萄酒的地位,但进口额长期稳定靠前。加征关税后,其中国市场空间将大幅缩减。

  但多位受访酒商表示,当前国内葡萄酒消费尚未复苏,市场整体动销困难、竞争激烈,美国葡萄酒的退出对国内市场几无影响。

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