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人成乱码一卡二卡三四卡五卡六卡,探寻的发展脉络与现状
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  近期,一批A股上市公司实现业绩反转,引发市场高度关注。

  据上海证券报记者统计,截至4月20日晚6时,2024年度归母净利润同比下滑30%以上,且2025年一季度业绩预增或扭亏,或已披露一季报公司的归母净利润同比增长超30%的A股公司共有51家。这些公司主要集中在电子、基础化工、有色金属等行业。

  受访的某业内人士认为,业绩反转背后的原因是多方面的。它不仅体现了中国经济的韧性以及行业供需格局的积极变化,也是企业主动求变的成果。

  出口增长拓展显效

  海关总署4月14日发布的数据显示,今年一季度,我国货物贸易进出口10.3万亿元,同比增长1.3%。其中,出口6.13万亿元,同比增长6.9%。

  在这一外贸逆势增长的背景下,一批A股公司在一季报或一季度业绩预告中展现出业绩逆袭的态势。

  皖维高新预计2025年一季度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润9000万元至12000万元,同比增长90.85%至154.47%。在业绩预增原因说明中,皖维高新提到,报告期内,针对海外市场需求和客户反馈,公司不断调整和优化销售策略,部分产品出口量同比增加。其中,PVA、可再分散性胶粉的出口量同比增长20%以上,醋酸甲酯的出口量同比增长约150%。

  回看2024年,皖维高新营业收入同比下滑2.82%,归属于上市公司股东的净利润虽有增长,但增幅仅为8.20%。

  长安汽车同样经历了业绩反转。2024年,长安汽车全年销量实现正增长,创下近七年新高。然而,销量的增长并未转化为净利润的提升,净利润同比下降超三成。

  长安汽车近期发布的2025年一季度业绩预告令人眼前一亮。公司预计一季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为13亿元至14亿元,同比增长12.26%至20.89%。长安汽车表示,净利润及扣非净利润的双增长,得益于公司坚定推进第三次创业——创新创业计划,品牌向上,产品结构优化,新能源效益改善,海外市场实现增量增利,自主品牌盈利能力稳中有进。

  行业回暖订单饱满

  今年一季度,电子、国防军工等多个行业呈现向好态势。受益于下游市场需求回暖,一批相关A股公司2025年一季度业绩预增,展现出强劲的发展势头。

  铖昌科技便是典型代表。2024年,铖昌科技业绩暴跌,甚至发布了公司股票可能被实施退市风险警示的公告。业绩预告显示,公司2024年的利润总额、归母净利润及扣非后净利润均为亏损状态,营业收入及扣除后营收均处于1.8亿元至2.3亿元区间,触及“收入+利润”组合式财务退市指标。

  2025年一季度,铖昌科技预计营业收入为9000万元至9500万元,同比大幅增长;归母净利润为2700万元至3450万元,同比扭亏为盈。业绩反转的核心驱动力在于行业需求快速恢复,公司在手订单及项目显著增加,新增订单大幅增长。同时,公司下一季度乃至全年的生产计划已准备充足,全力确保客户需求。

  同样受益于行业景气度提升的还有风电行业。今年一季度,风电行业发展趋势良好,行业景气度提升,带动风电零部件整体需求旺盛。作为风电主轴龙头企业,金雷股份迎来一季度业绩的“开门红”。公司预计2025年一季度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润5000万元至5600万元,同比增长70.96%至91.47%。而公司同日披露的年报显示,2024年公司归母净利润同比下降58.03%。

  转型升级新品放量

  部分公司通过主动作为,成功实现了2025年一季度业绩逆转。

  受行业竞争影响,山东玻纤2024年归母净利润同比下降193.92%,经营活动产生的现金流量净额大幅减少70.40%。

  但在2025年一季度,山东玻纤迎来转机。公司预计一季度归母净利润为699万元至1048万元,同比扭亏为盈。山东玻纤表示,业绩预增得益于公司根据市场需求调整产品结构,完善高强高模纤维产品矩阵,实现从“量本利”向“价本利”的转变,从而实现“量价齐升”的良好局面。

  4月15日,罗欣药业(维权)发布2024年度业绩快报和2025年一季度业绩预告。2024年,罗欣药业净亏损扩大至9.62亿元,但在今年一季度,凭借创新药替戈拉生片的销售增长,成功扭亏为盈。罗欣药业称,公司创新药替戈拉生片的市场份额已显著提升,渠道覆盖也持续扩大,一季度销售量同比增加。

  此外,北方稀土、广晟有色等稀土上市公司,国力股份、东山精密等电子行业公司,利尔化学、北元集团等基础化工企业,均在去年业绩同比下降的情况下,今年一季度经营业绩大幅预增或扭亏。

  (文章来源:上海证券报)

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