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醉卧君怀笑离伤:它背后的故事与隐藏的价值
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醉卧君怀笑离伤:它背后的故事与隐藏的价值

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来源:华尔街见闻

作为前美联储理事和曾被特朗普考虑担任财政部长的人选,沃什被视为美联储"影子主席",其言论在当前美国货币政策辩论中格外引人注目。

备受关注的美联储主席潜在继任者、特朗普盟友凯文·沃什(KevinWarsh)近日在华盛顿猛烈抨击美联储,称其犯下"系统性错误",未能遏制一代人以来最严重的通胀潮。

作为前美联储理事和曾被特朗普考虑担任财政部长的人选,沃什被视为美联储"影子主席",其言论在当下格外引人注目。

央行助推通胀与政府过度支出

据媒体报道,沃什周五在华盛顿出席"三十国集团"(Groupof30)活动上表示,自2008年金融危机以来,"央行主导地位已成为美国治理的新特征"。他批评美联储"更像政府通用机构,而非专注于货币政策的中央银行",这一角色偏离导致其无法将通胀控制在2%目标水平。

尤为尖锐的是,沃什将美国通胀问题部分归咎于美联储7万亿美元的庞大资产负债表,认为这实质上为联邦政府放纵性支出提供了便利,使美国财政陷入"危险轨道"。

沃什对美联储在量化宽松下大规模购买国债的行为抨击道:

此外,沃什还批评美联储涉足气候变化和社会包容等超出其核心职责的领域,尽管他承认美联储已于今年1月退出"金融系统绿色化网络",表明其态度有所转变。

美联储独立性受到挑战

沃什的言论恰逢美联储与总统特朗普关系紧张之际。上周,特朗普公开表示"迫不及待"要结束鲍威尔的任期,尽管他后来部分收回言论称无意解雇鲍威尔,暂时缓解了全球市场的忧虑。

鲍威尔现任期将于2026年5月结束,财政部长贝森特已表示将于今秋启动继任者遴选。业内普遍认为,沃什与美国国家经济委员会负责人哈塞特是最有力的继任人选。

此前,特朗普对鲍威尔拒绝降息的批评,以及白宫暗示可能有权解雇美联储主席的言论,已引发市场对央行独立性的担忧,导致股市和美元大幅抛售。

值得注意的是,尽管沃什对美联储政策持强烈批评态度,他仍表示支持美联储在制定利率时不受政治干预的"操作独立性",但同时强调"当货币政策结果不佳时,美联储应接受严格质询",而非被视为"不可触碰的权威"。

风险提示及免责条款

市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

  来源:华尔街见闻

  一封由140余名耶鲁大学1984届毕业生联名签署的公开信,将矛头直指他们的同窗、现任美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特(ScottBessent)。

  信中严厉警告贝森特,其在特朗普政府中的角色可能正助长美国“转变为一个威权国家”,甚至需为可能陷入“法西斯主义”负责。

  面对昔日同窗的罕见公开施压,贝森特迅速给予了强硬反击,怒斥批评者为“键盘侠”,称加入特朗普政府是“一生的荣耀”:

  信件背后:深层动机、历史回响与广泛忧虑

  此次联名信的发起人之一,凯瑟琳·蒂加登(CatherineTeegarden)透露,早在今年3月,她就曾代表部分同学向财政部邮寄过类似信件,但石沉大海。本次公开信则更新了近期情况,并通过班级社交媒体平台征集签名。

  蒂加登解释,发起此举是希望“放大我们的声音”,以回应许多校友对国家现状感到的“无力感”。值得注意的是,信件并未直接要求贝森特辞职。

  蒂加登认为,“那并不能真正解决问题”,她更希望体制内能有“理性之声”发挥作用。她坦言,希望这封信能在贝森特心中“种下一颗担忧的种子”,促使其反思“为何要出卖(原则)”。

  这封信与2017年8月耶鲁大学1985届毕业生350多名同学发给时任特朗普财政部长史蒂芬·姆努钦的信如出一辙。

  2017年,超过350名耶鲁1985届校友曾联名致信时任财长姆努钦(StevenMnuchin),因特朗普就夏洛茨维尔暴力事件发表争议言论,而姆努钦有“道义上的义务”,故而应该辞职,但遭到姆努钦拒绝。

  参与此次签名的移民研究智库负责人大卫·卡利克(DavidKallick)表达了他对“正当程序”和宪法保护被侵蚀的“非常真实”的担忧,警告存在滑向“专制政府”的“真实危险”。

  另一位签名者、科技公司经营者汉克·科普兰(HankCopeland)表示,贝森特本人也“不愿生活在独裁统治下”,因为那会扼杀人权与经济活力。尽管承认此举可能收效甚微,如同“在飓风中吹口哨”,但他强调了象征性行动的价值,认为这是“提醒自己和他人我们在乎什么”的方式。

  同时,蒂加登也提到,并非所有人都愿意签名,部分同学因担心可能遭到“报复”而选择沉默。

  具体信件内容如下:

风险提示及免责条款

  市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

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