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  证券时报记者贺觉渊

  4月21日,中国人民银行授权全国银行间同业拆借中心公布新一期贷款市场报价利率(LPR)。其中,1年期LPR为3.1%,5年期以上LPR为3.6%,两个品种报价继续保持不变。目前,LPR已连续6个月“按兵不动”。

  LPR是贷款利率定价的主要参考基准。作为LPR的定价基础,央行政策利率未做调整,LPR也缺乏调降动力。从经济基本面看,一季度我国经济运行实现良好开局,且当前社会融资成本已处于历史低位,短期内降低政策利率,并引导LPR下降的紧迫性不强。此外,受外部环境扰动,近期人民币汇率承压,美联储放缓降息节奏也导致中美利差压力增大,进一步制约降息。

  LPR报价加点由报价行共同决定,鉴于当前商业银行净息差水平整体偏低,报价行缺乏调整LPR加点的意愿。4月以来,多家银行已密集下调存款利率,缓解银行负债端成本。湘财证券研报指出,由于贷款是银行的主要生息资产,贷款利率的下调对净息差产生的影响较为直接。因此,净息差承压是短期内不支持LPR调降的因素之一。

  考虑到二季度经济运行可能受到外部冲击影响,市场对于央行在二季度“择机降准降息”的预期持续升温。当前,外部环境更趋复杂严峻,国内结构转型任务仍然较为繁重。4月18日召开的国务院常务会议明确指出,要“加大逆周期调节力度”“持续推动房地产市场平稳健康发展”。

  东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青对证券时报记者说,综合考虑当前外部经贸环境变化、房地产市场走势及物价水平,二季度“择机降准降息”时机已经成熟。在外部环境急剧变化的背景下,稳楼市的迫切性显著上升。

  随着财政部明确将于4月24日启动1.3万亿元超长期特别国债和5000亿元中央金融机构注资特别国债发行工作,释放在二季度保持较强支出力度的信号后,市场专家认为未来降准或早于降息落地。

  根据财政部发行计划,两类特别国债将主要集中在二三季度发行。此外,地方政府债券、国债尚有较大规模的可用额度。在政府债券加快发行的阶段,银行体系流动性的充裕容易受到扰动,买断式逆回购、净买入国债以及降准等多项货币政策工具可以支持更加积极的财政政策发力见效,打好政策“组合拳”。

  目前我国宏观政策还有充足空间,能够有效应对外部环境的不确定性变化,保持国内经济合理增长。民生证券固定收益首席分析师谭逸鸣表示,财政供给放量可能带来资金面扰动和利率上行压力,央行或通过加大公开市场操作力度、恢复国债买入等方式来投放流动性,预计降准降息的配合窗口也愈发临近,降准或优先于降息。

  2025年4月18日,上海久诚律师事务所许峰律师代理的国美通讯(600898)投资者索赔案获得济南市中级人民法院立案,目前正在等待法院的下一步安排,律师团队同步还在继续推进后续案件的立案工作,还在接受其他投资者的索赔委托。

  2024年10月13日晚,国美通讯(600898)公告收到证监会《行政处罚决定书》,经查,国美通讯违法事实如下:

  一、国美通讯2020年年度报告存在虚假记载

  国美通讯2020年度参与同一实际控制人控制下的关联方开展的苹果手机、康佳彩电、华为手机贸易业务,该贸易业务存在合同闭环和资金闭环,为虚假的购销业务。国美通讯通过虚假贸易业务虚增2020年度营业收入57,823.56万元、营业成本57,459.25万元,分别占当年营业收入的61.53%、营业成本的62.18%,国美通讯2020年年度报告存在虚假记载。

  二、国美通讯2020年非公开发行股票构成欺诈发行

  国美通讯2020年非公开发行的相关文件,引用了上述虚假贸易业务收入数据,公司2020年1-9月确认的虚假贸易业务收入为57,823.56万元,占当期营业收入的86.21%。2021年3月中国证监会批准了国美通讯非公开发行申请,即向控股股东山东龙脊岛建设有限公司定向发行股票,募集资金总额为16,560.01万元,募集资金主要用于京美电子智能终端生产线改造项目。国美通讯非公开发行股票相关文件存在虚假记载,构成欺诈发行。

  三、国美通讯2021年年度报告存在虚假记载

  国美通讯2021年度递延所得税资产确认、使用权资产和租赁负债等会计处理不当。2023年4月29日,国美通讯发布《关于前期会计差错更正及追溯调整的提示性公告》,对2021年度财务报表进行会计差错更正并追溯调整。2021年国美通讯净利润错报金额为1,962.98万元,占当期报告记载的净利润比例为38.35%,国美通讯2021年年度报告存在虚假记载。

  上海久诚律师事务所主任许峰律师认为,在2021年4月29日到2023年4月29日之间买入国美通讯股票,并且在2023年4月29日后卖出或继续持有股票的投资者,目前还可发起索赔。

  (本文由上海久诚律师事务所主任许峰律师供稿,不代表新浪财经立场。许峰律师,2008年起律师执业,执业服务范围涉及虚假陈述、内幕交易、操纵市场等证券欺诈领域索赔代理。十几年来已代理近两百只股票的投资者胜诉或调解获赔,同期还在代理诉讼时效内近三百只股票的索赔案件,部分也已有胜诉以及调解获赔先例。执业证号:13101200810965495)

热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  洛阳钼业(03993)早盘持续走高,股价上涨8.68%,现报6.01港元,成交额4.21亿港元。

  洛阳钼业宣布,经公司投资委员会批准,将通过海外实体以全现金方式收购加拿大上市公司Lumina黄金全部已发行和未发行的所有普通股,交易总价约为5.81亿加元。据悉,Lumina黄金是一家在多伦多证券交易所创业板上市的贵金属和基本金属勘探公司,总部位于温哥华,公司100%持有位于厄瓜多尔西南部埃尔奥罗省的Cangrejos金矿项目。

  Cangrejos是厄瓜多尔大型原生金矿项目,于2023年完成预可研。基于预可研报告,Cangrejos保有资源量13.76亿吨,金平均品位0.46g/t,内蕴黄金金属638吨;储量6.59亿吨,金平均品位0.55g/t,内蕴黄金金属359吨。未来矿山寿命预计26年。该矿为典型的斑岩型矿,体量大,埋藏浅,全露天开采且剥采比低,加上周边电力、水资源、道路和港口等基础设施完备,因此开采成本将具竞争力。

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