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甜宠肉H双处:如何利用市场趋势实现财富自由的终极指南
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甜宠肉H双处:如何利用市场趋势实现财富自由的终极指南

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河池市(宜州区、罗城仫佬族自治县、都安瑶族自治县、金城江区、大化瑶族自治县、天峨县、巴马瑶族自治县、凤山县、环江毛南族自治县、东兰县、南丹县)

成立于1997年的豫能控股(维权),目前是河南最大的省属能源企业之一,主要成员企业数十家,涉及多个领域。

在最新公布的2024年报中,豫能控股实现营收121.6亿元,同比增长1.4%;归母净利润亏损1.21亿元,亏损额自2022年以来持续大幅减少。业绩恢复的背后,得益于这家河南省属国有控股企业在近年来悄然开启的一场跨越式转型。

重塑煤电主业,压实基本面

在豫能控股的业务体系中,能源板块是顶梁柱。

目前,豫能控股能源资产主要分为“发电、热力、电力服务、煤炭和售电”五大业务,包括河南豫能新能源、南阳天益发电、濮阳豫能发电、新乡中益发电、鹤壁鹤淇发电等多家能源企业。

过去几年,煤炭价格上涨一度让煤企集体“躺赢”,可反差巨大的是,电企遭遇整体巨亏。

作为省属重点能源企业,尽管煤价飙涨,但为了保障地方能源安全、履行社会责任,豫能控股一直在亏钱发电。

业绩显示,2021年至2023年,公司归母净利润亏损分别为20.28亿元、21.4亿元、5.54亿元,连续三年出现大额亏损。

面对持续亏损的困境,豫能控股把煤电的提质增效作为公司未来发展的重要抓手。为此,自2022年以来,豫能控股围绕“煤电解耦”、“热电解耦”、“源网解耦”、“消耗量与排放量解耦”,从含燃物质耦合、供热改造、灵活性改造、末端资源化(含CCUS)四个方向着手,制定了一厂一策转型重要举措。

目前,公司生物质掺烧、污泥掺烧、供热改造、灵活性改造、CCUS跟踪研究等12项解耦项目已在其旗下各煤电企业落地见效。

除了大力推动煤电节能降碳改造,豫能控股还从供热改造和灵活性改造入手探索煤电的低碳转型发展。在鹤壁市,公司下属电厂丰鹤发电通过低压缸零出力改造等方式提升机组供热能力,并与鹤淇发电一同推进“鹤(壁)热入安(阳)”项目建设,构建互调互济的供热新格局,实现电厂供热与城市发展的协同。

公司推动的煤电机组掺烧城市污泥,以及炉渣粉碎制灰、石膏综合利用,实现了废弃物减量化、无害化、资源化和规模化处置。不但减少了二次污染,还开发了高附加值的综合利用产品。通过构建绿色产业链,带动和培育煤电低碳循环经济圈,蹚出了一条绿色低碳、城市协同的可持续发展的新路。

截至2024年末,豫能控股火电总装机7660MW,其中600MW级大容量、高效率、环境友好型机组容量比例达到80%以上,高于全国及河南省平均水平。

2024年,豫能控股火力发电及供热板块实现毛利7.45%,较上年同期增长5.06%,在连续三年亏损的不利形势下,公司能源板块成功实现扭亏为盈。

介入新业务,培育新动能

近年来,可再生能源装机和发电量成为电力市场的重要组成部分,占比快速增长,能源消费电力化、电力生产清洁化趋势不断加强。

在“双碳”目标之下,能源行业转型升级面临新挑战和新任务。能源企业以绿色和低碳为导向,从不同能源品种、从产业链上中下游、从产供储运销各环节,全方位推进减污降碳,壮大清洁能源。

在持续优化存量资产的同时,如何“跳出火电谋转型、跳出煤炭谋发展”,成为豫能控股谋求新机遇、培育新增量的必答题。

立足当前,面向未来,豫能控股近年来提出加快绿色低碳循环发展,大力开展可再生能源项目建设,构建清洁低碳、安全高效的能源体系。

截至2024年末,公司在运新能源装机707.92MW,其中风电装机366MW,生物质热电装机30MW,光伏发电装机311.92MW;濮阳市濮阳豫能多能互补(风光火储)一体化项目范县400MW风电项目(一期200MW)、林州100MW风电项目、河南鲁山抽水蓄能1300MW项目、林州弓上抽水蓄能1200MW 项目建设正顺利推进。

此外,公司还投资鹤壁宝山产业聚集区增量配电网项目,因地制宜探索分布式能源和智能电网技术应用,推动新能源就地消化;成立地热能公司,积极开拓河南省地热能供暖市场;跟踪研究新型储能、氢能、数字能源等战略性新兴产业及未来产业。

如今,豫能控股正着力提高风力发电、光伏发电、生物质发电装机规模,重点布局抽水蓄能、地热能等新兴产业,建立“风光水火储一体化”综合能源供给体系,打造“源网荷储一体化”综合能源发展格局,为构建以新能源为主体的新型电力系统积累经验、提供示范,做好河南省能源保障供应。

价值重估行情正在上演

除提质增效外,豫能控股的业绩恢复也极度依赖于煤价的涨幅情况。

“煤炭价格涨跌一直围绕经济周期波动,如果将来煤价再“发烧”,豫能控股业绩能否持续恢复?”这是投资者们比较关心的问题。

去年4月12日,国家发改委等宣布,2027年,初步建立煤炭产能储备制度,有序核准建设一批产能储备煤矿项目;2030年,力争形成3亿吨/年左右的可调度产能储备。这意味着,政策层面将会出手平抑未来煤价暴涨。

更为重要的是,随着容量电价政策于去年1月起执行。容量电价类似于固定电话的“座机费”,在现行的煤电单一电量电价机制之外,发电机组以装机容量而非发电量为基准获得额外收益。通俗来说就是火电企业不发电时也有收益。

“过去市场对火电股作为周期股的判断深入人心,但容量电价落地,未来火电公司的盈利将拆分为电量利润、容量利润、绿电利润,后两者本质上都挂钩我国绿电化进程。”广发证券研报认为。

广发证券研报指出,容量电价落地将夯实火电的盈利稳定性,火电的公用事业属性将持续增强,火电公司价值重估的节点已来临。

事实上,火电上市公司价值重估行情已经在上演。截至4月15日,豫能控股股价报收4.05元/股,总市值62亿元。自去年9月中旬以来累计涨幅约21%,远远跑赢同期上证指数和行业指数。

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