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  来源丨正经社(ID:zhengjingshe)

  【正经社“保险之道”观察之11】

  泰康人寿的分支机构撤销速度正在加快。

  根据企业预警通发布的信息统计,截至4月20日,泰康人寿2025年已收到60张“机构终止类”许可——2024年全年,获准撤销的分支机构才120家左右。

  与此平行的,是其最近两年净利润增速的持续下滑和退保问题的凸显。后者,又主要跟销售过程中存在违法违规行为有关。

  1

  分支撤销速度加快

  根据正经社2024年12月9日发布的深度研报《泰康系又出大事,“重灾区”阴影待消丨正经深度》,2024年,泰康人寿是寿险行业“老六家”中分支机构撤销数量仅次于太保寿险的公司,超过了“寿险一哥”中国人寿和平安人寿。

  2025年,泰康人寿分支机构的撤销速度进一步加快。截至4月20日,已经获准撤销分支机构60家,差不多已是2024年全年撤销数量的一半,涵盖了河南、湖北、辽宁、广西、天津、黑龙江、湖南、江西、江苏、安徽、山东、福建、重庆、广东、新疆等15个省份的营销服务部门。

  撤销分支机构,一方面是数字化不断深入保险服务的每一个运营环节,保险企业分支机构的服务属性不断被弱化的必然结果;另一方面则是保险企业面临增收不增利的经营压力而被迫采取的瘦身增效措施之一。

  2021年至2024年,泰康人寿保险业务收入分别同比增长10.05%、3.68%、18.93%和12.37%,净利润分别同比增长22.64%、-54.27%、16.14%和6.27%。最近3年,保险业务收入增速明显高于净利润增速。

  2

  TOP3退保超百亿

  纵向看,根据偿付能力报告提供的数据,2023年一季度至2024年四季度,泰康人寿的综合退保率分别为1.12%、1.75%、2.59%、3.11%、0.87%、1.55%、2.37%和3.19%,两年间上升幅度并不太高。

  横向看,已经披露2024年四季度偿付能力报告的59家寿险公司中,泰康人寿的退保情况相当突出。

  正经社分析师发现,2024年退保金额TOP10的产品中,仅仅泰康人寿一家就涉及三款,合计退保金额超百亿元。分别为:泰康赢家人生终身寿险(投资连结型)、泰康鑫账户(至尊版)终身寿险(万能型)、泰康附加财富赢家定期寿险(万能型),退保金额分别是51.16亿元、34.11亿元、25.82亿元。

  三款产品中,比较突出的是泰康赢家人生终身寿险(投资连结型)。2021年至2023年,该投连险独立账户退保金额分别为70.67亿元、24.16亿元、33.47亿元,新增交费金额分别为153.06亿元、8.81亿元、0.79亿元。2022年与2023年的新增交费金额断崖式下跌,退保金额分别高出新增交费金额15.35亿元、32.58亿元。

  根据2024年四季度偿付能力报告提供的数据,2024年末,头部险企退保金额TOP3产品年度累计退保基本没有超过40亿元者:中国人寿为38.72亿元、中国平安人寿为29.85亿元、中国太平洋人寿为25.91亿元、新华保险为33.67亿元、中国人保为36.54亿元,而泰康人寿则高达100多亿元,远超行业平均水平。

  3

  屡遭投诉频频被罚

  一般情况下,消费者退保是多方面原因造成的。销售过程中的误导行为,往往是重要因素。

  正经社分析师发现,因为诱导消费,泰康人寿屡遭监管部门处罚。比如,2023年6月,湖北分公司因部分支公司进行误导宣传而被罚款95万元;

  2023年11月,青岛分公司因误导销售、强制搭售和虚假方案盗取费用等被罚款43万元;

  2023年12月,贵州六盘水中心支公司因误导和虚假宣传被罚12万元;

  2024年2月,海南分公司因外聘讲师讲解产品时存在误导行为和电话销售中心销售误导被合计罚款15万元;

  2024年4月,广东分公司因通过特别约定变更保险金额和费率、对保险内容进行不实宣传、欺骗投保人和被保险人被罚款57.43万元;

  同月,苏州中心支公司因欺骗投保人等8项违规行为被罚款68万元;2024年12月,陕西延安中心支公司因销售误导、承诺额外利益被罚15万元;

  2024年12月消息显示,因涉及欺骗投保人、承诺并给予投保人合同外利益等五项重大违规,泰康人寿重庆分公司被处以125万元罚款,泰康人寿重庆万州中心支公司被罚款11万元,泰康人寿重庆分公司副总经理陈宝令因负有责任而被罚款20万元并受到2次警告;个险营销部经理曾姝被罚款3万元并警告;江北支公司经理王浚豪等3人各自被罚款2万元并警告;万州中心支公司营销一区经理陈亚明被罚款1万元并警告,等等。

  消费者的投诉也可谓源源不断。比如4月18日,就有一位网友代替母亲通过黑猫投诉【下载黑猫投诉客户端】平台发帖称,2016年9月和12月,泰康人寿的业务人员向他母亲推销了两份泰康鑫享人生年金保险(分红型),告诉她该产品每年有分红,收益比存银行高,交满15年就可以拿回本金和利息,还有万能账户,每年有4个点的固定收益,钱存进去可以利滚利。最让老人心动的是,业务员告诉她两份保险交满15年算上本金和分红,差不多有两三百万的回报。

  老人识字不多,更没办法看懂保险合同,直到2025年她才了解到她买的两份年金保险与业务员描述的存在很大出入。该网友称,泰康业务员存在的以下违规行为:(1)对他母亲隐瞒与保险合同有关的重要内容;(2)夸大保障责任与保险收益;(3)代消费者投保,虚假填写消费者信息;(4)欺骗投保人、被保险人的别的行为。

  该网友母亲的遭遇不是个案。黑猫投诉平台上,截至4月18日,针对泰康人寿发起的投诉已经达到15000多起,大多都直接指向虚假宣传、诱导消费,很多都直接提出了退保的要求。

  面对盈利和合规的双重压力,已过耳顺之年的长期主义者陈东升,肩上的担子仍然不轻。【《正经社》出品】

来源:华尔街见闻

在特朗普90天关税暂停将于7月8日到期之际,韩国政府高级官员紧急赴美,寻求避免潜在的贸易打击。

据媒体报道,韩国正寻求在7月8日前与美国达成贸易协议,以避免面临特朗普政府的关税冲击。韩国财政部长崔尚穆(ChoiSang-mok)和贸易、工业和能源部长安德根(AhnDukgeun)周四在华盛顿与美国财政部长贝森特和美国贸易代表JamiesonGreer举行了"2+2"会谈。

韩国媒体《韩联社》报道,崔尚穆向记者透露,后续会谈将聚焦四大类别:关税与非关税措施、经济安全、投资合作以及货币政策。

韩国提出"互惠"解决方案

在周四的会谈中,崔尚穆强调韩国是一个"可靠的伙伴",并建议寻求对两国互惠的解决方案,同时传达了韩国对关税问题的担忧。

安德根则提出了几项具体措施,包括双方共同为重建美国造船业做出贡献、维持可持续和平衡的韩美贸易,以及加强韩国的能源安全。他还特别要求美方对韩国实施互惠和针对具体项目的关税豁免。根据韩国财政部的声明,双方决定继续举行工作层面会议和更多高层讨论。

关税威胁仍未解除,核心出口产业受威胁

尽管韩国与大多数国家一样暂时避免了"互惠"关税,但该国钢铁和铝材出口到美国仍面临25%的关税,汽车出口也面临相同比例的额外税负。这些产品恰恰是韩国对美国的主要出口商品。

据汽车市场平台Carpro数据显示,韩国的现代和起亚在美国畅销品牌中排名前八。根据美国商务部下属国际贸易管理局的数据,2024年韩国也是美国第四大钢铁进口来源国。

政治不确定性增添变数

澳新银行(ANZ)在周四的一份报告中指出:"虽然韩国有很大机会与美国谈判达成贸易协议,但其选举日程可能会延长达成全面协议的时间表。6月3日选举后将成立新政府,其立场很可能会影响谈判结果。"

4月4日,宪法法院解除了尹锡悦总统的职务,韩国将于6月3日举行大选选出新总统,而这些政治变动将为谈判增添更多不确定性。

对于投资者而言,韩美贸易谈判的结果不仅关乎韩国主要出口企业的利润前景,也将成为特朗普新任期贸易政策取向的重要风向标。随着7月8日期限临近,市场波动性很可能加剧。

风险提示及免责条款

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