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  华夏时报

  4月25日,中共中央政治局召开会议,分析研究当前经济形势和经济工作。记者注意到,房地产是此次政治局会议的重点关注领域。在“平稳”基调不变的背景下,政治局会议指出,加力实施城市更新行动,加快构建房地产发展新模式,并首次提出加大高品质住房供给。

  平稳基调不变

  此次有关房地产的内容依旧是在“防范重点领域风险”的部分被提出。具体来看,政治局会议指出,要持续用力防范化解重点领域风险。继续实施地方政府一揽子化债政策,加快解决地方政府拖欠企业账款问题。加力实施城市更新行动,有力有序推进城中村和危旧房改造。加快构建房地产发展新模式,加大高品质住房供给,优化存量商品房收购政策,持续巩固房地产市场稳定态势。

  58安居客研究院院长张波对《华夏时报》记者表示,此次政治局会议延续了“止跌回稳”的总基调。落实“一揽子化债政策”将有利于直接改善房企现金流,并对其参与城市更新、基建配套形成实质利好。

  张波表示,地方政府化债、城市更新与住房供给改革的协同推进,既可以避免系统性风险,也可以为市场注入新动能,预计后续政策也会加快落地。其中,包括北京、上海在内的一线城市有望加快存量住房改造、优化限售限购政策,二、三线城市则可能通过降低购房门槛、加大购房补贴等方式激活市场。同时,房地产市场止跌回稳的大趋势进一步强化,行业长期健康发展的确定性进一步增强。

  可以看出,城中村和危旧房改造、收购存量商品房依旧是下一步房地产的主要发力点。上海易居房地产研究院副院长严跃进对《华夏时报》记者表示:“城中村改造不仅能改善居住条件,还能激活更多市场需求,这与当前国内提振内需密切相关。”

  此外,中指研究院监测到的数据显示,今年以来,已经有超过20个地区优化房票政策。近期,厦门发文表示,房票使用范围扩展至二手房,且继续鼓励房票用于购买新房,进一步打通新房、二手房链条,促进市场库存去化。

  首提加大高品质住房供给

  值得关注的是,尽管高品质住房已经走进行业视野有一段时间了,但此次政治局会议则是首提“加大高品质住房供给”。

  在张波看来,此次政治局会议聚焦当下,更关注长远。会议强调构建房地产发展新模式,推动住房供给侧结构性改革,加大高品质住房供给,这标志着行业从规模扩张转向质量提升的转型路径进一步清晰,并引导开发企业从“增量开发”向“品质竞争”转变。

  中指研究院方面对《华夏时报》记者表示,今年,有关部门已经发布国家标准的住宅项目规范,将在5月份落地实施,部分城市也跟进发布了“好房子”建设相关标准,预计未来政策将进一步完善,更多城市明确标准规范,助力高品质住房建设,“好房子”有望放量。

  今年2月份,北京发布了“好房子”文件,表示可按需设置封闭或开放阳台,部分面积不计入容积率;允许套内面积较大的住宅在起居室设置一定比例面积的挑空空间,提高住宅得房率。4月24日,被看作是北京亦庄首个“好房子”项目的招商序做了产品发布,项目集齐了阳台、架空层、风雨连廊等一众“好房子”因素。

  股价先行

  业内认为,后续房地产市场会出台更多政策以打通交易链条。尽管实际政策尚未落地,但股价早已出现异动。4月25日,地产股受政策预期影响,涨幅明显。其中,A股房地产服务板块报收1112.74点,涨幅为1.10%。全新好涨停,报收7.16元/股,世联行股价涨幅超过5.91%。

  A股房地产开发板块早盘上涨明显,午后逐渐回落,报收12032.79点,涨幅为0.14%。成份股南国置业涨停,报收1.39元/股。

  消息面上,4月24日,南国置业发布公告表示,公司收到控股股东电建地产的通知,其拟受让公司持有的房地产开发业务等相关资产和负债,此次交易构成关联交易,预计可能构成重大资产重组。自2021年以来,南国置业已经连续4年亏损。此前,南国置业发布提示性公告,表示公司初步测算2024年度期末归属于母公司净资产可能为负值,或将被实施退市风险警示。

  除南国置业之外,A股房地产开发板块中的汇丽B、渝开发股价涨幅超过5%,大龙地产、卧龙地产等股票股价涨幅超过3%。港股地产板块涨幅同样明显,报收946.61点,涨幅为1.05%。其中,金辉控股、领地控股涨幅超过25%,京维集团、中国新城镇、花样年控股、大中华控股涨幅则超过10%。

  今年以来,房地产市场出现了多个向好信号,特别是土拍市场,热度明显增高。中指研究院发布的数据显示,今年前4月,22个重点城市土拍月度平均溢价率均在20%左右。截至4月22日,300城住宅用地出让金同比增长20.1%。

  中指研究院指数研究部总经理曹晶晶对《华夏时报》记者表示,核心城市土拍升温传递出一个重要信号,即随着限价政策逐步退出,“政府保障基本住房需求、市场满足多层次、多样化住房需求”的趋势正在加快形成。未来,企业通过开发高品质改善性产品则有助于进一步撬动住房消费潜能释放。

 

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