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在石油市场经历大幅下跌后,石油输出国组织(OPEC)第二大产油国伊拉克正计划在联邦预算中下调其对石油价格的预期。伊拉克总理财务顾问穆德赫尔·萨利赫(MudherSaleh)周二在电话中透露,2025年的油价预期将低于去年的每桶80美元,但他并未透露更多具体细节。这一决定此前曾因与石油公司就付款问题展开的谈判而推迟。

今年油价暴跌,过去两周更是因美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的全面关税政策而大幅下滑。4月份,基准布伦特原油价格下跌了13%,贸易战引发了人们对经济衰退的担忧,这将对能源需求造成损害,尤其是在美国和中国这两个全球最大的原油消费国。

回顾2023年年中,伊拉克议会批准了截至2025年的支出计划。当时,2023年的预算假设原油价格为70美元,并计划在后续年度进行审查和调整。然而,目前伦敦布伦特原油价格已跌破每桶65美元。

油价下跌给依赖石油的中东经济体带来了巨大压力,尤其是伊拉克。由于多年战争的影响,伊拉克经济疲软,需要更高的油价来支撑其支出。

2023年初,通往土耳其杰伊汉港的输油管道关闭后,在伊拉克半自治库尔德地区运营的国际石油公司被迫停止出口。此后,这些公司一直在与联邦和地区当局谈判合同条款,以期恢复石油输送。

萨利赫表示,该预算将很快提交议会进行最终批准。

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