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热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  4月23日消息,蜜雪集团(2097.HK)拉升涨超8%至510港元,再创历史新高,市值达1938亿港元,稳居中国餐饮类上市公司市值第一。蜜雪集团今年3月3日在港挂牌上市,现价较IPO价格202.5港元已累涨151%。

  蜜雪集团2024年录得收入248.289亿元,同比增加22.3%;净利润44.542亿元,同比增加39.8%。

  蜜雪集团集团主攻中国大众市场,按2024年门店数量计是目前国内最大现制饮品企业,在全国共有超过4.1万间店,在海外亦有4,895间分店,几乎全为加盟店。瑞银预测蜜雪2025至2027年收入及净利润年均复合增长率将达到18%及19%,看好其供应链能力和加盟模式。

  东吴证券发表研报指,蜜雪集团作为平价现制饮品龙头,自建端对端全流程供应链体系打造核心壁垒,IP化品牌营销塑造品牌心智。另外,该公司以加盟模式深耕下沉市场,推进品牌出海,持续巩固行业地位。东吴证券预计,蜜雪集团2024至2026财年归母净利润将分别为43.8亿、51.2亿及59.4亿元,对应市盈率分别为28、24及21倍。(格隆汇)

  作者:陈姗

  封图:图虫创意

  4月22日,中国银行将积存金产品的起购门槛提高至850元,而此次距离其上次调整尚不足一个月。

  记者梳理发现,今年以来,已有不少银行多次上调积存金起投金额,调整幅度超过20%。这一现象背后,是近期黄金价格持续上演飙升行情。

  4月22日,国际现货黄金突破3500美元/盎司,最高升至3500.12美元/盎司,COMEX黄金期货最高报3509.9美元/盎司,双双刷新历史纪录,年初以来累计涨幅均超30%。国内实物金价格也迎来暴涨,当日部分品牌金店的足金饰品报价已达1082元/克。

  关于近期金价上涨的逻辑,华安基金认为,主要受美元走弱、贸易政策不确定性引发的避险需求,以及美联储主席鲍威尔关于滞胀风险的鹰派言论推动。银河期货首席策略师沈恩贤分析称,全球经济、贸易格局走向的不确定性以及美元信用受损下,黄金交易逻辑仍聚焦于“滞胀博弈”与“政策扰动”,在市场持续追捧下,金价呈现加速上扬态势。

  记者注意到,除了银行调高积存金起购门槛并提示金价波动风险外,不少机构对于金价屡创新高的行情也普遍心存担忧,认为金价短期存在回调风险。

  4月23日,金价迅速上演“高台跳水”行情,盘中最低下探至3291美元/盎司,由前一日的高点暴跌近200美元/盎司,令投资者措手不及。这一剧烈波动再次印证了机构对黄金市场短期风险的预警。

  上调起购金额

  4月22日,中国银行发布公告称,根据人民银行《黄金积存业务管理暂行办法》规定,参考当前市场情况,将于4月23日起调整积存金产品的购买条件。

  具体调整内容包括:其一,按金额购买积存金产品或创建积存定投计划时,最小购买金额由750元调整为850元,追加购买金额维持200元整数倍不变。已在执行中的定投计划不受影响;其二,按克重购买积存金产品或创建积存定投计划时,最小购买克重维持为1克不变,追加克重维持为1克整数倍不变。

  值得关注的是,这是4月以来,中国银行第二次上调黄金积存业务认购起点金额。

  此前,中国银行公告称,自4月2日起调整积存金产品的购买条件,按金额购买积存金产品或创建积存定投计划时,最小购买金额由700元调整为750元,追加购买金额维持200元整数倍不变。

  在金价屡创新高的背景下,除了中国银行之外,近期已有工商银行、兴业银行、招商银行、光大银行等多家银行上调积存金起购门槛,或提示贵金属价格波动风险。

  例如,4月16日,工商银行发布《关于防范贵金属价格波动风险的提示》称,“近期国际形势复杂多变,贵金属价格波动较大。建议您提高风险防范意识,基于自身财务状况和风险承受能力理性开展贵金属投资活动,合理控制贵金属资产规模,防范贵金属价格波动风险。”此前,该行分别于2月26日、4月3日两次上调如意金积存业务最低投资额,由年初的650元调涨至800元。

  记者注意到,在经过一番调整之后,兴业银行目前的积存金活期及普通定期业务单次购买、新增定投购买起点已调涨至900元起;光大银行甚至将黄金积存个人业务定期投资按固定金额投资起购金额调整至1000元。

  据悉,根据监管要求,黄金积存产品最小业务单位为1克。因此,随着金价上涨,积存金的最低起购金额也需相应调整。有业内专家指出,银行上调积存金认购门槛,一方面有助于银行筛选出更有风险承受能力和投资经验的客户,同时还可以控制个人黄金积存业务规模,避免业务过度扩张带来的风险。

  警惕高位回调风险

  近日,随着国际金价屡创新高,业内也开始警惕。4月21日,上海黄金交易所发布《关于继续做好近期市场风险控制工作的通知》,向市场提示风险。

  上海黄金交易所指出,近期贵金属价格波动剧烈。请各会员提高风险防范意识,继续做好风险应急预案,维护市场平稳运行。同时,提示投资者做好风险防范工作,合理控制仓位,理性投资。

  “关税反复变化引发避险情绪高升,黄金投资热情高涨,但需注意短期获利了结资金外逃。”华安基金提醒,截至4月15日当周,美国商品期货交易委员会(CFCT)显示黄金的净多头寸削减至136919手,较前一月的200157手下降超30%,降幅创近期高点,反映出市场对金价高位回调的担忧情绪,仍需注意空头资金扰动。

  从中长期来看,华安基金认为,黄金在此轮全球性的危机中具备重要配置优势。第一,股市下跌引发风险偏好大幅下行,避险情绪高涨;第二,为对抗美元信用风险,全球央行购金逻辑将长期持续,是推动金价的源动力;第三,美联储2025年内降息预期已提升至86基点左右,仍在降息大周期中,利好不生息资产黄金。

  国联期货分析师王娜也认为,面对美国经济衰退风险加剧和金融市场不稳定性的环境,持有美元资产的风险正在上升,而黄金作为避险资产的战略性配置价值依旧,黄金中长期看涨。但她同时也强调,“需要注意的是,目前金价处于历史高位,短期内有多头获利了结导致回调的波动风险,若回调可考虑逢低布局。”

  值得注意的是,国际黄金在经历大涨后很快开启“跳水”。4月23日一早,“黄金巨震”相关话题冲上微博热搜。当日,国际现货黄金最低触及3291美元/盎司,由3500美元/盎司高点一度下跌达200美元/盎司。

  对于黄金高位急坠,银河期货分析师王露晨分析称,在美国经历股债汇三杀和避险资产的快速上涨后,特朗普对鲍威尔的态度忽然有所缓和,与此同时美国财长贝森特进行了较为鸽派的表态,暗示未来关税可能会下降,另外马斯克也可能退出DOGE,这些变化提振了市场的风险情绪,令美股和美元指数反弹,相应地,对于黄金的避险需求有所下降,令黄金出现回调。“尽管对于贵金属中长期上涨的判断没有出现大的变化,但当前可能会是贸易战出现变局的转折点,贵金属尤其是黄金在经历快速的上涨后,存在一定调整的可能。”王露晨补充道。

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