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侯卫东官场笔记最新-揭示她背后的精彩故事!
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来源:金十数据

  特朗普总统本周声称他“从未计划解雇美联储主席鲍威尔”,指责媒体散布虚假叙事。但白宫内部人士透露,高级官员确实严肃讨论了撤换鲍威尔的法律选项,包括寻找“正当理由”解除其职务的可能性。根据《联邦储备法》,美联储理事只能因“行为不当”被提前解职,这一标准被法院解释为需存在渎职或不当行为。

  这场内部讨论在本周初戛然而止——财政部长斯科特·贝森特(ScottBessent)和商务部长霍华德·卢特尼克(HowardLutnick)紧急介入,警告特朗普此举可能引发深远市场动荡和棘手的法律争端。卢特尼克更指出,即使成功撤换鲍威尔,美联储其他成员仍将维持相似货币政策立场,难以实现特朗普期望的降息效果。

  当地时间周二下午,特朗普在椭圆形办公室向记者表示“无意解雇鲍威尔”,缓和了前一天还咄咄逼人的表态。“现在是降息的完美时机。如果他不这样做,会是世界末日吗?不,不会的。”特朗普这番180度大转弯,揭示了其经济团队与市场力量的强大影响力。

  这场风波凸显特朗普面临的核心矛盾:他承诺重塑全球经济秩序,却不得不对市场现实做出妥协。周一与Target、沃尔玛等零售巨头的会面中,高管们直言关税正推高消费价格——次日特朗普即承认145%的对华关税“过高”,承诺将“大幅下调”。

  华尔街普遍认为,强行撤换鲍威尔不仅无法实现降息(目前12人利率委员会无人支持立即降息),更可能适得其反。Access/Macro首席经济学家蒂姆·马赫迪(TimMahedy)警告:“市场反应将如末日降临,痛苦如此迅速剧烈,总统将被迫立即撤回决定,否则面临系统性金融事件。”

  鲍威尔始终坚信美联储独立性不会受损,他在芝加哥演讲中强调这一制度“在华盛顿和国会得到广泛理解与支持”。值得注意的是,特朗普上月刚提拔美联储的鲍曼(MichelleBowman)担任监管副主席——这位由他首任期内任命的官员,恰恰是最直言不讳反对过早降息的声音之一。

  历史教训为这场对峙提供了注脚:1970年代,尼克松总统施压美联储主席阿瑟·伯恩斯(ArthurBurns)在大选前放松货币政策,导致多年高通胀,最终以1980年代初的严重衰退收场。这段经历确立了美联储独立性的非成文传统——央行应被赋予适度自主权,在保持低通胀与健康就业间寻求平衡。

  20世纪90年代,许多其他国家的央行也寻求并获得了政府赋予的相当大“独立性”,以便着眼于经济的长期利益来设定利率。

  福特汽车周二宣布推出针对顶级皮卡客户的“铂金Plus”专属服务计划,为其售价10万美元起步的2025款F系列SuperDuty皮卡提供从购车到保养的全周期高端体验。

  所谓的“铂金Plus”专属服务计划内容包括:私人礼宾\专属顾问全程对接;虚拟大师课,通过AR技术展示车辆工程细节;养护特权:2年或2.5万英里“福特至尊养护计划”(先到为准);以及定制礼品及选装配件折扣。

  福特F系列SuperDuty营销总监布莱恩·拉茨伯格(BrianRathsburg)表示:“当客户购买我们产品线顶端的车型时,他们期待匹配的顶级体验。”

  这项将既有服务系统化整合的创新计划,标志着传统车企正从“产品竞争”转向“体验竞争”。

  全球制药巨头礼来公司周三宣布,已对四家复合药厂提起法律诉讼,指控其非法生产并销售含有替尔泊肽(tirzepatide)的未经批准复合药物。复合药物是指通过混合、组合或改变药物成分制成的药物。

  这是继上月美国法官禁止药房仿制其减肥药和糖尿病药物后,礼来在知识产权保护方面挥出的又一记重拳。

  这四家被告公司分别是MochiHealthCorp、FellaHealthandDelilah、WillowHealthServices和HenryMeds。

  礼来制药向加州法院对他们提起诉讼,主要指控其销售含有添加剂或口服剂型的替尔泊肽仿制药品,且无法提供安全性和有效性的临床证据。

  替尔泊肽是礼来旗下重磅减肥药Mounjaro的主要活性成分。根据美国FDA规定,在药物被列为短缺期间,复合药厂可以合法仿制相关药物。但随着FDA近期将相关药物移出短缺名单,这一“合法仿制”窗口已关闭。

  礼来表示将继续采取法律手段保护其知识产权。

  欧洲天然气价格震荡,交易员评估获得液化天然气的一些新挑战,该地区需要液化天然气来补充枯竭的燃料储备。

  基准期货价格早些时候一度上涨2.4%,随后在小幅涨跌之间波动。尽管欧洲在重新填补库存方面似乎取得了一定进展,但从亚洲到美国的一系列事件加剧了供应风险和价格波动。

  在今冬库存跌至2022年以来最低水平后,欧洲未来几个月需要比往年多采购大约三分之一的天然气以重建库存。

  行业研究高级分析师PatricioAlvarez和JoaoMartins在报告中指出,“在俄罗斯管道天然气流量下降的背景下,将夏季LNG进口量提高30%以上至近1400亿立方米的年度纪录至关重要,这也可能在关税重塑LNG贸易格局的背景下支撑价格。”

  根据分析机构SparkCommodities的数据,在亚洲,一些与欧洲竞争美国液化天然气进口的国家在最近几周已成为更具利润吸引力的目的地,这增加了LNG供应被转向亚洲的风险,除非欧洲天然气价格出现反弹。

  阿姆斯特丹时间下午4:20,欧洲天然气基准荷兰近月期货跌1.1%,报每兆瓦时33.85欧元。

  据知情人士周三透露,美国司法部(DOJ)正对迪士尼收购流媒体平台FuboTV控股权的交易展开反垄断调查,重点关注该交易是否会导致体育流媒体市场过度集中。

  按照交易条款,迪士尼将持有合并后实体70%股份,FuboTV创始人兼CEODavidGandler继续掌舵。

  迪士尼将整合Hulu直播电视业务与FuboTV平台,打造北美第二大网络付费电视服务(仅次于YouTubeTV)。

  Hulu核心点播流媒体业务不包含在此次交易中。

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