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亭亭玉立逗骄阳,破灭的友情与心动的交错解析
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亭亭玉立逗骄阳,破灭的友情与心动的交错解析

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  4月24日,A股主要指数震荡走弱,截至收盘,沪指涨0.03%报3297点,深证成指跌0.58%,创业板指跌0.68%,北证指数跌3.44%。全天成交1.14万亿元,较前一交易日缩量1235亿元,全市场近3700股下跌。

  从盘面上看,银行涨幅居前,工农中三大行股价再创新高;PEEK材料、创新药、宠物经济概念股活跃;算力、次新股、AI应用、半导体、消费电子题材走弱。

  近期,银行股不断创出新高。今年以来,保险机构频频举牌上市银行。招商银行H股、农业银行H股、邮储银行H股、中信银行H股以及杭州银行被险企举牌。

  此前,有机构发表观点称,当前市场环境下银行股展现出明显的“类债资产”属性,具备防御避险和股息率跟随利率中枢下行的特征。从2023年以来的走势可以清晰看到,在市场风险偏好大幅回落和利率中枢加速下行的两种情形下,银行股估值修复的节奏会明显加快。

  对于A股整体的走势,华安证券表示,海外关税仍有扰动,但对A股的边际影响明显减弱,已经不是影响市场方向的核心矛盾,当下市场的核心矛盾在于国内政策如何进行对冲。然而1季度经济数据超预期特别是3月数据边际走强,短期内宏观政策大幅加码的迫切性下降,弱化了市场对国内政策的预期。

  该券商认为,后续市场变化的重要时间窗口关注月底中央政治局会议的定调,同时考虑到决策层和监管层稳定资本市场的态度坚决,因此政治局会议前预计市场将延续震荡态势。

  招商证券认为,当前市场在“平准”力量的作用下风险可控,在市场明显缩量震荡且业绩披露期临近尾声,指数选择突破式上行的概率较大。一季度经济数据改善且后续仍可能有进一步政策加码对冲外部冲击的背景下,最终今年总需求稳中有升的概率比较大,企业盈利有望稳中有升。

  中原证券认为,2025年财政政策预计更加积极,货币政策方面,央行可能择机降准降息以维持市场流动性充裕,支持实体经济复苏。政策面延续稳市场的基调,近期A股呈现分化格局,沪深300、上证50等宽基指数受益于机构资金持续流入,金融、地产等大盘蓝筹表现占优,而科技成长板块延续调整。

  韩国官员4月23日表示,由于日本国内大米价格持续上涨,越来越多日本游客在韩国购买大米带回国。

△4月21日,一名日本游客在首尔火车站附近的超市查看韩国大米。

  《韩国时报》援引多名分管零售业事务的官员的话报道,最近几周,越来越多日本游客在首尔的超市里采购大米。

  韩国广播公司发布的一段视频显示,在首尔一家超市的大米售卖区,几名日本女性在选购大米。她们说,当地米价约是日本的一半。

  一名日本游客在社交平台上分享了自己在韩国买米的经历。她自称是中年家庭主妇,本月早些时候从菲律宾宿务出发,在首尔停留时买了4公斤大米和5公斤糙米。她写道,10公斤大米在日本售价约8000日元(约合409元人民币),在韩国只卖约3000日元(约合153元人民币),“日本米价太高了”。

  由于大米属于受管制农产品,她必须在韩国仁川国际机场办理检疫手续,拿到植物出口证后才能将大米带回国。整个过程用时约30分钟。机场动植物检疫官员说,最近几周发放的向日本出口大米的检疫证数量激增,3月发证数量比2024年同期高20倍。

  一年内米价翻倍创历史新高

△日本埼玉县一家加工厂的储备米

  日本米价自去年夏天开始持续上涨。日本农林水产省本月21日发布的数据显示,一袋5公斤装大米均价4217日元(约合216元人民币),是去年同期的两倍多,刷新农林水产省开始相关统计以来最高纪录。

  为平抑米价,除拍卖储备米,日本政府将目光投向韩国。韩国一家农企4月21日说,计划向日本出口22吨大米,其中2吨已进入日本市场。依照韩国媒体说法,这2吨大米在两周内售罄。

  新加坡金融管理局可能在7月继续放松货币政策设置,穆迪分析经济学家在报告中指出。

  数据显示,3月整体通胀率同比稳定在0.9%,而核心消费价格指数(CPI)为0.5%,已连续第六个月放缓。

  多数主要类别价格压力有所缓解,但食品通胀的轻微上升阻碍了整体通胀率下行。经济学家预计2025年新加坡消费者通胀将维持在0.9%水平。

  尽管新加坡金管局未设定具体的通胀目标,但认为长期维持略低于2%的核心通胀率水平,符合经济价格稳定的要求。

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