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财联社4月16日讯(编辑刘蕊)随着美国总统特朗普乱挥“关税大棒”,摩根大通、贝莱德和高盛等多家华尔街巨头的CEO都在近期警告美国经济衰退风险上升。

美东时间周二,美国银行首席执行官布莱恩·莫伊尼汉(BrianMoynihan)表示,他也担忧特朗普关税可能会改变美国的经济前景,不过他仍坚持乐观地预期,美国经济今年不会陷入衰退。

美国经济年内不会陷入衰退?

美东时间周二,莫伊尼汉在声明中表示,随着特朗普的激进关税政策带来更多未来不确定性,“我们未来可能面临不断变化的经济”。

但他也告诉分析师,美银的研究团队仍然认为美国2025年不会发生经济衰退,并补充称:“我们将继续关注经济环境正在发生变化的迹象。”

该行首席财务官博思威克(AlastairBorthwick)在周二的财报电话会上表示,“我们的研究团队目前认为美国不会出现衰退,我们的客户继续显示出令人鼓舞的迹象。”

“我们的研究团队仍在预计美国经济将出现温和增长,”他补充道,“他们谈到了这样一个事实,即他们认为一些不确定性可能会导致美国经济在复苏之前放缓,但这与目前蓝筹股的共识非常相似,也与(美联储主席)鲍威尔所说的相似。”

美银已经为信贷压力提前做准备

尽管美银对外传达出乐观信心,但有迹象表明,美国银行已经预感到美国的信贷状况将恶化。

美国银行是美国第二大银行。目前,美银为未来可能出现的损失拨备了14.8亿美元的信贷拨备,比一年前增加了12%以上——这表明他们已经预感到信贷违约率的提升。

面对外界对于金融稳定前景的担忧,博思威克在财报电话会上,将美国银行目前的资产负债表与2009年第四季度进行了比较。2009年第四季度是美国房地产市场崩盘和金融危机之后的动荡时期,这场危机严重考验了美国银行和美国其他银行体系。

他对分析师们表示,自2009年底以来,美国银行的资本基础和流动性已大幅增加,压力测试结果显示,在经济严重衰退的情况下,信贷损失预计将大幅降低。

莫伊尼汉则表示,自那时以来所做的改变,将使美国银行“在压力时期屹立不倒”。

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