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新金瓶梅国语,细腻描绘一个风起云涌的历史剧。
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新金瓶梅国语,细腻描绘一个风起云涌的历史剧。

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  来源:能源严究院

  对老牌光伏龙头晶澳科技(002459.SZ)来说,2025年似乎“流年不利”。

  4月25日,晶澳科技(002459.SZ)发布2024年财报,实现营收701.2亿元,同比下跌14.02%;实现归属于上市公司股东净利润-46.56亿元,同比大跌166.14%。

  由现年72岁的邢台首富靳保芳创办的晶澳科技被公认为光伏龙头中最稳健的公司之一。过去10年,晶澳科技在全球组件出货量排名中,始终位列前五,甚至前三。

  但进入到2025年,除了业绩让人大跌眼镜外,该公司核心高管先后离职(可参考《晶澳走在“十字路口”》一文)亦为其前景蒙上了一层阴影。

  截至4月25日收盘,晶澳科技的股价为9.64元,总市值为319.05。若以最高点58.91元/股计算,其跌幅超过了83.6%。2022年,该公司市值一度突破1900亿元,这意味着三年市值蒸发了1600亿元。

  如今,这家光伏龙头又恰处于二代接班的转折期,这艘大船能否在逆风中翻盘?

  巨亏下的阴霾

  2024年之所以出现巨亏,系因晶澳科技对出现减值迹象的长期资产进行减值测试,经过审慎评估将按照企业会计准则计提资产减值准备,对业绩影响较大。

  财报显示,2024年该公司资产减值金额高达31.54亿元,占利润总额比例60.61%。这成为公司大幅亏损的主因。

  而从单季度来看,晶澳科技仅在2024年第四季度的亏损额就达到了惊人的41.72亿元,占年度亏损总额的89.6%。

  自2019年回A以来,2024年是晶澳科技首次出现亏损,且首亏即巨亏。而倘若将时间线拉长,过去十年,晶澳科技从而出现过亏损,业绩十分稳健。

  据‘能源严究院’统计,从2019-2023年,这家光伏龙头不论在营业收入方面,还是在净利润方面都稳步提升,营收从211.56亿元,涨到815.56亿元;净利润则从12.52亿元,飙涨到70.39亿元。

  2024年,晶澳科技电池组件出货量79.447GW(含自用1.544GW),其中组件海外出货量占比约49%。

  根据第三方权威咨询机构PVInfoLink统计数据,截至2024年,该公司光伏组件出货量连续多年位居全球前列,其中2024年位列前三。

  截至2024年底,晶澳科技的组件产能达100GW,硅片与电池产能分别达到组件产能的80%以上和70%以上,产业链垂直一体化产能高度匹配。

  2024年,晶澳科技研的研发投入为37.11亿元,占营业收入5.29%;有效专利1899项,其中发明专利1031项。

  核心高管接连离职

  除了出乎意外的巨亏,晶澳科技不久前还陷入过核心高管的离职漩涡中。

  3月11日,晶澳科技发布公告称,现年50岁的武廷栋申请辞去公司副总经理和董事会秘书职务,接替者为39岁的秦世龙。后者曾担任TCL中环副总经理,董秘。

  武廷栋出生于1975年,系晶澳老将。他于2011年加入,这一待就是14年。他的身份并不简单,与牛新伟、黄新明、李少辉一起被称为“四太保”,为公司立下过汗马功劳。

  根据公告,武廷栋请辞副总经理和董事会秘书后,仍继续在公司担任其他职务。据称他将转任晶澳科技业务岗位,新岗位职级仍是VP。

  根据财报,从2011年到2018年,武廷栋历任晶澳太阳能控股有限公司公共关系部高级经理、电站开发项目部高级经理、电站事业部副总经理、董事会秘书、助理总裁。

  2019年9月,晶澳成功借壳天业通联回A,登陆国内资本市场,这位功勋老将成为晶澳科技副总经理兼任董事会秘书。

  而在武廷栋请辞之前,牛新伟和黄新明早已不在‘董监高’的名单当中。截至目前,“四太保”中如今仅剩李少辉还在董监高的名单中。

  李少辉出生于1974年,现年51岁,会计师出身,比武廷栋晚一年加入晶澳。从2012年至今,他一直掌握着这家光伏龙头的财政大权。

  不过,晶澳的高管层正朝着年轻化的趋势发展。例如,董事、副总经理陶然今年38岁,监事李京今年34岁,监事李彬彬今年才28岁。

  根据晶澳科技2024年财报,在该公司14名董监高成员中,年龄在40岁以下的有4位,占比28.57%%;年龄在40-49岁的有5位,占比35.7%。

  晶澳科技高管近年来之所以频繁离职,或与其二代接班有关。新老交替下,权力的平衡也随之打破,新的格局由此形成。

  2021年,靳保芳大女儿靳军辉放弃大好仕途,加入家族企业。次年,时年61岁的黄新明和时年57岁的牛新伟相继离开晶澳董事会。

  黄新明出生于1961年,他是在晶澳美国上市后的第二年加入,历任副总经理、总经理等职位,是该公司的“定海神针”。

  牛新伟加入的时间是“四太保”中最晚加入晶澳。他出生于1965年,曾在美国通用电气公司等外资公司工作多年。

  从2009年4月到2016年7月,牛新伟在浙江正泰太阳能科技有限公司担任薄膜运营总监、资深研发总监、总工程师等职。2016年8月加入晶澳以来,他历任助理总裁、副总裁、执行总裁等职。

  如今,晶澳科技这艘光伏大船不仅要面临自行业寒冬的冲击,还要经历内部权力更迭所带来的短期震荡,如何穿越新的周期,成为现下最迫在眉睫的挑战。

  荷兰国际集团分析师ChrisTurner在报告中指出,瑞士央行行长马丁·施莱格尔对进一步降息及通过大力干预汇市抑制瑞郎走强保留政策空间。不过该行并不倾向于如市场预期般在6月重启负利率政策,其汇率干预能力也存在局限性。

  报告称,若本季度金融市场波动加剧推高避险资产需求,欧元兑瑞郎汇率可能快速回落至0.92。

  受全球避险资金流减弱及市场对美国与他国达成贸易协议的乐观预期影响,FactSet数据显示欧元兑瑞郎现上涨0.2%至0.9448,触及两周半高位。

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