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专题:515投资者保护!新浪财经2025年度投教案例展播中

  新浪财经“2025年度投教优秀案例评选”活动已于3月21日正式启动。睿远基金《价值投资与基金实务课程》参选“投教项目优秀实践奖”类别。>>活动详情

  据悉,睿远基金投教基地-交大安泰共建课程“价值投资与基金实务系列课程”,在2024年度成功举办了两期,每一期课程贯穿在一个学期之中,共计约举办了20节课程。

  该课程在传递价值投资理念,既能够普及基金投资知识,也是推动投教纳入国民教育体系的一次课程创新和有益探索,通过包括睿远在内的机构行业研究和投资一线实践的专业人士,指导学生学以致用,积极探索行业世界,努力将课堂所学与社会需求相结合。

  同学对课程的兴趣和满意度较高,积极参与讨论和互动,出勤率高,对课程内容积极反馈。在每学期最后的答辩课上,各组同学积极发言,受邀的行业内评委嘉宾也给出了中肯的建议和期望。本次课程不仅能够丰富同学们的投资知识,他们未来也有机会将所学知识和技能应用到实际投资中。

MACD金叉信号形成,这些股涨势不错!

  来源:金十数据

  据《纽约时报》报道,政府官员和其他知情人士透露,以色列曾计划最快于下月打击伊朗核场址,但最近几周特朗普放弃了这一计划,转而与德黑兰谈判一项限制其核计划的协议。

  报道称特朗普是在经过数月的内部争论后做出这一决定的,争论的焦点在于:在伊朗军事和经济实力被削弱的情况下,是通过外交手段还是支持以色列来削弱伊朗制造原子弹的能力。

  这场辩论凸显了历来鹰派的美国内阁官员与其他助理之间的分歧,后者更怀疑对伊朗发动军事攻击是否可以摧毁该国的核野心并避免更大规模的战争。争辩之后他们达成了暂时反对军事行动的大致共识,而伊朗表示愿意进行谈判。

  以色列官员最近制定了在5月袭击伊朗核场址的计划。他们准备实施这些计划,有时还乐观地认为美国会签字同意。据了解情况的官员称,这些建议的目标是将德黑兰发展核武器的能力推迟一年或更长时间。

  几乎所有计划都需要美国的帮助,这不仅是为了保护以色列免遭伊朗的报复,也是为了确保以色列的攻击取得成功,从而使美国成为攻击本身的核心部分。

  目前,特朗普选择了外交手段而非军事行动。在他的第一个任期内,他撕毁了奥巴马政府谈判达成的伊朗核协议。但在他的第二任期内,为了避免卷入另一场中东战争,他开始与德黑兰谈判,并给德黑兰规定了在短短几个月内就其核计划达成协议的最后期限。

  在周四接受记者采访时,特朗普对他“拒绝”以色列的说法表示反对,但承认与伊朗谈判是他的首选行动方案。他补充说,他并不“急于”支持对伊朗采取军事行动,但重申他不希望德黑兰拥有核武器。

  特朗普说:“我认为,伊朗有机会拥有一个伟大的国家,过上没有死亡的幸福生活。这是我的第一个选择。如果有第二种选择,我认为这对伊朗非常不利,而我认为伊朗是想谈判的。”

  本月早些时候,特朗普向以色列通报了他的决定,即美国不会支持发动攻击。内塔尼亚胡上周访问华盛顿时,特朗普与他讨论了这一决定,并在椭圆形办公室会议上宣布美国将与伊朗开始谈判。

  内塔尼亚胡在会后以希伯来语发表的声明中说,与伊朗达成的协议只有在允许签署者“在美国的监督下,在美国的执行下,进入伊朗,炸毁设施,拆除所有设备”的情况下才能奏效。

  本文基于与多位了解以色列秘密军事计划的官员的谈话以及特朗普政府内部的秘密讨论。大多数受访者在匿名的情况下讨论了军事计划。

  长期以来,以色列一直计划攻击伊朗的核设施,进行轰炸演练,并计算在有无美国帮助的情况下能造成多大破坏。但在伊朗去年遭受一连串挫折后,以色列政府内部对打击伊朗的支持日益高涨。

  在4月份对以色列的袭击中,伊朗的大部分弹道导弹都无法穿透美国和以色列的防御系统。伊朗的重要盟友真主党去年在以色列的军事行动中被摧毁。

  随后,叙利亚总统巴沙尔-阿萨德政府垮台,消除了真主党和德黑兰的盟友,并切断了从伊朗走私武器的主要通道。

  伊朗和叙利亚的防空系统以及伊朗用于制造导弹燃料的设施也被摧毁,这在一段时间内削弱了该国生产新导弹的能力。

  最初,在内塔尼亚胡的授意下,以色列高级官员向美国同行通报了一项计划的最新情况,该计划将以色列突击队对地下核设施的突袭与轰炸行动结合在一起,以色列希望美国飞机能够参与这一行动。

  但以色列军方官员说,突击行动要到10月份才能准备就绪。内塔尼亚胡希望行动能更快地执行。据了解该计划的官员称,以色列官员开始转向一项扩大轰炸行动的提议,该行动也需要美国的援助。

  一些美国官员至少在最初对考虑以色列的计划持更开放的态度。据了解讨论情况的官员称,美国中央司令部司令迈克尔-库里拉(MichaelE.Kurilla)将军和国家安全顾问迈克尔-沃尔茨(MichaelWaltz)都讨论过,如果特朗普支持以色列的计划,美国可能会如何支持以色列的袭击。

  随着美国加强对也门境内伊朗支持的胡塞武装分子的战争,库里拉在白宫的支持下,开始将军事装备运往中东。第二艘航空母舰“卡尔-文森”号目前正在阿拉伯海,与在红海的“哈里-杜鲁门”号航空母舰会合。

  美国还将两个“爱国者”导弹炮台和一个被称为“THAAD”的末端高空区域防御系统转移到中东。大约6架可携带30000磅炸弹的B-2轰炸机被派往印度洋上的迪戈加西亚岛基地,这些炸弹对摧毁伊朗的地下核计划至关重要。此外,美国还考虑向该地区增派战斗机,有可能是向以色列基地增派。

  所有这些装备都可用于打击胡塞武装——美国自3月15日以来一直在攻击胡塞武装,以阻止他们对红海航运船只的袭击。但美国官员私下表示,这些武器装备也是美国计划在与伊朗的冲突中支持以色列的一部分。

  即使美国决定不授权这些战斗机参与对伊朗的打击,以色列也会知道美国战斗机可以用来抵御伊朗盟友的攻击。

  有迹象表明,特朗普对美国支持以色列对伊朗采取军事行动持开放态度。美国长期以来一直指责伊朗向胡塞武装提供武器和情报,并至少在一定程度上控制着该组织。3月17日,特朗普在警告也门胡塞武装停止袭击的同时,也斥责伊朗,称伊朗控制着胡塞武装。

  特朗普在社交媒体上写道:“胡塞武装开的每一枪,从现在起都将被视为来自伊朗武器和领导层的一枪,”他补充说,“伊朗将被追究责任,承担后果,而且后果将不堪设想!”

  但在特朗普政府内部,一些官员开始对以色列的计划持怀疑态度。

  在本月的一次会议上,国家情报总监图尔西-加巴德(TulsiGabbard)提交了一份新的情报评估报告,称美国武器装备的集结有可能引发与伊朗更广泛的冲突,而这正是美国所不希望看到的。

  在各种会议上,许多官员都表达了加巴德的担忧。白宫办公厅主任苏西-怀尔斯、国防部长皮特-赫格塞斯和副总统JD-万斯都对袭击表示怀疑。就连经常在伊朗问题上发出最鹰派声音的沃尔茨也对以色列的计划能否在没有美国大量援助的情况下取得成功持怀疑态度。

  最近美伊的会谈是在伊朗方面表示他们对间接会谈持开放态度后不久举行的。关于与伊朗达成什么样的协议才是可以接受的,特朗普团队内部仍有很大争议。特朗普政府对其希望达成什么样的协议,以及如果不同意协议会给伊朗带来什么后果等问题发出了混合信号。

  本文于本周三首次发表后,内塔尼亚胡的办公室发表了一份声明,强调了他旨在挫败伊朗核计划的公开和秘密计划。

  声明说:“这些行动使伊朗的核计划推迟了大约十年,这要归功于内塔尼亚胡总理的坚持不懈,他顶住了国内外对其有力的伊朗政策的巨大反对。正如总理不止一次明确表示的那样:以色列不会允许伊朗获得核武器。”

  内塔尼亚胡向特朗普施压,要求他加入攻击行列,这是以方近二十年来与美国总统辩论的重演。在美国同行的阻挠下,内塔尼亚胡转而专注于针对特定设施的秘密破坏行动和对伊朗核科学家的暗杀。

  虽然这些努力可能减缓了该计划的速度,但伊朗现在比以往任何时候都更接近于在几个月或一年内生产出六枚或更多核武器。美国官员早就说过,以色列单独行动,仅靠轰炸行动无法对伊朗核场址造成足够大的破坏。

  以色列长期以来一直在寻求美国最大的常规炸弹——重达30000磅的掩体炸弹,它可以对伊朗在山下的关键核设施造成重大破坏。以色列为5月的袭击考虑了各种方案,其中许多方案都与美国官员讨论过。

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