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转自:新华财经

新华财经北京4月21日电(李奇涵)美国国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特近日表示,特朗普总统和他的团队正在研究解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔是否是一种选择。上周四,特朗普在社交媒体上发了一篇帖子,把矛头指向了鲍威尔,他写道,美联储应该降息,并补充说,他的“解雇来得不够快”。

尽管美联储主席是由总统任命并经国会批准的,但它是一个独立的角色。2017年11月,特朗普提名鲍威尔为美联储主席,并在次年1月被国会批准,2月正式就职;2021年11月,鲍威尔被乔·拜登总统提名连任四年,他的美联储主席任期将于2026年5月15日结束。

“总统和他的团队将继续研究这个问题,”哈塞特上周五(4月18日)在一次媒体聚会上被问及是否有可能罢免鲍威尔时表示。

为什么要换人?

鲍威尔在上周三发表的讲话中警告称,特朗普政府的贸易战可能导致美国通胀上升和经济增长放缓。这种经济组合描述了滞胀——“停滞”和“通货膨胀”的混合,表现为经济增长放缓而价格上涨加速的时期。

鲍威尔重申美联储计划暂时保持利率稳定,这也引发了特朗普的反对。

“他来得太晚了。总是太晚了。有点迟钝,而且我对他不满意。我让他知道——如果我想让他下台,他会很快离开那里的,相信我,”特朗普上周四在白宫说。

特朗普能炒鲍威尔的鱿鱼吗?

从法律角度看,总统无权随意撤换美联储主席,除非存在“正当理由”。若法院支持特朗普的立场,将重塑独立机构与当权者之间的关系格局。

1935年,美国最高法院在一项里程碑式的裁决中确认,国会有权设立独立联邦机构,除非存在“正当理由”,这些机构的董事会成员在任期结束前不得被强制离职。

去年11月特朗普当选后,美联储主席鲍威尔明确表示,若总统要求他辞职,他将拒绝。此前,特朗普曾多次批评鲍威尔的表现。鲍威尔强调,法律禁止总统解雇或降职美联储主席,并指出:“国会可以修改法律,但美联储的独立性得到两党及参众两院的广泛支持,我认为这不会有风险。”

然而,据路透社上周三报道,特朗普近期解雇了另一金融监管机构——美国国家信用合作社管理局(NCUA)的两名民主党董事。今年3月,白宫还撤换了联邦贸易委员会(FTC)的两名民主党成员,而该委员会历来为独立的两党机构。

今年早些时候,特朗普政府在致国会的一封信中明确表示,其核心目标是推翻1935年的“汉弗莱执行人诉美国案”(Humphrey’sExecutorv.US)判例。该判例允许国会要求总统在解雇独立机构董事会成员时提供理由,如渎职等。若这一判例被推翻,将对国会设立的一系列独立于白宫政治影响的机构产生深远冲击。

谁是鲍威尔的接替者?

现年55岁的美联储前理事凯文·沃什(KevinWarsh)曾任摩根士丹利高管,时任总统乔治·W·布什于2006年2月提名为他美联储理事,2011年3月离开美联储。据美国媒体上周四报道,特朗普正考虑提名沃什接替鲍威尔担任美联储主席。不过,报道补充称,沃什建议特朗普让鲍威尔继续留任至任期结束。

哈佛大学经济学家肯尼斯·罗格夫在1月的一篇博客文章中指出,沃什备受尊敬,且被认为比鲍威尔更偏鹰派,更倾向于维持高利率以遏制通胀。

而即便特朗普有权解除鲍威尔职务,也未必能改变美联储的利率政策方向。美国货币政策由联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)决定,该委员会由12名成员组成,负责制定货币政策,而非美联储主席一人独断。

美联储丧失独立性的后果

芝加哥联储总裁奥斯坦·古尔斯比周日在接受哥伦比亚广播公司采访时表示,经济学家几乎一致认为,货币政策独立性应免受政治干预。美联储或任何国家央行能够独立开展必要工作至关重要。他指出,这一结论并非理论推演,而是源于对缺乏货币独立性的国家和地区的观察——这些地区往往通胀更高、增长更慢、就业市场更糟。古尔斯比强调,绝不希望美联储陷入独立性受质疑的环境,因为这将损害其公信力。

长期以来,美国两党总统均对美联储保持不干涉态度。联邦法律规定,美联储七名理事仅可因“正当理由”被解雇,而非因政策分歧。削弱美联储独立性不仅会加剧投资者对特朗普关税政策的焦虑,还将动摇美联储对抗通胀所需的信誉。经济学家预计,关税将推高物价,而这一点使美联储的独立性尤为重要。历史表明,拥有独立央行的国家通常通胀率较低。

与此同时,美国最高法院正审理针对两个独立机构的紧急上诉,这两个机构日益成为争夺美联储控制权的代理战场。案件涉及特朗普解雇上述机构高级官员,而这些官员正寻求复职。他们警告,若特朗普在劳工委员会一案中胜诉,将为彻底改革美联储敞开大门。

前美国国家劳工关系委员会(NLRB)主席格温·威尔科克斯上周向最高法院警示:“美联储的独立性若变得不确定,将对市场造成严重冲击。”

特朗普的官员则坚称,NLRB与美联储之间并无关联。

支持美联储者认为,在鲍威尔领导下,美联储始终依据经济数据决策,致力于实现最大就业和价格稳定的双重使命,即便这些决定不受政客欢迎。事实证明,这种独立性对于美联储在必要时有效应对通胀和失业至关重要。

编辑:马萌伟

  一、涉嫌信息披露违法违规

  近日,*ST中程(维权)披露了立案进展,公司目前正在被证监会立案调查,还未收到调查结果,若后续经中国证监会行政处罚认定的事实,触及《深圳证券交易所创业板股票上市规则(2024年修订)》规定的重大违法强制退市情形,公司股票将被实施重大违法强制退市。

  1月17日,公司收到证监会下发的《立案告知书》。梳理公司过往公告,公司曾因未履行信披义务被深交所于2024年8月下发监管函,公司连续12个月累计发生的诉讼、仲裁金额合计7415.35万元,占净资产绝对值的比例为20.30%。按照相关规定,累计诉讼已达到披露标准,但公司未及时履行信息披露义务。立案或是对公司信息披露违法违规行为的追溯处罚。

  二、彻底拉响退市警报

  值得注意的是目前该公司退市风险高悬,因该公司2023年净资产为负且财报被保留意见,若2024年财报触及相关情形,股票可能被终止上市。需提醒投资者注意投资风险,公司被立案的情况下仍然持续购入,这部分将无法索赔。

  自退市新规的颁布以来,市场优胜劣汰机制正在逐步形成。目前维权预征集早已开启,信息披露义务人在证券交易市场承担民事赔偿责任的范围,以原告因虚假陈述而实际发生的损失为限。

  依据相关法律法规,初步定于2025年1月17日(含当日)之前买入,并在2025年1月18日之后卖出或仍持有而亏损的投资者可参与维权。

  (本文由上海沪紫律师事务所刘鹏律师供稿,不代表新浪财经的观点。刘鹏律师,专注证券维权19年,自2006年执业以来,成功为中青宝、国华网安(维权)、劲嘉股份(维权)等300余家上市公司的中小投资者成功维权,案件在办数量超过14000起,胜诉率达99.2%。作为业内资深证券维权律师,刘鹏律师精准把握案件核心,诉讼经验丰富,索赔策略高效,为投资者争取最大权益,维权实力行业领先。证券维权,选对律师是关键!专业决定胜算,经验确保结果,首选刘鹏律师,让您的索赔更稳妥、更高效!)

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