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图书馆的女朋友第一集和第二季|让我们一起见证国货崛起的精彩瞬间
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来源:环球网

【环球网金融综合报道】4月21日,金价继续狂飙,截至发稿前,现货黄金价格已涨至3371美元/盎司,日内涨幅1.3%。COMEX黄金期货价格涨至3381美元/盎司,涨幅1.6%。与此同时,美元指数持续走低,下跌至三年低点98.61。

在零售端,各大珠宝品牌的首饰金价也纷纷上调。今日,周大福首饰金价为1039元/克,老庙黄金1038元/克,周生生首饰金价为1034元/克。

面对金价的持续上涨,多家机构开始提示投资风险。4月16日,嘉实基金发布公告称,为控制基金规模、降低投资风险,自4月18日起暂停嘉实上海金ETF发起联接的大额申购,单个开放日每个基金账户的累计申购(含转换转入及定期定额投资)金额不得超过100万元。同样,永赢基金、国泰基金、华夏基金、华安基金旗下的黄金股ETF也纷纷发布暂停申购、赎回等业务的公告。

除了基金公司外,多家银行也发布关于贵金属业务市场风险提示的公告。建设银行在4月14日发布公告称,近期国内外贵金属价格波动加剧,市场风险提升,提醒投资者提高风险防范意识,合理控制仓位。此前,上海黄金交易所3月18日也要求会员单位提示投资者合理控制仓位,做好风险预案。

近期有机构发布研报指出,谨防短期黄金大幅波动,多头设好止盈。华联期货在周报观点指出,从影响因素来看,虽然2022年以来黄金上涨的四大核心逻辑仍在,只是后续可能减弱。此外还有美国通胀上行预期也利好黄金。操作上建议投资者黄金短线再次入场后持有,设好止盈。

也有机构继续看好黄金股,招商证券研报认为,从长期来看,金属市场将重回供应问题和新消费拉动的逻辑。近期继续推荐关注相对确定性较高的黄金板块投资机会。该研报分析认为,关税政策不确定性提升黄金避险需求,同时削弱美元信用导致美指持续下行,在此背景下中期通胀压力增大中期利好黄金。

中泰证券则在研报中指出,金价上涨通道完好;尤其是金价突破3000美金/盎司后,市场对未来金价中枢及企业利润也将进一步修正。以山东黄金和招金矿业为例,黄金股动态PE估值已经远低于负的一倍标准差,并回落至2009年以来的历史最低水平。从另外一个角度,低估值水平也反映出较大的市场预期差。(闻辉)

  上海黄金交易所4月21日发布关于继续做好近期市场风险控制工作的通知:近期贵金属价格波动剧烈,请各会员提高风险防范意识,继续做好风险应急预案,维护市场平稳运行;同时,提示投资者做好风险防范工作,合理控制仓位,理性投资。

  来源:上海黄金交易所网站

  4月21日,截止午间收盘,A50ETF华宝(159596)跌0.09%,半日成交额7311.75万元。资金流向方面,连续2天获得净申购。

  国泰海通证券表示,建议投资者尽快转变对股市主要矛盾的认识,提高中国配置。首先,经过三年出清和调整,投资人对经济形势的估计是充分的,已有共识对估值收缩的影响是递减的。

  其次,海外扰动变化显示美国面临滞胀、美元信用的约束,后续或仍有反复,但不确定性最大的时候或已过去,股市触底并不取决于不确定性减小,在于不确定性不再变大。

  最后,中国股市估值的主要矛盾正在发生转变,要看到中国的确定性,贴现率下降是2025年中国股市上升的关键动力。更加积极有为且后备充足工具箱的经济政策,以“投资者为本”的资本市场制度改革,以及李强总理关于“持续稳定股市楼市”的表态,中国股市风险溢价有望系统性下移,而无风险利率下降将成为增量入市的关键一环。随着投资者关于内外部的疑虑消减,中国股市也有望走出升势,战略性看多。

  配置方面,新兴科技是主线,金融周期是黑马,可关注3条主线:一是金融与高分红,无风险利率下降与增量入市,推荐券商/保险/银行;同时,可关注具备股息与稳健经营优势的央企高分红股,推荐运营商/高速公路/公共事业。二是新兴科技成长,推荐港股互联网/传媒游戏/信创/半导体/算力/医药。三是顺周期的回归,推荐地产/有色/化工/建材/零食/化妆品。

  资料显示,A50ETF华宝(159596)及其场外联接基金(A类021216/C类021217)被动跟踪中证A50指数,该指数汇聚A股行业核心龙头,50只成份股分别来自50个中证三级行业,全面表征A股标杆型核心资产!做多中国,首选A50。

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