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  近日,瀚天天成电子科技(厦门)股份有限公司(以下简称“瀚天天成”)正式向香港联交所递交了上市申请,寻求在港股市场的新一轮融资与发展机遇。作为全球最大的碳化硅外延晶片供应商,瀚天天成的这一举动引起了业界的广泛关注。

  瀚天天成成立于2011年,由碳化硅领域顶级科学家赵建辉博士创立,专注于碳化硅外延晶片的研发、生产与销售。碳化硅外延晶片作为一种高性能的半导体材料,因其耐高温、高压和高效能量转换特性,被广泛应用于新能源汽车、光伏发电、轨道交通、智能电网及航空航天等领域。根据灼识咨询的报告,自2023年以来,瀚天天成按年销售片数计稳居全球第一,2024年的市场份额超过30%。

  然而,尽管市场地位稳固,瀚天天成在财务表现上却面临着不小的挑战。招股书显示,2022年至2024年,瀚天天成的营收分别为4.41亿元、11.43亿元和9.74亿元,2024年营收同比下滑14.4%。毛利率也从2022年的44.7%下降至2024年的34.1%,两年间减少了10.6个百分点。2024年公司营收下滑主要受到碳化硅外延晶片价格持续下跌的影响。据招股书数据,6英寸晶片均价从2020年的1.14万元/片跌至2024年的7300元/片,降幅超过36%。灼识咨询预测,至2029年均价或进一步跌至4400元/片,潜在降幅近40%。

  尽管营收和毛利率双双下滑,但瀚天天成在净利润方面却实现了增长。2022年至2024年,公司净利润分别为1.43亿元、1.22亿元和1.66亿元,2024年增长36.1%。公司净利润的表现主要得益于政府补助的存在,2024年政府补助占净利润的67.5%,这种依赖政府补助的盈利模式是否可持续,受到部分分析人士的质疑。

  瀚天天成在客户和市场布局上也存在一定的风险。公司高度依赖海外市场,2022年至2024年,大中华区收入占比从38.1%降至21.3%,海外收入占比升至78.7%。其中,欧洲占27.6%,亚洲(除大中华区)为主要销售区域。这种高度依赖海外市场的格局,使得瀚天天成易受国际贸易政策变化的影响。此外,公司客户集中度较高,前五大客户收入占比超过八成,若主要客户因价格战或供应链调整缩减订单,公司营收或将面临断崖式下滑风险。

  面对挑战,瀚天天成表示将通过IPO募资扩产。公司计划重点布局8英寸碳化硅外延晶片生产线,以进一步提升产能和市场份额。然而,扩产需大量资金支持,且若下游需求波动,如新能源汽车市场增速放缓,可能导致库存积压或产能利用率不足,增加财务压力。

  瀚天天成拟在港上市,无疑为其提供了新的融资平台和发展机遇。然而,在碳化硅市场竞争加剧、产品价格持续下滑的背景下,瀚天天成能否通过上市实现战略突围,仍需关注其产能释放进度、盈利质量提升及客户结构优化等关键变量。未来,瀚天天成能否在全球碳化硅市场中保持领先地位,还请投资者们审慎看待。

  注:本文结合AI生成,文中观点不构成投资建议,仅供参考。市场有风险,投资需谨慎。

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