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镇江市(扬中市、句容市、丹徒区、京口区、润州区、丹阳市)









新乡市(长垣市、卫辉市、卫滨区、封丘县、获嘉县、新乡县、辉县市、原阳县、凤泉区、红旗区、延津县、牧野区)  仙桃市(潜江市、神农架林区、天门市)









葫芦岛市(龙港区、建昌县、兴城市、连山区、南票区、绥中县)









怀化市(靖州苗族侗族自治县、中方县、芷江侗族自治县、会同县、鹤城区、新晃侗族自治县、溆浦县、沅陵县、洪江市、通道侗族自治县、辰溪县、麻阳苗族自治县)









金华市(婺城区、浦江县、金东区、兰溪市、永康市、武义县、东阳市、义乌市、磐安县)海北藏族自治州(祁连县、门源回族自治县、刚察县、海晏县)









迪庆藏族自治州(香格里拉市、维西傈僳族自治县、德钦县)  池州市(贵池区、石台县、青阳县、东至县)









海口市(琼山区、美兰区、秀英区、龙华区)









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忻州市(忻府区、代县、定襄县、宁武县、岢岚县、河曲县、静乐县、偏关县、保德县、神池县、五台县、繁峙县、原平市、五寨县)连云港市(灌云县、海州区、东海县、连云区、灌南县、赣榆区)









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永州市(新田县、宁远县、江华瑶族自治县、东安县、江永县、冷水滩区、蓝山县、道县、双牌县、零陵区、祁阳市)









临夏回族自治州(积石山保安族东乡族撒拉族自治县、康乐县、临夏市、永靖县、临夏县、广河县、和政县、东乡族自治县)









甘南藏族自治州(碌曲县、夏河县、合作市、卓尼县、舟曲县、临潭县、玛曲县、迭部县)

  2025年一季度泓德泓华混合基金净值增长率为4.49%,同期业绩比较基准收益率为-0.87%。基金自2016年12月1日成立以来累计净值增长率135.37%,同期业绩比较基准收益率为29.06%。

  2025年一季度,资本市场在复杂的内外部环境中呈现分化运行态势。A股市场开年后快速调整了两周,便开启了持续反弹的行情。在此过程中,不同板块之间的结构性分化显著。以人工智能和机器人等为代表的科技行业表现优异,TMT、汽车、机械等成长板块表现突出。另一方面,煤炭、石油石化等传统周期板块受大宗商品价格波动拖累持续承压,而业绩稳健的高分红板块也在持续调整。此外,消费领域呈现边际改善。政策层面,两会释放积极信号,财政政策安排超长期特别国债3000亿元支持。一季度,港股恒生指数和恒生科技指数涨幅领跑全球,与过去三年的表现形成鲜明对比,其中恒生科技板块的投资价值重新得到评估,估值得到部分修复,南向资金快速持续流入。然而,4月份的美国“对等关税”政策带来不确定性,进而导致全球资本市场的波动。按照其过往行为方式推测,未来关税政策的落地执行仍存变数:一方面,全球部分区域的税率会有较大下调概率;另一方面,美国受负面影响较大的产业或企业将有可能申请并得到一定期限的关税豁免。

  泓德泓华混合在一季度适当提高了高分红板块和港股板块的持仓,并将部分估值偏高的标的进行适度减仓。展望未来,面对外部环境的剧烈变化,我们应修炼好内功,重点支持内需消费,培育并大力发展新质生产力,开启逆周期调节因子,尽可能将外部冲击带来的负面影响降低。

  投资方面,泓德泓华混合将持续关注以下几大板块:

  稳健收益板块。面对国内外不断增加的各种风险和不确定性,能够提供稳健收益的品种成为稀缺资源。传统意义上的高分红板块正是这一类资产的典型代表,但需要注意的是,经过过去两年的上涨后,高分红板块出现分化,能够提供真正的稳健收益的品种,才是我们要重点研究和关注的板块,而并非过往简单逻辑的延续。

  有望困境反转的板块。虽然市场在去年9月底之后有了显著的上涨,但板块之间分化明显,部分板块股价又重新回到去年9月底之前的位置。其中,基金经理秦毅重点关注供给侧持续出清、行业格局改善以及供需关系边际优化的板块,如医药、新能源、部分消费板块及部分化工细分子行业等领域。

  科技成长板块。DeepSeek的出现,意味着我国在AI领域的能力已经来到了世界一流水准,在某些方面甚至超越了美国的科技企业。“未来,我们持续关注科技板块的算力国产化、端侧硬件创新和AI应用端落地等方向,并通过深度研究挖掘其中的优质企业。智能驾驶作为AI大模型率先落地的应用领域,也将成为我们未来关注的重点方向,与此相关的整车和零部件环节,均有望受益。”秦毅表示。

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