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  刚刚披露完毕的基金一季报透露出“国家队”增持轨迹。

  公募基金一季报陆续披露。券商中国记者翻阅发现,多只“巨无霸”级别的宽基ETF在一季度获“国家队”大手笔增持,其中仅华夏沪深300ETF、华夏上证50ETF、嘉实沪深300ETF、易方达沪深300ETF等4只产品就被中央汇金公司增持合计超过2000亿元。

  以中央汇金公司为代表的政策性资金是市场重要的维稳力量,既给市场带来了增量资金,也有助于提振资本市场的信心。

  “国家队”一季度买入ETF轨迹曝光

  基金一季报陆续披露完毕,“国家队”偏好的多只宽基ETF披露了大资金持有动向。

  华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF是国内规模最大的ETF,最新规模超过3000亿元。该ETF2025年一季报显示,今年一季度,“机构2”增持该ETF3.63亿份。

  今年初“机构2”持有该ETF266.21亿份,被认为是“国家队”的中央汇金资产管理有限责任公司,因为该ETF2024年年报显示中央汇金资产管理有限责任公司2024年底持有该ETF266.21亿份。

  基金一季报之所以未直接透露“机构2”的名称,是因为基金报告披露规则约定导致。ETF仅在半年报和年报中披露持有人以及相应持有份额。ETF虽然不会在基金季报中披露持有人信息,但是会在季报中披露单一投资者持有基金份额比例达到或超过20%的情况,这就意味着若有机构投资者的大额申购行为导致其持有比例超过20%,其报告期内的申购情况同样会被披露。

  除了华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF,华夏沪深300ETF、嘉实沪深300ETF、易方达沪深300ETF的一季报也透露出“国家队”的买入轨迹。

  在基金一季报中披露“机构增持ETF明细”的还有华夏沪深300ETF、嘉实沪深300ETF、易方达沪深300ETF,分别增持对应的ETF各1.57亿份、1.17亿份和5.02亿份。通过与ETF2024年年末的持有人进行对比,上述增持行为均是“国家队”中央汇金资产管理有限责任公司所为。

  “国家队”持仓ETF已超万亿元

  2023年开始,股票ETF逐渐成为“国家队”入市的重要通道。

  2023年10月23日,中央汇金公司公告称,当日买入ETF,并将在未来继续增持。这是中央汇金公司较为罕见地公开喊话增持ETF。截至2023年底,中央汇金公司主要持有沪深300ETF、上证50ETF、上证180ETF、中证500ETF等。

  国新投资则是在2023年12月宣布增持的“国家队选手”。数据显示,2023年年底,国新投资持有5只ETF产品,如南方中证国新央企科技、博时央企创新驱动ETF、博时中证国新央企现代能源ETF等。

  2024年2月6日,中央汇金公司再次公告表示,扩大ETF增持范围,持续加大增持力度、扩大增持规模,坚决维护资本市场平稳运行。

  2024年以来,中央汇金公司开始增持多种类型的ETF,持仓范围进一步扩大,涵盖中证1000ETF、创业板ETF、科创板ETF等。

  截至2024年底,中央汇金公司持有ETF金额合计突破万亿元。

  今年4月,全球资本市场动荡,官方发出积极信号,中央汇金公司明确是资本市场上的“国家队”,发挥着类“平准基金”作用。4月7日至8日凌晨,中央汇金公司、中国诚通、中国国新等多家中央企业发布公告称近期已增持ETF,坚决维护资本市场平稳运行,并表示坚决当好长期资本、耐心资本、战略资本,释放稳市强信号。央行同步宣布,将通过再贷款向中央汇金公司提供充足资金支持,形成“政策工具—资金渠道—市场操作”的闭环。

  “中国版平准基金”以大手笔真金白银维护资本市场稳定,不断加码,为A股市场提供增量资金。

  4月7日ETF数据显示,当日股票ETF净买入量合计达到689.96亿元。4月8日数据显示,ETF获资金净流入金额合计达到1117.8亿元,创出历史新高。其中,股票ETF获资金净流入1062.75亿元,相比4月7日净流入的689.96亿元有大幅增加,其中大部分增量资金被认为是“国家队”资金,为A股市场的企稳提供了重要资金支撑。

  4月7日以来,截至4月21日,股票ETF净申购额合计达到超过2100亿元。其中,华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF净申购额为445.89亿元,华夏沪深300ETF净申购额为354.19亿元,易方达沪深300ETF净申购额为324.36亿元。此外,嘉实沪深300ETF、华夏上证50ETF、南方中证500ETF、南方中证1000ETF均获净申购超百亿元。

  基金经理看好后市

  “国家队”在市场震荡之际,能够迅速主动作为,一定程度遏制A股悲观情绪的蔓延及流动性风险的发生。

  近期,市场情绪逐渐转暖,上证指数一度站上3300点。

  基金经理也在基金一季报中看好A股投资机会。

  展望二季度,华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF基金经理柳军表示,春季行情结束后,市场或将重新聚焦基本面及政策延续性方面。虽然面临扰动,但从潜在增量政策的储备或者是心理预期准备,尤其是以DeepSeek为代表的科技突破对于信心的强化,A股结构性机会或仍将持续并进一步增多,宽基指数配置价值凸现。

  中欧基金基金经理蓝小康表示,关税仍将带来市场的不确定性,但是随着中国政策的前置,关税风险应能被对冲。因此从全年来看,继续看好股市。本次关税引发市场调整后,中美政策将共振上行,商品类、低估值类资产将是最重要的方向,在贵金属的逻辑上,在本次短期波动后,投资者可以去观察交易去美元化的逻辑是否出现。

 

  根据贝莱德智库(BlackRockInvestmentInstitute),全球投资者正在面临一个“根本不同的金融市场时代”,这要求采用一种全新的投资策略,更加注重选择性。

  “有必要从简单、甚至幼稚的逐险/避险策略转变为更加精细、更有针对性的策略,”该机构的中东和亚太区首席投资策略师BenPowell周二表示。

  投资者应该重新审视那些曾经在“通胀处于低位、央行一有麻烦迹象就出手相救”的情况下行之有效的策略。但现在情况显然不同了。“央行行长受到通胀方面的制约,”他说。

  贝莱德智库的BenPowell表示,随着美国总统唐纳德·特朗普加速推进一些既有的趋势,我们正“迈入一个根本不同的金融市场时代”。

  美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的政策从根本上改变了全球投资环境。他宣布的关税措施扰动了市场并引发了美元资产的抛售。他对美联储的批评令美联储的独立性受到质疑。许多人认为持续多年的美国例外论时代已经走到尽头。

  “美国现在的风险溢价与几年前有很大不同,市场需要一段时间才能消化它,”贝莱德的Powell表示。他补充说,虽然黄金和一些较小的市场出现资金流入,但目前尚无美元的替代品。

  他认为日本资产值得市场增持,因为该国国内经济复苏且公司治理改善。虽然市场可能会因特朗普方面的最新消息而受到冲击,但贝莱德更倾向于在长期策略上继续关注能源转型、人口结构分化和人工智能等“巨大力量”。

  🌟【博时市场点评4月22日】两市涨跌不一,成交小幅放量

  📝每日观点

  🎈今日沪深三大指数涨跌不一,沪指上涨0.25%,两市成交小幅放量至1.12万亿。国外方面,在特朗普加征高额关税和扬言解雇美联储主席鲍威尔等一系列动作下,投资者对美联储独立性以及经济陷入“滞涨”的担忧进一步发酵,美国市场上演股债汇三杀的情况,这种情况自1971年以来只出现过6次,总结起来,当美国“滞涨”而其他国家基本面较好时,美国可能出现股债汇三杀的情况。国内来看,二季度外需可能承压,国内扩内需政策信号进一步明确,近期总理多次在会议和调研中高度关注经济问题,提出“要讲究政策时机,在一些关键的时间窗口,推动各方面政策措施早出手、快出手,对预期形成积极影响。要把握政策力度,必要时敢于打破常规”,未来10天或可关注政治局会议和人大常委会。权益市场短期或仍在博弈政策和出口下行两方影响下维持震荡,关注地产、消费等可能政策发力方向。

  🔥消息面

  🎈近日,中共中央、国务院印发《关于实施自由贸易试验区提升战略的意见》。《意见》提出,要增强对外贸易综合竞争力,推动货物贸易优化升级。支持有条件的自由贸易试验区深化智能网联汽车道路测试、示范应用,开展民用无人驾驶航空试验基地(试验区)建设。探索建立生物医药企业进口研发用物品“白名单”制度,允许免予办理进口药品通关单。

  简评:近期美国通过关税政策构筑贸易壁垒,引发了全球风险资产的剧烈波动。《意见》的发布为智能网联汽车、民用无人驾驶航空和生物医药等行业带来积极的政策支持,有助于推动技术创新及市场拓展。同时,通过推动货物贸易优化升级、增强服务贸易发展活力、支持数字贸易创新发展等举措,有望进一步优化整体市场环境,增强对外贸易综合竞争力,促进经济高质量发展。

  🎈近日,央行等四部门联合印发《上海国际金融中心进一步提升跨境金融服务便利化行动方案》。其中指出,提升人民币跨境支付系统功能和全球网络覆盖;支持银行基于境外机构自由贸易账户开发存款产品,允许非居民外币存款利率参考国际惯例进行市场化定价;探索上海黄金交易所特定品种交割国际化,设置境外交收库。

  简评:《方案》对于强化上海国际金融中心的全球资源配置能力、提升金融市场国际化水平、增强金融服务实体经济效能,特别是发挥上海作为链接国内外两个市场、两种资源的枢纽作用具有重要意义。其中多处提及人民币,涵盖了人民币的结算、清算、融资和计价职能,体现了优化人民币跨境使用、为国际贸易投融资保驾护航的政策导向,有望进一步推动经济高质量发展和高水平对外开放。

  👉市场复盘

  🎈4月22日,A股三大指数涨跌不一。截至收盘,上证指数报3291.43点,上涨0.25%;深证成指报9905.53点,下跌0.36%;创业板指报1944.32点,下跌0.82%;科创100报1021.50点,下跌0.54%。申万一级行业中,商贸零售、建筑材料、交通运输涨幅靠前,分别上涨1.03%、1.02%、0.90%;传媒、通信、计算机跌幅靠前,分别下跌1.08%、0.97%、0.90%。2492只个股上涨,2518只个股下跌。

  💰资金追踪

  🎈市场成交额为11213.80亿元,较前一交易日上涨。两融余额昨日收报18097.56亿元,较前一交易日上涨。

  数据来源:同花顺,截至2025年4月22日。基金有风险,投资需谨慎。基金管理人承诺以诚实信用、勤勉尽责的原则管理和运用基金资产,但不保证基金一定盈利,也不保证收益。基金的过往业绩并不预示其未来表现。

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