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迈开腿让我看看你的草莓汁,我该怎么办?面对突如其来的变故,如何应对
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迈开腿让我看看你的草莓汁,我该怎么办?面对突如其来的变故,如何应对

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  2024年年报、2025年一季报披露进入高峰期,上市公司的业绩、机构持仓均浮出水面。有着“聪明钱”之称的QFII(合格境外机构投资者)持仓是投资者最为关注的焦点之一。QFII都在买啥,美国加征关税是否对QFII的持仓造成影响?

  20股获QFII持仓超1%

  整体上来看,披露2024年年报以及2025年一季报的个股中,截至2025年一季度末,QFII期末持仓数量及持仓市值环比均有所提升,持仓市值超过5亿元的有紫金矿业、中国西电、华测检测等,其中中国西电持仓数量大幅提升。

  从2025年一季度末QFII的持仓比例来看,截至2025年4月20日,45股前十大流通股东均有QFII身影,其中20股获持仓超1%,星宸科技、阳光乳业、华测检测等7股持仓超过3%。

  具体来看,星宸科技获QFII持仓比例接近6%,公司是全球领先的视频监控芯片企业。

  阳光乳业前十大流通股东名单中,QFII占据4席,包括瑞士联合银行集团、摩根士丹利国际股份有限公司、TheGoldmanSachsGroup,Inc.以及巴克莱银行有限公司,其中前2家机构对公司进行了增持,巴克莱银行有限公司新进成为公司第十大流通股东,4家机构对阳光乳业持仓比例合计4%以上。阳光乳业在2024年年报中提到,2025年,公司将对自有奶源基地长山牧场和嘉牧牧场进一步加大相关基础设施投入,提升牧场奶牛存栏数量,创新科学养殖技术和饲料科学配比。到2025年底,公司自有牧场力争供给比例达到公司总需求量的40%左右,牧场成母牛单产力争保持在11.5吨/年以上。

  华测检测前十大流通股东出现摩根士丹利国际股份有限公司以及TheGoldmanSachsGroup,Inc.等QFII的身影。与此同时,公司今年一季度还获得陆股通的大幅加仓,截至2025年一季度末,陆股通为公司第一大流通股东,持仓比例超过18%。

  对阳光乳业、华测检测而言,QFII可以说是他们的“耐心资本”,其中华测检测早在2015年就获得QFII持仓,阳光乳业获QFII持仓可追溯至2022年甚至更早。

  14股加仓幅度超过1个百分点

  进一步来看,上述45股中,QFII2025年一季度末持仓比例较2024年末加仓的个股多达38只,占QFII持仓个股数量比例超过八成,其中机械设备、基础化工及电力设备公司居多。14只个股加仓幅度超过1个百分点,包括星宸科技、方正电机(维权)、金橙子、宇环数控等。

  方正电机前十大流通股东(2025年一季度末)中新进出现多家QFII机构,包括瑞士联合银行集团、摩根大通证券有限公司等,QFII持仓比例合计超过3%。公司2022年至2024年境外业务收入占比稳超10%,2024年超过19%,创过去3年最高水平。

  金橙子获TheGoldmanSachsGroup,Inc.以及花旗环球金融有限公司新进持有,截至2025年一季度末合计持仓2.72%。公司是国内领先的激光加工控制系统企业之一,境外业务收入占比持续超过20%。

  宇环数控获QFII加仓超过2个百分点,2023年及2024年公司境外业务收入占比维持5%以上,公司在互动平台回复投资者称,公司的精密复合立式磨床成功进入航空航天、轴承等领域,具有一定的进口替代优势。

  银禧科技获QFII加仓也超过2个百分点,公司境外业务收入占比保持10%以上。公司在互动平台回复投资者称,2024年直接出口美国收入占营业收入比重低于3%,美国加关税目前对公司业务有一定的影响但影响不大。

  值得一提的是,QFII持仓的部分个股中,还出现了“中东土豪”的身影,比如阿布达比投资局新进成为紫金矿业第十大流通股东、东方锆业第九大流通股东,这2只个股均属于有色金属行业;科威特政府投资局新进成为英威腾第七大流通股东。目前,紫金矿业市值超过4500亿元,2024年年报显示,公司黄金资源量及产量在主要上市矿企中领先,是名副其实的“大矿主”。

  从市场表现来看,截至4月18日,QFII加仓个股年内平均涨幅接近20%,QFII减仓个股平均跌幅超过4%。加仓个股中,双林股份、晓鸣股份、江天化学涨幅位居前三。7只个股年内股价下跌,天键股份、中国西电、长虹华意跌幅均超过5%;远方信息、宝光股份跌幅超过2%;英威腾、金橙子跌幅在2%以内。

  这些外资加仓股积极回应关税影响

  根据上文数据,QFII持仓个股基本都存在境外业务。连日来在关税风波下,投资者不免对存在境外业务个股未来经营的持续性更加关注。

  从A股公司来看,早前记者在《“002475”,辟谣美国建厂!百余股火速回应稳信心:关税影响有限》梳理发现,部分公司来自美国业务收入占比不低。不过,A股市场以其特有的估值吸引力以及AI技术的崛起,频繁获外资机构看好。不少外资加仓股近期在投资者互动平台纷纷回应关税的影响。

  比如天键股份,自2022年至2024年境外业务收入占比持续超过75%,境外销售区域覆盖亚太、美国、欧洲等地区。根据投资者互动平台信息,公司表示其在美国的销售收入,2022年占比18.31%,2023年占比23.05%,面对美国征收“对等关税”,公司将充分发挥海外生产基地布局的优势,并加大对欧盟等其他国家和地区市场的开拓力度,以减小外部因素对公司生产经营的影响。

  晓鸣股份回应称,公司将持续关注中美贸易情况,审慎考虑可能对公司造成的影响,并采取积极措施,确保公司稳定发展。

  东方锆业回应称,公司对美国出口占比目前不算大,但是随着关税政策的公布,公司前期开拓美国市场付出的努力将不达预期,对公司后续美国市场业务的开展将产生较大的影响。

  英威腾回应称,公司产品出口到美国的业务占整体营收比例很小。

  长虹华意回应称,关于美国所谓“对等关税”对公司海外业务的影响,公司正在作进一步评估。公司将与下游客户一起,持续密切关注相关政策的变化动态,并积极采取应对措施,保障公司稳健经营。

(文章来源:证券时报网)

  周一日本股市下跌,因美国关税及其经济影响的不确定性持续。日经225指数下跌0.5%,报34570.37点。电子和银行股领跌。TDK下跌1.7%,村田制作所下跌1.6%,瑞穗金融集团下跌1.3%,ResonaHoldings下跌1.5%。美元兑日元报141.40日元,较上周五东京股市收盘时的142.33日元大幅下跌。投资者正密切关注与美国关税相关的任何进展,国内财报季将于本周晚些时候开始。

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