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  当地时间4月25日,乌克兰总统泽连斯基回应美国总统特朗普关于“克里米亚应归属俄罗斯”的言论时强调,乌克兰的立场没有改变,只有乌克兰人民有权决定哪些领土属于乌克兰。乌克兰绝不会在法律上承认任何临时被占领土属于俄罗斯。

  泽连斯基表示,乌方在此前于伦敦举行的会谈中回应了美国方面的提议,提出了乌克兰的安全保障设想,类似《北大西洋公约》第五条集体防御条款形式。他表示,相应的建议已经提出,乌克兰正在等待回复。

  泽连斯基还表示,乌克兰是否加入北约并不取决于俄罗斯的意愿,如果乌克兰不加入北约,就必须获得强有力的安全保障。

  据美国《时代》杂志当地时间4月25日报道,美国总统特朗普在接受采访时表示,作为结束俄乌冲突和平提议的一部分,克里米亚将留在俄罗斯,乌克兰总统泽连斯基“理解这一点”。此外,在采访中,特朗普还重申他认为乌克兰希望加入北约是引发与俄罗斯冲突的原因。特朗普表示,他认为乌克兰永远不可能加入北约。

  美方近期不断表态要“退出斡旋”,对俄乌双方频繁施压,特别是呼吁乌克兰接受美国的所谓“和平提议”,该提议框架中包括乌克兰承认克里米亚归属俄罗斯、乌克兰不加入北约等内容。(总台记者王斌王晋燕许弢)

  汇通财经APP讯——现货黄金周五下跌近1%,收于3316.26,金价本周虽然最后收于3300上方,但是本周金价的走势可谓是大起大落,日内的交易多次出现以近100美元的幅度在波动,市场在贸易紧张的局势下,避险情绪高涨,将金价一度推至3500上方。

  而在特朗普就关税单方面的表态缓和后,加之3500关口,投资者多头了结,金价周内最低一度回落至3260附近,在关税陷入僵局当下,特朗普的任何关于关税的言论,并没有降低市场的风险,反而加大了市场的不确定性,加大了金价的波动,今年迄今黄金已上涨逾25%

  道明证券大宗商品策略师DanielGhali表示:“关税明显缓和对金价产生了负面影响,但到目前为止,我们还没有看到大规模的结清头寸。不过,我们知道他们在过去几个交易日中继续逢低买入,因此我们认为黄金可以恢复上涨轨迹。”

  国际货币基金组织(IMF)成员国在一份声明中表示,随着贸易紧张局势加剧,世界经济正处于“关键时刻”。IMF最高咨询机构国际货币与金融委员会(IMF)的“主席声明”也“欢迎为结束战争和冲突所做的持续努力”。由主席沙特阿拉伯财政大臣穆罕默德·贾丹(MohammedAl-Jadaan)起草的公报指出:“世界经济正处于关键时刻,在贸易担忧持续数年之后,贸易紧张局势骤然加剧,加剧了不确定性、市场波动以及经济增长和金融稳定面临的风险。”

  本周特朗普对鲍威尔抨击的言论多次转变也是推动金价大幅波动的一大因素。美国总统特朗普周一表示,除非立即降低利率,否则美国经济可能会放缓,并再度批评美联储主席鲍威尔。鲍威尔表示,在情势更加明朗,显示特朗普的关税计划不会导致通胀持续飙升之前,不应该降息。

  特朗普在“TruthSocial”发帖表示:“随着成本呈现出如此良好的下降趋势,正如我的预测,通胀几乎不可能出现,但可能出现经济放缓,除非‘太迟先生’、大失败者,现在就降息。”

  这番言论,加上特朗普政府有意无意对美联储主席不断施压,导致股市走低、债券收益率上涨,投资者和分析师都在思考,如果特朗普挑起美联储货币政策独立性之争,并试图在鲍威尔剩下一年多一点的任期结束前将其解职可能产生的后果。

  市场担忧如果美国总统特朗普试图解雇美联储主席鲍威尔,削弱对联储抗击通胀和独立性的信心,资产价格将受到重创。

  CVAdvisors首席投资官ElliotDornbusch表示:“如果鲍威尔下台,市场几乎肯定会将其解读为通胀信号,从而可能推高长期利率,并削弱美元作为世界储备货币的地位。”

  但美国总统特朗普周二又表示,他没有罢免美联储主席鲍威尔的计划,但表示他希望降息,“我希望看到他在降低利率方面更加积极主动一些。”为此市场担忧情绪有所缓和,但到周三,特朗普言论再变,表示他还没有给美联储主席鲍威尔打电话,但补充说他可能会打电话。

  国际货币基金组织首席经济学家和欧洲央行行长声援鲍威尔,强调央行必须保持独立性,国际货币基金组织(IMF)首席经济学家古兰沙周二被问及美国总统特朗普对美联储主席鲍威尔的抨击时强调保持央行独立性以维护其对抗通胀的公信力的重要性。

  古兰沙称,各国央行在管理通胀方面面临着一个微妙的时刻,尤其是在美国这样的国家,特朗普对进口商品加征关税预计将刺激通胀。

  他称:“关键是要确保通胀预期保持锚定,确保每个人都相信央行将采取必要行动,有序地推动通胀回到央行的目标水平。”他表示,央行拥有实现这一目标的工具,包括利率工具、保险和管理政策,但其信誉起着核心作用。

  古兰沙在IMF和世界银行春季会议间隙对记者表示:“因此,央行需要保持公信力,而信誉的一部分建立在央行独立性的基础上。因此,从这个角度来看,保持独立性非常重要。”

  欧洲央行行长拉加德在接受CNBC采访时强调了她对鲍威尔的支持,她称:“我们都习惯于以这样或那样的方式承受政治压力。但正如我所说的,我非常尊重他所做的工作,尊重他对工作的忠诚,尊重他尽可能勤勉、严谨地完成使命。对他来说,我想我确信,就像对我一样,使命就是我们的指南针。我们必须完成使命。”

  当被问及白宫试图罢免鲍威尔是否会对市场构成重大风险时,拉加德称,“我不会就市场对假设的反应置评,我希望这些假设不会成为可能。”

  据知情人士透露,美联储主席鲍威尔借全球财长和央行行长会议强调,央行必须免受政治干预,以便能够专注于保持通胀稳定和实现高就业。上述知情人士表示,鲍威尔周五在国际货币基金组织(IMF)面向各国财长和央行行长发表讲话时,慷慨激昂地表达了对央行独立性的维护。会议为闭门性质。鲍威尔的讲话在现场数次引发掌声,随后其他与会官员也发表了同样充满激情的言论。

  美联储周五公布的最新金融稳定报告显示,全球贸易风险上升、总体政策不确定性以及美国债务的可持续性高居美国金融体系潜在风险的榜首。这是自特朗普重返白宫以来,美联储首次对金融风险进行半年一次的调查。

  73%的受访者表示,全球贸易风险是他们最担心的问题,这一比例是11月份报告的两倍多。半数受访者认为,总体政策不确定性是最令人担忧的问题,这一比例较去年同期有所上升。调查还发现,与近期市场动荡相关的问题受到了更多关注,27%的受访者担心美国国债市场的运转,高于去年秋季的17%。外国对美国资产的撤资和美元的价值也在担忧名单上上升。

  本周早些时候,投资者从SPDR黄金股票ETF撤出12.7亿美元,创2011年以来的最大单日资金流出量。与此同时,金价触及3500美元上方的历史高点,这表明可能存在一些获利回吐的因素。2011年,类似的资金流出恰逢黄金上一次超级周期峰值,标志着黄金进入了长期盘整期,直到2020年才得以突破。但这并不能保证这将成为一个转折点,仍有许多利好因素在发挥作用,包括贸易不确定性、避险需求、央行需求以及华尔街对现货金价进一步走高的呼声。

  下周黄金市场将迎来世界黄金协会发布第一季度《黄金需求趋势》报告,加之特朗普周二的上任100日集会,或成为金价选择再度测试3500关口还是自3300继续回落的重要窗口。

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