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  本周,花生现货交易呈现先热后冷的态势。周初受鲁花油厂开收消息影响,下游拿货积极,基层惜售挺价,花生交易价格止跌反弹,有小幅度上涨,但到了本周后期,花生交易趋于稳定,局部价格再次有了承压偏弱的迹象。

  花生行情在本周出现如此明显的转折,更多还是与贸易商的心态有关。

  周初鲁花油厂入市,虽然价格、指标与年前相同,但仍给不少贸易商一定期待,希望随着货源消化带动花生行情回暖。但后续随着油厂交易的深入,油厂收购的积极性并不如之前预期那么高。主力油厂继续严控指标,因出成、酸价、塑化剂等原因退货率明显升高,直接打击了贸易商看涨后市的心态。

  油厂带动行情的期望落空,加上销区继续维持疲软态势,使得花生交易在本周后期再次陷入僵局。采购商拿货疲软,部分中间商有了出货的意愿,使得花生行情再次陷入僵持,局部有了承压表现。

  目前来看,在鲁花油厂入市收购的前提下,花生下有托底,并没有大幅跌价的可能,但在消费以及油厂没有利好的情况下,花生价格上涨显得较为困难,预计后市花生行情仍会以震荡调整为主。

  花生主要产区价格行情

  河南南阳

  河南南阳产区花生交易氛围一般,贸易商随行采购,整体交易价格趋稳。当前白沙麦茬花生统货米4.20元/斤左右,麦茬8个筛精选米价格在4.50-4.55元/斤。

  河南正阳

  河南正阳产区基层花生上货量不多,采购商随行补货,交易价格稳定,变动不大。当前白沙统货米价格多在4.05-4.10元/斤,7个筛上精选米4.35元/斤左右。

  辽宁锦州

  辽宁锦州黑山产区花生上货量仍旧有限,买卖稍显观望,下游随行补货,成交价格稳定。当前白沙花生统货米价格在4.10-4.20元/斤。

  吉林扶余

  吉林扶余产区基层上货有限,贸易商继续随行采购,走货速度尚可,成交价格趋稳。目前内蒙四粒红毛果价格在3.30-3.50元/斤。当地308花生统货米价格4.10-4.15元/斤。

  山东莒南

  山东莒南产区农户上货量一般,下游多以老客户随行补货居多,成交价格稳定。目前白沙统米价格在4.00-4.10元/斤。

  上海市市长龚正今天(4月18日)会见了英伟达总裁兼首席执行官黄仁勋一行。

  欢迎全球知名高科技企业把握中国超大规模市场和上海扩大高水平对外开放的机遇,汇聚全球资源要素,加强与本地企业深度合作,共创科技发展美好未来

  龚正说,上海作为中国的经济中心城市,正以“五个中心”为主攻方向,加快建成具有世界影响力的社会主义现代化国际大都市。集成电路和人工智能是上海重点发展的先导产业,近年来实现了快速发展。上海已成为中国集成电路综合技术实力最强、产业规模最大、产业链最完善的城市。欢迎英伟达等全球知名高科技企业把握中国超大规模市场和上海扩大高水平对外开放的机遇,汇聚全球资源要素,加强与本地企业深度合作,共创科技发展美好未来。上海将一如既往打造市场化、法治化、国际化一流营商环境,助力各类企业实现更好更大发展。

  遵从各国法律,也秉持对中国市场的承诺,并致力于以最好的方式为中国市场提供服务

  黄仁勋说,人工智能发展潜力巨大,各国应加强合作与共享,推动共同进步与世界繁荣。中国市场对英伟达十分重要,不仅因其体量巨大,更在于这里拥有优质的客户群体和良好的产业生态。过去30年,正因为深耕中国市场,英伟达的业务蒸蒸日上。上海是英伟达的重要研发基地,拥有良好的营商环境和产业环境。英伟达遵从各国法律,也秉持对中国市场的承诺,并致力于以最好的方式为中国市场提供服务。

  英伟达公司是全球知名的跨国高科技企业,在芯片开发、图形处理器等领域处于领先地位,在沪设立了研发中心。

  摄影:张春海

  银行板块再走强,全天力挺大盘,工、农、中、建四大行盘中均创出历史新高,兴业银行、厦门银行、长沙银行、招商银行等涨幅居前。

  A股顶流银行ETF(512800)早盘低开后迅速拉升,盘中场内价格一度涨逾1%,收涨0.98%,日线强势9连阳,新一轮向上节奏或已开启。值得注意的是,银行ETF(512800)今日场内收盘价格刷新历史新高!

  从单周表现看,银行ETF(512800)标的中证银行指数累计上涨4.05%,显著跑赢同期三大指数表现。

  注:中证银行指数近5个完整年度涨跌幅为:2024年,34.71%;2023年,-7.27%;2022年,-8.78%;2021年,-4.41%;2020年,-4.23%。指数过往业绩不预示未来表现。

  海外不确定性持续演绎,在股市震荡加剧、债市利率下行的情况下,高股息、低波动的银行板块成为资金关注的“香饽饽”。

主力资金方面,本周银行板块连续5日获增仓,合计达130.56亿元,吸金额高居各行业(申万一级)断层首位,是排名第2的商贸零售两倍有余。险资方面,截至4月17日,年内险资合计举牌上市公司12次,其中银行是布局的重点方向,农业银行、邮储银行、招商银行、中信银行、杭州银行等多家上市银行被举牌。

  银行板块量价双升,究其原因,一方面,上市银行股息率较高,且总体而言公司治理健全,经营风格稳健,具有穿越周期的能力。另一方面是,现阶段上市银行估值总体较低,特别是受到外部冲击的情况下,银行股票的防御属性加上被低估的特征,配置价值突出。

  此外,高股息预期亦有望对银行板块股价形成保护。截至4月17日,银行ETF(512800)跟踪的中证银行指数股息率(近12个月)为6.18%,较国内10年期国债利率1.65%超额达4.53%。

  中泰证券表示,对等关税背景下,银行股红利属性凸显。政策宽松加码,内需领域政策可能对零售信贷需求有提振,降准降息降低银行资金成本。此外,一季度国债收益率上行的趋势面临边际变化,银行板块高股息的性价比提升。建议积极关注银行板块配置价值。

  顺势而起,攻守兼备!看好银行板块配置性价比的投资者可以关注银行ETF(512800)。银行ETF(512800)被动跟踪中证银行指数,成份股囊括A股42家上市银行,近三成仓位布局工商银行、农业银行、交通银行等国有大行,捕捉“高股息”主题机会;约七成仓位聚焦招商银行、兴业银行、江苏银行等高成长性股份行、城商行、农商行,是跟踪银行板块整体行情的高效投资工具。

  数据来源:沪深交易所等。

  风险提示:银行ETF被动跟踪中证银行指数,该指数基日为2004.12.31,发布于2013.7.15。指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整。文中指数成份股仅作展示,个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议,也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估的该基金风险等级为R3-中风险,适宜平衡型(C3)及以上的投资者。任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另,本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的投资建议,亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。基金投资有风险,基金的过往业绩并不代表其未来表现,基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证,基金投资须谨慎。

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