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  华尔街见闻

  在美债收益率飙升至5%的强大压力下,“美债义警”成功“逼停”特朗普关税政策。特朗普坦承:“债券市场非常棘手,我一直在关注它。”EdYardeni称,这是“美债义警”的又一次胜利。

  在美债收益率飙升至5%的强大压力下,美债投资者成功“逼停”特朗普关税政策,再次展示了“美债义警”(bondvigilantes)的强大影响力。

  4月9日,特朗普宣布的大规模进口关税政策生效后,美国国债市场瞬间崩盘。众多债券投资者担忧,关税将加剧通胀并减少外国对美国资产的需求,开始大规模抛售持有的美债,以此向政府施压迫使其改变政策。

  这招奏效了:关税生效仅13小时后,特朗普就宣布暂停加征。他先是软化关税政策立场软化,坦承道:“债券市场非常棘手,我一直在关注它”;后又对鲍威尔的评论发生转变。此后,收益率迅速回落至4.8%左右。

  此前,特朗普对股市抛售和市值蒸发6万亿美元毫不动摇,对国内外反对声音置若罔闻。但面对债券市场的强烈反应、商界领袖劝阻、经济数据警示信号频发等多重压力,特朗普不得不两次“认怂”。

  “美债义警”:政府财政的无形监督者

  资深经济学家EdYardeni将这一转折称为“美债义警”的又一次胜利。这些投资者通过抛售债券来对政府施压,迫使其改变被视为鲁莽的经济管理政策。

  Yardeni在特朗普宣布暂停关税后写道:

  风险提示及免责条款

  市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

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