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厦门市(思明区、海沧区、翔安区、同安区、集美区、湖里区)

  欧元区4月份私营部门活动几乎没有增长,关税不确定性导致对服务业信心下降至近五年低点。

  周三公布的数据显示,S&PGlobal综合采购经理人指数从3月的50.9降至50.1,略高于50的荣枯分界线。分析师此前预测该指数将降至50.2。

  恶化的主要原因是德国,其主要PMI指标意外下降至50以下,为四个月来首次。法国指标也未达到分析师预期,仍低于50。欧洲这两大经济体的服务业意外疲软。

  “这已经把整体经济推向了停滞区域,”汉堡商业银行经济学家CyrusdelaRubia在声明中表示。“新业务下降速度加快表明,这种疲软可能会持续一段时间。然而,德国在基础设施方面的财政支出增加以及整个欧洲的国防支出,最终应该不仅有利于制造业而且还有利于服务业,尽管有一点滞后。”

  对增加公共支出的乐观情绪,尤其是德国,已被对美国总统唐纳德·特朗普关税措施的担忧所取代。外界担心,这些关税将抹去分析师原本就已预测为微弱的今年地区经济增长。

  国际货币基金组织(IMF)周二发布的预测为欧洲描绘了一幅更加黯淡的图景,将欧元区经济今年增速预期从之前的1%下调至仅0.8%。对于德国,修正幅度甚至更大,这家总部位于华盛顿的机构目前预计德国将前所未有地连续第三年无增长。

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