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  欧洲央行实现2%通胀率的任务正接近完成,4月份的通胀数据预计仅略高于该目标。

  根据对32位经济学家的调查,本月消费者价格指数增幅可能放缓至2.1%。下周五公布的核心通胀率预计将升至2.5%。

  欧洲央行决策者最近对通胀持乐观态度。行长拉加德周五再次强调,通胀下降趋势步入正轨,未来通胀料将徘徊在2%的目标附近。法国央行行长FrancoisVilleroydeGalhau更进一步得出结论称,欧洲目前不存在通胀风险。

  凯投宏观首席欧洲经济学家AndrewKenningham表示,4月的企业调查数据表明到目前为止美国关税尚未对欧元区造成太大损害,但我们认为未来几个月将产生显著影响,并已将第二和第三季度欧元区GDP增长预测下调至接近于零。

  欧洲股市连续第四个交易日上涨。

  斯托克欧洲600指数收涨0.4%。建筑和旅游板块涨幅居前,电信板块跌幅最大。

  财报推动部分个股大幅波动。圣戈班股价上涨4.7%,这家建材生产商的收益超出预期。赛峰集团在营收超预期后上涨4.2%。IMCDNV大涨7.6%,此前该公司因首席执行官意外离职引发担忧,但最新业绩更新打消了市场疑虑。

  MartinCurrieInvestmentManagement投资组合经理ZehridOsmani表示,特朗普宣布90天关税暂缓反而加剧了投资者和企业的不确定感。

  Osmani指出:“这种反复无常、方向不断变化的做法,无法激起对投资意向的信心。”

  策略师们同样保持谨慎态度,有三分之一的策略师在4月下调对斯托克欧洲600指数年末目标位的预测,原因正是贸易战带来的市场波动。

  BCAResearch首席欧洲投资策略师MathieuSavary表示,预计蓝筹股欧洲斯托克50指数将向5,500点靠拢,但预计不会突破这一水平。

  “这种喘息将是短暂的。关税仍然处于高位,相关不确定性已对企业与消费者信心造成严重打击,”Savary说。

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