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  随着公募基金2025年一季报密集披露,首批科技主题基金调仓动向浮出水面。

  截至4月16日,朱雀基金、金信基金、中欧基金、永赢基金、长城基金等公募旗下部分科技类权益基金产品一季报已出炉,一季报显示,上述基金继续加码AI产业链,信息技术成重仓方向。

  具体来看,中欧基金冯炉丹管理的中欧数字经济混合一季度维持了较高仓位运作,冯炉丹重点关注AI应用、机器人及智能驾驶、国产AI产业链、AI基础设施以及端侧AI五大核心赛道。前十大重仓股中,信息技术类占据五席,腾讯控股、芯原股份、恒玄科技、翱捷科技、阿里巴巴-W合计占比30.08%;汽车智能化领域布局了小鹏汽车-W、越疆。

  在组合配置上,冯炉丹降低了智能机器人相关标的权重,同时加大了AI应用场景、推理侧基础设施的布局力度。此外,在国产AI产业链方面,从第三方采购方案向大型科技企业自研产业链倾斜。

  永赢信息产业智选混合主要聚焦信息技术领域布局,前十大重仓股涵盖ERP龙头金蝶国际、数据库企业达梦数据、工业软件新星鼎捷数智等,占基金资产净值的比例分别为5.54%、4.72%、4.12%,覆盖AI应用、基础软件、算力基础设施等细分领域。叠加港股通标的中的信息技术配置,信息技术板块的持仓占比接近五成,彰显基金经理对AI产业链的看好。

  长城基金尤国梁管理的长城久嘉创新成长混合保留了部分国产AI算力相关仓位,并基于DeepSeek大模型开源对国内AI应用端发展的显著推动,进一步增加了AI电子终端、智能驾驶及“AI+”等AI应用相关品种的权重。

  整体看,上述基金对AI产业链的配置呈现两大特征:一是信息技术板块占比普遍较高,港股通标的成为重要补充;二是从上游算力向下游应用扩散,AI终端、具身智能等场景获重点加仓。

  面对AI市场的剧烈波动,多位基金经理在一季报中阐述了最新观点。

  中欧基金冯炉丹指出,当前AI产业正面临三大关键转折:首先是AIAgent的商业化突破。未来一年AI代理有望从概念走向实际应用落地。与传统ChatBot(聊天机器人)不同,这类程序能够独立运行、进行多步推理并完成复杂任务,商业模式更为清晰,变现路径更为直接;其次是大模型智能化持续迭代被低估。基座模型在今年下半年的大版本更新值得期待,市场普遍低估了大模型智能化的持续演进能力,尤其是强化学习领域仍存在巨大潜力和提升空间;最后是智能机器人的发展节奏需再评估。智能机器人的长期市场空间毋庸置疑,但量产及短期增长能力被阶段性高估。当前数据积累仍是主要瓶颈,参照智能驾驶技术的发展历程,人形机器人在真实场景中的落地难度更大,商业化进程可能较市场预期更为漫长。

  “展望未来,我们相信,中国企业有能力站到全球人工智能浪潮的前沿。期待看到更多在基础研发端实现重大创新突破的企业,也期待更多公司能够在商业层面率先构建清晰、独特且富有竞争力的AI叙事。”冯炉丹表示。

  不过,永赢基金基金经理王文龙提示,面对AI应用这样一个具有长期向好逻辑的板块,单纯地追高或在市场波动时恐慌离场都不是最优策略。若看好板块未来发展,可以考虑采用定投方式与行业共同成长,熨平短期波动,力争享受行业长期发展的红利。同时,也希望大家能够适当分散投资,从更理性、更长期的角度做好资产配置,不要把资金全部押注到单一产品。

  龙头地产上攻!新城控股领涨近7%,地产ETF(159707)冲高逾2%!高盛:已经看到房地产市场出现了一些企稳迹象

  4月17日,截至9时39分,地产板块表现强劲,中证800地产指数上涨1.99%,成份股方面,新城控股领涨6.85%,滨江集团上涨4.86%,万科A上涨3.13%。热门ETF方面,代表A股龙头地产行情的地产ETF(159707)场内价格上涨2.13%,成交额达919.18万元。

  消息面上,国家统计局16日发布2025年3月份70个大中城市商品住宅销售价格变动情况。70个大中城市中,商品住宅销售价格环比上涨城市个数增加;一线城市商品住宅销售价格环比上涨。

  外资机构方面,高盛首席中国股票策略师刘劲津16日一场机构对话中指出:已经看到房地产市场出现了一些企稳迹象。特别是在一线城市,无论是房价还是土地拍卖活动,最近都表现得相当强劲。预期在接下来的几个月里,房地产市场可能会获得更多支持。

  中银国际表示,短期来看,从4月中旬开始建议重点关注地产板块行情。在中美关税摩擦导致出口承压的背景下,扩内需成为提振经济的关键,二季度货币政策有望进一步宽松,以应对外部的不确定性,而房地产作为内需的重要一环,“止跌回稳”的相关措施将进一步加速推进,本月5年期以上LPR下调概率较高,核心城市的限购限售政策也可能进一步松绑。

  若二季度相关政策落地,该机构预计核心城市市场将继续修复。此外,近期部分核心城市土地市场升温也有助于提振居民置业信心,并对房价形成一定支撑。同时,本月底将召开政治局会议,前期也会有政策博弈带来的板块行情。地产从标的来看,一方面,流动性安全、重仓高能级城市、产品力突出的房企或更具备α属性;另一方面,得益于化债、政策纾困、销售改善等多重逻辑下的困境反转的标的或具备更大的估值修复弹性。

  布局央国企及优质房企,建议重点关注地产ETF(159707)。资料显示,地产ETF(159707)跟踪中证800地产指数,汇集市场13只头部优质房企,在投资方向上具有明显的头部集中度优势,前十大成份股权重超9成,央国企含量高!在行业出清大背景下,龙头地产或更具弹性!

  数据来源:沪深交易所等。

  风险提示:地产ETF被动跟踪中证800地产指数,该指数基日为2004.12.31,发布日期为2012.12.21,指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整,其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。文中指数成份股仅作展示,个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议,也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估的该基金风险等级为R3-中风险,适宜平衡型(C3)及以上投资者。任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另,本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的投资建议,亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。基金投资有风险,基金的过往业绩并不代表其未来表现,基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证,基金投资需谨慎。

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