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4月17日收盘,A股银行板块22只个股飘红。

《国际金融报》记者注意到,上海银行、建设银行、成都银行盘中多次刷新历史最高股价。证券之星数据显示,浦发银行、重庆银行、沪农商行也创下60日新高。今年以来,银行股已获多方资金增持。

受访专家指出,银行股在市场震荡中凸显“压舱石”属性。相较全球主要市场银行板块的表现,A股银行板块表现出了更强的抗跌属性。基于避险需求持续存在、股东增持彰显信心、估值修复空间可观、业绩改善预期明确,银行股仍具备持续上涨的动能。

多只银行股创下新高

延续此前一日多只个股刷新历史高价的涨势,4月17日,A股银行板块超半数个股飘红。

数据显示,截至4月17日收盘,银行板块上涨0.29%,共有22只银行股收涨。个股方面,青农商行和青岛银行以1.69%的涨幅领涨,浦发银行、上海银行、江苏银行涨幅在1%以上。其中,建设银行、上海银行连续两日多次创下股价新高。

《国际金融报》记者注意到,截至4月17日收盘,上海银行和建设银行分别上涨1.25%和0.11%,盘中分别站上历史最高位10.50元/股和9.10元/股。成都银行收跌0.11%,但盘中曾刷新历史最高价17.64元/股。此外,证券之星异动提醒数据显示,浦发银行、重庆银行、沪农商行股价也创下60日新高。

“随着宏观经济复苏态势逐步明朗,市场普遍预期银行业绩将迎来实质性改善,这为板块上涨奠定了坚实的基础。在全球贸易环境不确定性加大的背景下,资本市场风险偏好显著降低,资金加速流向具有低估值、高股息特性的银行板块。”排排网财富研究部副总监刘有华分析指出,“此外,行业层面利好频出,不仅多家银行重要股东相继实施增持,更有部分银行主动推出《估值提升计划》,这些举措有效提振了投资者对银行板块的信心。”

银行业绩方面,截至4月17日下午,已有26家A股上市银行披露了2024年业绩情况。东方证券分析师屈俊基于此前披露的23份年报在研报中指出,总体看来,截至2024年末,上市银行业绩增速边际改善,营收结构趋于优化,息差收窄幅度可控,负债成本优化空间可观。

具备持续上涨动能

在当前外部环境冲击下,银行股韧性凸显。

值得注意的是,今年以来,银行股已获保险、基金等多方资金支持。此外,邮储银行、光大银行、华夏银行等近10家机构的股东、高管也在近期纷纷披露增持计划或已增持,彰显对自家银行股价值和资本市场的信心。

“银行股在市场震荡中凸显‘压舱石’属性。”东北证券银行业首席分析师戚星指出,“年初以来,红利概念内部,银行板块表现出超强韧性。从银行板块内部看,涨跌幅和股息率也呈现明显的正向相关性。”此外,通过梳理几个交易日全球主要市场银行板块的相对表现,戚星认为,国内银行板块表现出更强的抗跌属性,从过往贸易冲突中也可得出类似的结论。

国盛证券分析师马婷婷认为,关税政策或对出口短期带来冲击,但中长期看,国内稳地产、促消费、加大民生保障等扩张性政策有望加速落地,托底经济稳增长,而银行板块受益于政策催化,顺周期主线的个股或有α(超额收益);同时,由于经济修复需要一定的时间,且预计降息仍有空间,红利策略或仍有持续性。

“展望后市,银行股仍具备持续上涨的动能。主要基于以下四点支撑,即避险需求持续存在、股东增持彰显信心、估值修复空间可观、业绩改善预期明确。”刘有华指出,“值得注意的是,中美贸易摩擦对银行业的影响整体可控,其效应更多体现在短期估值波动层面。具体而言,贸易摩擦可能通过抑制贷款需求、影响资产质量等途径对银行股形成压力,但同时也可能带来避险资金流入和政策支持力度加大等积极因素。”

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