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来源:华尔街见闻

西班牙桑坦德银行市值已达到913亿欧元,超越瑞银集团的857亿欧元,成为欧洲大陆市值最高的银行。自4月2日以来,瑞银股价受重创,主要因为它"比其他欧洲银行拥有明显更多的美国市场直接敞口",约三分之一的收入来自美国。

桑坦德超越瑞银成为欧洲大陆最有价值银行,特朗普关税政策成关键触发点。

17日,西班牙桑坦德银行市值已达到913亿欧元,超越瑞银集团的857亿欧元,成为欧洲大陆市值最高的银行。

这一戏剧性转变源于特朗普4月2日宣布的关税政策,引发市场大幅抛售。自该消息公布以来,瑞银股价暴跌近15%,而桑坦德银行股价仅下跌约5%。

晨星分析师JohannScholtz指出,瑞银股价受重创,主要因为它"比其他欧洲银行拥有明显更多的美国市场直接敞口",约三分之一的收入来自美国。

市值排名方面,桑坦德和瑞银之后是法国巴黎银行和意大利裕信银行,市值分别为809亿欧元和789亿欧元。汇丰银行仍是包括英国在内的整个欧洲市值最高的银行,达1378亿英镑。

桑坦德银行逆袭,市值超越瑞银

在2023年收购瑞士信贷(CreditSuisse)之后,瑞银自2023年8月以来一直保持着欧洲大陆市值最大银行的地位,其市值在今年2月一度接近1200亿欧元。然而,近几周来,其股价表现明显逊于欧洲同行。

Vontobel分析师AndreasVenditti补充道:

在经历了利率下降和承诺向股东提供创纪录的回报后,过去一年里,大多数欧元区银行都受益于行业反弹。尽管近期市场动荡,追踪欧元区最大银行的欧洲斯托克银行指数自1月以来仍上涨超过20%。

风险提示及免责条款

市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

  美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周三表示,唐纳德·特朗普总统在关税等方面的重大政策变革,是现代历史上前所未有的,这让美联储陷入了未知的境地。

  鲍威尔在芝加哥经济俱乐部举办的一场活动中称:“这些都是非常根本性的政策变革。对于如何看待这些变革,在现代没有可借鉴的经验。”

  鲍威尔表示,“到目前为止宣布的关税上调幅度,远远超出了预期”,而且围绕关税的持续不确定性可能会对经济造成持久的损害。特朗普的关税政策使美国经济同时面临增长放缓、失业率上升和通货膨胀加剧的局面,而美联储也正面临着近半个世纪以来未曾应对过的状况。

  鲍威尔称:“我们可能会发现自己处于一种具有挑战性的情形中,即我们的双重使命目标之间存在冲突。”

  鲍威尔表示,目前美联储最恰当的做法是按兵不动,直到数据清晰地显示出美国经济对特朗普政策的反应。

  特朗普曾多次声称,外国会承担对他们征收的关税,但鲍威尔周三指出,事实并非如此。

  鲍威尔称,由于特朗普已经实施的关税政策,而且可能还会有更多关税出台,“随着经济放缓,失业率很可能会上升”。

  他还说,“很有可能”,通货膨胀率也会上升。也就是说,关税的一部分负担将“由民众来承担”。

  鲍威尔称,关税几乎肯定会导致物价上涨,但这是否会导致整体通货膨胀水平加速上升以及上升到何种程度,仍然是个未知数。

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