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探险者与蝴蝶:青春期的挑战与成长,如何应对心理变化!
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在宏观经济承压、全球资本市场波动加剧的背景下,A股上市银行提前披露2025年一季度业绩。

4月14日,常熟银行发布2025年第一季度业绩快报显示,该行实现了营业收入、净利润同步增长。此前,交通银行、浦发银行、民生银行、渝农商行、杭州银行等多家A股上市银行在一季报正式发布前主动披露经营数据。

分析人士指出,一季报业绩快报密集发布体现了银行业对冲市场不确定性的市值管理策略,凸显行业的经营韧性。

市值管理对冲不确定性

除常熟银行外,杭州银行、渝农商行也明确披露了2025年一季度的盈利情况。数据显示,2025年一季度,杭州银行实现营业收入99.78亿元,较2024年同期增长2.22%;实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润60.21亿元,较2024年同期增长17.30%。截至2025年3月末,渝农商行实现营业收入72.24亿元,同比增长1.35%;归母净利润37.45亿元,扣非后净利润37.42亿元,增幅分别为6.27%和6.82%;每股收益0.33元。

交通银行称,截至3月末该行境内银行机构人民币各项贷款余额较2024年末增加超过3600亿元,实现了同比多增;利息净收入与净利润均实现同比正增长;资产质量继续保持稳健。

民生银行表示,今年一季度,该行资产负债结构不断优化,存贷款规模稳健增长,净息差稳中改善,营业收入同比增长超过7%,其中净利息收入与净非利息收入均实现同比正增长。

北京财富管理行业协会特约研究员杨海平指出,从已披露数据来看,一季度上市银行整体表现可圈可点。在核心财务指标中,净利润延续稳健增长趋势,营收结构优化特征显现,非息收入占比提升反映出业务多元化转型的成效。资产质量方面,不良贷款率维持在合理区间,拨备覆盖率处于充足水平,表明风险抵补能力持续夯实。尤其在宏观经济承压的背景下,银行业仍展现出较强的经营韧性,盈利稳定性与风险防控能力形成双重支撑。

国信证券方面分析指出,整体来看,银行持续加大对实体经济的支持力度,今年一季度资产及存贷款规模保持稳健增长。同时或受益于负债端结构不断优化、加强存款成本管理、长期限存款逐渐到期重定价等举措,一季度银行息差同比降幅或有所收窄。

杨海平告诉《中国经营报》记者,在当前复杂多变的市场环境下,多家上市银行主动披露一季度经营数据的行为释放出多重信号。从宏观背景看,外部冲击加剧、资本市场波动显著是主要诱因。通过提前释放业绩信息,银行机构不仅回应了市场对行业稳健性的关切,更以实际经营数据对冲不确定性,稳定投资者预期。这一举措本质上属于市值管理行为,通过强化与资本市场的主动沟通,传递资产质量可控、盈利韧性充足等积极信息,有助于平抑非理性波动,维护金融板块整体估值中枢。

另外,杨海平认为,头部银行的示范性披露可能推动行业透明度进一步提升,形成良性市场互动机制。

高股息打底区域龙头掘金

从投资视角看,杨海平分析称,银行股的配置逻辑在当前市场环境中进一步强化。其战略价值主要体现在两方面:一是高股息属性,行业平均股息率显著高于市场基准,为投资者提供安全垫;二是防御属性突出,波动率与市场整体相关性较低,估值长期处于低位。具体标的筛选上,大型银行凭借跨周期经营能力、畅通的资本补充渠道以及系统重要性地位的政策红利,成为中长期配置的核心资产。

国信证券方面分析认为,关税政策或对出口短期带来冲击,但中长期看,国内稳地产、促消费、加大民生保障等扩张性政策有望加速落地,托底经济稳增长,而银行板块受益于政策催化,顺周期主线的个股或有超额回报;同时,由于经济修复需要一定的时间且预计降息仍有空间,红利策略或仍有持续性。

与此同时,杨海平认为,部分优质区域银行亦值得关注,需聚焦公司治理完善、数字化转型领先、风险管控体系健全且扎根经济高韧性区域的标的,此类银行往往在细分市场中具备差异化竞争优势,兼具防御性与成长潜力。

(编辑:朱紫云 审核:何莎莎校对:翟军)

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