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男生被男生C哭是一种什么体验,感受热情的民俗与绚烂的节庆,开启一场视觉盛宴

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核心提要

公司是国产CPU和GPU双赛道领军,将受益于AI算力产业加快发展,看好国产服务器等市场的发展机遇。

核心观点

一、公司概览:“国资背景+国产使命”,高端处理器领军

公司为国内高端处理器领域的头部公司,提供应用于服务器、工作站等计算、存储设备中的高端处理器及相关技术服务。2024年,公司营收91.62亿元,同比+52.40%。公司持续在关键技术领域加大研发投入,2024年研发费用29.10亿元,同比增长31.76%,研发团队在高端处理器设计、验证等关键技术领域实现突破,形成大量自主知识产权。公司兼具高端CPU+GPU双核心,在异构计算趋势下,公司优势有望持续显现。

二、高端处理器行业:AI驱动算力革命,加速卡迎国产化新机遇

1)需求端:海内外大模型迭代,互联网AI及云计算资本开支加大。2024年,OpenAIo1、Claude、Gemini等多模态模型相继诞生。微软、谷歌、腾讯、字节跳动等国内外互联网大厂2024年资本开支大幅增加,预计未来将加大在AI和云计算方面投入。

2)供给端:全球AI芯片出货量提升,国产化进程提速。据Precedence,预期2026年全球AI芯片市场规模477亿美元,2024-2026年CAGR为29.72%,推理芯片占比61%。据IDC,2024上半年,中国加速芯片的市场规模达超过90万张,GPU卡占据80%的市场份额。

三、海光CPU与DCU:对标全球先进水平,持续推动技术创新

1)CPU:CPU细分为海光7000、5000、3000系列产品,兼容国际主流x86处理器架构和技术路线,具有先进的工艺制程、优异的系统架构、丰富的软硬件生态等优势,目前在售产品主要为海光三号。

2)DCU:DCU规划为海光8000系列,GPGPU优势明显,具备大规模并行计算能力,同时兼容“类CUDA”环境。目前深算三号研发进展顺利,性能实现翻倍增长,预计将迅速实现大规模应用。

盈利预测和投资评级

公司是国产CPU和GPU双赛道领军,将受益于AI算力产业加快发展。我们预计2025-2027年公司营业收入分别为155.89/228.43/313.22亿,归母净利润分别为36.6/54.89/74.56亿元,EPS分别为1.57/2.36/3.21元/股,当前股价对应PE分别为90/60/44X,维持“买入”评级。

风险提示:中美博弈加剧、宏观经济影响下游需求、AI算力产业发展不及预期、市场竞争加剧、新品研发不及预期。

主要内容

证券研究报告《海光信息(688041.SH)公司深度报告:高端“CPU+GPU”双卡位,迎自主可控核心驱动》

对外发布时间:2025年4月13日

发布机构:国海证券股份有限公司

本报告分析师:刘熹 

SAC编号:S0350523040001

重要提示

本公众号推送观点和信息仅供国海证券股份有限公司(下称“国海证券”)研究服务客户参考,完整的投资观点应以国海证券研究所发布的完整报告为准。若您非国海证券研究服务客户,为控制投资风险,请取消订阅、接受或使用本公众号中的任何信息。本公众号难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。国海证券不会因订阅本公众号的行为或者收到、阅读本公众号推送内容而视相关人员为客户。

本公众号不是国海证券的研究报告发布平台,只是转发国海证券已发布研究报告的部分观点,订阅者有可能会因缺乏对完整报告的了解或缺乏相关的解读而对资料中的关键假设、评级、目标价等内容产生理解上的歧义,应以国海证券研究所发布的完整报告为准,且须寻求专业人士的指导及解读。

本微信号及其推送内容的版权归国海证券所有,国海证券对本微信号及其推送内容保留一切法律权利。未经国海证券事先书面许可,任何机构或个人不得以任何形式转载、翻版、复制、刊登、发表、修改、仿制或引用本订阅号中的内容,否则将承担相应的法律责任,国海证券就此保留一切法律权利。

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