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第16话想放进来的话就努力吧老狼 - 结识志同道合的朋友,畅享每一杯美酒的魅力!
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  4月17日,在2025国际中文日来临之际,云南师范大学举办“中文礼韵越千年,云师与你阅华章”庆祝活动。来自云南多所高校的上千名中外学生齐聚一堂,通过才艺表演及文化体验活动,共同分享中文的魅力。

  活动现场,来自越南、泰国、印度等国家的留学生,分别带来古筝演奏、中文独唱、印度舞等表演。云南师范大学“和声国际”合唱团的中外学生还以多种语言合唱《茉莉花》。随后,16项中华文化与各国文化体验活动同步展开。不同肤色的学生用中文顺畅交流,共同体验来自云南的鲜花团扇制作、缅甸藤球、中外特色美食与商品等。(白玲)

  经济霸凌损害美国国家信誉(钟声)

  “我看到了未来,它不在美国。”美国《纽约时报》专栏作家托马斯·弗里德曼近日的论断,道出了美国有识之士的普遍担忧:大搞“美国优先”并不会“让美国再次伟大”,美国以邻为壑的经济霸凌行径,终将演变为一场反噬自身的政治经济危机。

  美国是战后国际经济秩序和多边贸易体制的主要建立者,也是最大受益者,理应成为多边贸易体制的守护者。经济全球化和自由贸易让美国政府得以持续获得低成本国际融资,使美国企业能够优化全球资源配置,更让普通美国民众享用到物美价廉的全球商品。然而,美国如今滥施关税,大搞“关税讹诈”,这种掀翻“全球化棋盘”的鲁莽行径,不仅严重侵犯各国正当权益,严重冲击全球经济秩序稳定,更将首先冲击美国自身利益和国家信誉。

  美国政府之所以能以较低利息从国际市场举债,在于美国政府信用支撑的美元避险货币地位。但近期美方肆意加征关税已引发美国股市、债市、汇市恐慌。这种透支信用的行为,正在侵蚀全球投资者对美元资产的信心。美国当前36万亿美元债务中,今年到期的就有9.2万亿美元。如果美方一意孤行升级贸易战,美国借新债还旧债的成本将进一步攀升,最终引发美元信用危机。

  美方幻想通过关税壁垒实现制造业回流,但将关税工具化、武器化,只会破坏全球产业链价值链稳定畅通。全球产业分工是美国企业保持竞争力的关键。正是因为全球分工,美国企业才得以享有各国政策优惠和成本优势,并以丰厚利润反哺美国本土研发创新,这种良性循环造就了美国科技领先地位。美方如今对全球绝大多数国家和地区加征关税,美国企业也深受其害。因为关税将通过产业链供应链逐级传导,加剧供应链断裂与产业空心化风险,增大发展制造业难度,从而削弱美国产业基础,降低美国企业竞争力。正如奥地利经济研究所所长加布里埃尔·费尔贝迈尔所言,美国把自己隔离于全球贸易之外,等于主动放弃了国际分工带来的种种优势,最终可能在全球经济中自我孤立。

  关税战对美国民众的冲击更为直接。长期以来,自由贸易为美国带来大量物美价廉的商品,丰富了美国民众的生活,维持了美国较低的物价水平。受加征关税影响,美国食品、服装、电子产品及日用品等日常消费品零售价格上涨压力明显增大。耶鲁大学预算实验室预测,在其他国家采取反制措施的情况下,美国个人消费支出价格涨幅将扩大至2.1%,美国低、中、高收入家庭平均将损失1300美元、2100美元、5400美元。彼得森国际经济研究所数据显示,90%以上的关税成本将转嫁至美国进口商、下游企业和最终消费者。随着越来越多进口商将加征关税体现在美国消费者的购物小票上,美国国内通货膨胀加剧是必然结果。通胀高企将束缚美联储货币政策空间,并进一步提高美国举债成本。

  “关税正在让美国经济进入寒冬”“贸易战或使美国科技界‘倒退10年’”……美国媒体上这样的观点绝非危言耸听。摩根大通、高盛等机构近期均大幅上调美国经济衰退概率。相关研究认为,美滥施关税及相关国家对美反制,可能拉低美国实际国内生产总值增速1个百分点左右。历史终将证明,关税大棒其实是飞向自身的关税“回旋镖”。

  吹灭别人的灯,并不会让自己更加光明;阻挡别人的路,也不会让自己行得更远。美国迷信实力至上,沉迷于丛林法则,大搞经济霸凌,把自身利益凌驾于各国共同利益之上,是在开历史倒车,更在加速消耗美国的国家信誉。美方应正视国际社会的反对和美国国内的理性声音,摒弃错误做法,回归合作轨道。这才是重振美国经济的正道。

  4月17日,中共中央台办、国务院台办主任宋涛在南京会见中国国民党前主席洪秀柱一行。

  洪秀柱批“台独”分子称,你自己在高空走钢丝,不要拖大家跟着你一起走;你要走绝路,不要拖着2300万人跟着你一起走。洪秀柱表示“台独”是绝对不行的,两岸一定要携手并进,共同谋求两岸的发展,与未来的和平统一。(记者葛勇制作金彤阳)

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