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婚宠宝贝小妻:打造春夏必备的清新妆容!

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衡水市(饶阳县、故城县、景县、阜城县、武强县、武邑县、桃城区、枣强县、冀州区、安平县、深州市)








吕梁市(离石区、中阳县、孝义市、石楼县、岚县、兴县、方山县、柳林县、交城县、交口县、临县、文水县、汾阳市)








菏泽市(巨野县、成武县、东明县、曹县、定陶区、鄄城县、牡丹区、单县、郓城县)








淄博市(沂源县、桓台县、淄川区、高青县、临淄区、张店区、周村区、博山区)








通化市(柳河县、集安市、东昌区、二道江区、辉南县、通化县、梅河口市)








天津市(南开区、滨海新区、东丽区、宁河区、北辰区、和平区、武清区、蓟州区、河北区、河西区、红桥区、宝坻区、河东区、静海区、津南区、西青区)








延安市(黄龙县、志丹县、洛川县、子长市、甘泉县、宜川县、富县、黄陵县、安塞区、宝塔区、延长县、吴起县、延川县)








肇庆市(怀集县、四会市、鼎湖区、高要区、封开县、德庆县、广宁县、端州区)








黑河市(孙吴县、爱辉区、北安市、五大连池市、嫩江市、逊克县)

关税持续反复,新材料领域,我们认为率先受益的为半导体产业链相关材料,具备国产替代和景气度较高双重逻辑,适合中长期关注。细分看,主要有电子化学品、电子特气、靶材、电子树脂、膜材料等细分领域。

行情回顾

新材料指数涨跌幅为-4.9%,跑输沪深300指数2%。观察各子板块,碳纤维指数-5.3%、半导体材料指数-1.9%、OLED材料指数-7.4%、膜材料指数-5.7%、涂料油墨指数-4.4%。本周新材料板块中,实现正收益个股占比为+19.2%,表现占优的个股有石英股份(+42%)、沃顿科技(+16.3%)、泛亚微透(+14.8%)、泰和新材(+12.5%)、华特气体(+7.4%),国产替代标的涨幅靠前。

本周重点关注:新材料国产替代

关税持续反复,新材料领域,我们认为率先受益的为半导体产业链相关材料,具备国产替代和景气度较高双重逻辑,适合中长期关注。细分看,主要有电子化学品、电子特气、靶材、电子树脂、膜材料等细分领域。

长期观点 

1、碳纤维:我们认为目前T300大丝束已处于阶段性底部阶段,但考虑到部分公司仍有产能快速释放,不排除后期继续价格战的可能,但原丝环节的企业仍较少,目前价格战停留在碳纤维环节,单从原丝环节来看,主要系吉林碳谷,上海石化及蓝星等少数几家掌握制备工艺,原丝环节降价可能性不大,建议关注吉林碳谷等。民品T700领域,国内目前主要系中复神鹰及长盛科技两家,中复神鹰为国内龙头产能已达2.85万吨(在建3wt),长期来看,下游新能源领域持续高景气,公司产能扩张有望带动业绩持续释放,预浸料业务如进展顺利后续或带来新增量,建议关注中复神鹰(与化工团队联合覆盖)。 

2、电子材料:我们跟踪的折叠屏手机中UTG环节,在消费电子颓势时折叠手机下游需求仍高增,伴随行业价格带的不断下行,进一步促进下游需求有望实现正向循环。我们持续看好未来3-5年折叠屏手机的持续渗透,我们认为,产业链中的卡脖子环节仍将在一段时间内获得相应溢价。此外我们看好光刻胶及高频高速CCL上游原材料中的国产替代逻辑。重点推荐:世名科技(与化工团队联合覆盖)、凯盛科技(与电子团队联合覆盖)。 

3、新能源材料:光伏方面,下游需求端仍维持较快增速,但产业链各环节扩张较快,我们判断需等待出清。风电方面,目前海风突破层层阻碍,持续放量,风电叶片环节集中度较高,重点推荐时代新材(与电新团队联合覆盖)。

风险提示:下游需求不及预期,行业格局恶化,原材料涨价超预期,关税存在一定不确定性。

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