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 红河哈尼族彝族自治州(弥勒市、泸西县、个旧市、红河县、开远市、金平苗族瑶族傣族自治县、河口瑶族自治县、石屏县、绿春县、屏边苗族自治县、蒙自市、建水县、元阳县)





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普洱市(景东彝族自治县、墨江哈尼族自治县、西盟佤族自治县、江城哈尼族彝族自治县、孟连傣族拉祜族佤族自治县、景谷傣族彝族自治县、思茅区、宁洱哈尼族彝族自治县、澜沧拉祜族自治县、镇沅彝族哈尼族拉祜族自治县)  深圳市(坪山区、光明区、龙华区、罗湖区、盐田区、龙岗区、宝安区、福田区、南山区)









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毕节市(金沙县、威宁彝族回族苗族自治县、黔西市、纳雍县、七星关区、大方县、织金县、赫章县)荆州市(洪湖市、江陵县、松滋市、沙市区、公安县、荆州区、监利市、石首市)









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防城港市(防城区、上思县、港口区、东兴市)









丹东市(元宝区、东港市、振安区、凤城市、振兴区、宽甸满族自治县)









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淮北市(濉溪县、杜集区、烈山区、相山区)

事件:4月16日,春风动力发布2024年报&2025年一季报,2024年实现营收150.38亿元,同比+24.18%,实现归母净利润14.72亿元,同比+46.08%;2025年一季度实现营收42.50亿元,同比+38.86%,实现归母净利润4.23亿元,同比+45.20%。

摩托车业务表现优秀,电动两轮车业务逐步发力:

公司2024年营收150.38亿元,同比+24.18%,其中:1)四轮车销售收入为72.10亿元,同比+10.85%,销量为16.91万台,同比+15.47%,主要由于公司2023年调节库存导致基数较低;2)摩托车内销收入为30.94亿元,同比+44.44%,销量为14.32万台,同比+44.21%,主要由于公司产品力强、持续热销,以及450MT、675SR、800MT-X等新品的上市;3)两轮车外销收入为29.43亿元,同比+30.22%,销量为14.33万台,同比+46.67%,主要由于海外市场的拓展以及产品谱系的补齐;4)极核销售收入为3.97亿元,同比+414.15%,销量为10.60万台,主要由于AE2、AE4、AE5等新品的持续热销,以及渠道数量的加速扩张,2024年渠道数量同比增长接近15倍。

公司2024年综合毛利率为30.06%,同比-2.67pct,主要由于北美市场收入占比的下降,以及极核业务前期毛利率相对较低,其中:1)四轮车的毛利率为36.51%,同比-1.94pct;2)两轮车的毛利率为21.68%,同比-2.41pct。公司2024年的期间费用率为16.53%,同比-4.50pct,其中销售/管理/财务/研发费用率分别同比-3.27/+0.06/-0.48/-0.81pct,销售费用率同比下滑较多主要由于广告促销费用减少以及收入规模增长带来的费用摊薄。公司2024年实现归母净利润14.72亿元,同比+46.08%。

两轮及四轮业务放量、降本增效效果显著,公司2025年Q1业绩优异:

公司2025年Q1实现营收42.50亿元,同比+38.86%,主要由于公司产品的持续热销,以及U10PRO等四轮新品,675NK、700MT、25款450SR等两轮新品陆续上市。根据摩协口径,2025年1-2月公司摩托车销量为3.63万台,同比+40.9%;全地形车销量为2.38万台,同比+26.5%。

公司2025年Q1实现综合毛利率29.73%,考虑到会计准则的变更,相比于2024年略有下滑0.33pct,主要由于极核销量的持续高增长。公司2025年的期间费用率为14.80%,考虑到会计准则的变更,相较于2024年下滑1.73pct,其中销售/管理/财务/研发费用率分别-1.74/+0.04/+0.96/-0.99pct。公司2025年Q1实现归母净利润4.23亿元,同比+45.20%。

长期看,四大核心成长逻辑助力公司高成长:

1)全地形车产品结构改善:公司深耕全地形车行业近二十年,已成为欧洲ATV市占率第一,拥有深厚的品牌、技术、渠道积累。公司近年来加速布局空间更大、价值量更高的UTV及SSV产品,2024年8月上市4款三缸平台新产品,包括2款UTV(U10/U10Pro)、2款SSV(Z10/Z10-4),兼具性能与价格优势,未来高端产品市占率有望持续提升。

2)国内中大排摩托车迎来新品周期:公司深耕中大排摩托车多年,强大的产品打磨能力是公司的核心特质,过往推出新产品成功率很高。公司2024年以来加速完善产品谱系,450MT、675SR、700MT、800MT-X等新品持续热销,公司2024年国内中大排销量为8.28万台,同比+114.5%,市占率达20.83%,同比+9.47pct,未来在国内的销量及市占率仍有望持续提升。

3)中大排摩托车加速出海:全球中大排摩托车市场空间大,公司全球市占率相对较低,仍有较大成长空间。公司中大排摩托车产品力强,在国内市场已得到充分验证,全球化也已取得优异成绩,2024年中大排外销6.69万辆,同比+63.8%。未来随着公司逐步拓展海外市场,以及完善海外产品与渠道布局,出口销量有望保持高速增长。

4)电动两轮车业务逐步发力:电动两轮车行业高端化、智能化趋势明确,公司极核品牌以高端电摩入局,两年成为细分赛道第一,公司近期加速布局主品类航道、主价格航道,2024年以来陆续上市AE2、AE4i、EZ3i、AE5i、MO1i多款踏板电自新产品,覆盖价格带从1万元以上逐步下探至4000元左右,未来有望实现热销。此外,公司加速拓展渠道数量,2024年极核渠道数量同比增长接近15倍。

投资建议:维持“买入-A”评级。我们预计公司2025-2027年净利润分别为18.5/22.9/28.9亿元,对应当前市值,PE分别为12.6/10.1/8.0倍,我们给予公司2025年18倍PE,对应6个月目标价220元/股。

风险提示:新车上市节奏不及预期、汇率及运费等外部环境变化风险、中美贸易环境变化风险。

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