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火影vs海贼,木瓜的完整有限中字解析
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火影vs海贼,木瓜的完整有限中字解析

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  随着上市公司2024年年报和2025年一季报披露稳步推进,作为A股市场重要机构力量的社保基金部分持仓也逐步浮出水面。

  已有逾300家公司年报出现社保基金股东身影

  Wind数据显示,截至发稿,已披露2024年年报的上市公司中,已有逾300家公司前十大股东或前十大流通股东中出现社保基金身影,涉及全国社会保障基金理事会以及数十个社保基金组合。上述社保基金持仓的股票广泛分布在各个行业,若按照申万一级行业划分,医药生物、机械设备、基础化工、电子、电力设备、汽车等行业公司相对更受社保基金青睐,相关行业公司数量相对较多。

  记者梳理发现,截至2024年末,包括常熟银行、太阳纸业、海信视像、巨星科技、赤峰黄金、华鲁恒升在内的逾70家公司背后不止出现一家社保基金组合的身影。

  比如,根据常熟银行2024年年报数据,截至2024年年末,常熟银行前十大股东中就出现全国社保基金110组合、全国社保基金413组合、全国社保基金401组合等社保基金组合身影,另外,嘉实基金管理有限公司—社保基金16042组合也持有8215.58万股常熟银行股票;又如巨星科技前十大股东中出现全国社保基金406组合、全国社保基金418组合、全国社保基金601组合以及全国社保基金115组合的身影,持股数分别达1472万股、1400.03万股、1326.01万股以及1250万股。

  作为国内资本市场最具分量的机构之一,社保基金对上市公司股票的持股市值规模一般相对较大,普遍超过亿元,其中对一些银行、保险、券商的持股市值甚至可能会超过10亿元,这里面不少都属于长期战略持股,持仓很少变动。另外,截至2024年年末,社保基金对于一些行业龙头,比如比亚迪、云铝股份、中国海油、万华化学、新奥股份、华鲁恒升等股票的持股市值也在10亿元以上。

  从持股变动情况来看,2024年年报披露存在社保基金持股的公司中,已有逾80家公司2024年第四季度存在社保基金持股数量增加的情形。比如,截至2024年四季度末,全国社保基金118组合持有1.77亿股中国铝业股票,较2024年三季度末持股数增加数千万股。

  今年一季度社保基金增持多只股票

  在2024年年报披露如火如荼进行之际,目前上市公司2025年一季报也陆续披露,截至发稿,已有超500家上市公司披露2025年一季报,这里面有逾60家公司前十大股东或前十大流通股东中出现社保基金身影。

  相较于2024年末,一些公司背后的社保基金持股数量出现增加。

  比如中国西电披露的2025年一季报显示,2025年一季度末,全国社保基金413组合持有公司股票约2667万股,相较于2024年末2091万股的持股数,增加576万股。

  小商品城披露的2025年一季报显示,2025年一季度末,全国社保基金110组合持有公司股票约3095万股,相较于2024年末2795万股的持股数,增加约300万股。

  除了上述股票外,2025年一季度,山金国际、亿联网络、英维克、南华期货、百亚股份等股票背后也出现社保基金组合持股数增加的情形。

  周二(4月22日),金融科技板块继续上攻,跨境支付概念全天强势,中证金融科技主题指数斩获四连阳。多只成份股大涨,新晨科技一字板,拉卡拉尾盘20CM涨停,信雅达、翠微股份封板,高伟达涨超10%,科蓝软件、新国都、信安世纪、天阳科技、宇信科技、楚天龙等多股涨超5%。

  热门ETF方面,金融科技ETF(159851)全天红盘,场内价格收涨1.24%斩获四连阳,一举站上20日均线,短期市场情绪改善明显。全天成交额达3.38亿元,交投维持活跃。

  消息面上,央行等四部门联合印发《上海国际金融中心进一步提升跨境金融服务便利化行动方案》。其中指出,提升人民币跨境支付系统(CIPS)功能和全球网络覆盖。跨境清算公司增强与金融机构协同联动,共同提升对“走出去”企业的服务水平。推动更多银行加入CIPS,持续扩大CIPS网络覆盖范围。加强CIPS建设,完善系统功能,研究推动区块链技术应用,为人民币计价的全球贸易、航运及投融资提供安全高效的结算清算服务。

  华鑫证券指出,关税政策增加了贸易的不确定性和成本,企业需要更高效、稳定的支付系统来应对复杂的贸易环境。CIPS系统功能不断丰富,业务量稳步增长,网络覆盖的广度和深度持续提升,能够为跨境贸易、投融资、金融市场交易等各类型业务提供安全、高效、便捷的人民币跨境支付服务,建议关注跨境支付相关机会。

  浙商证券也表示,关税博弈与金融安全战的交织,有望重塑全球贸易与支付格局,建议关注人民币国际化进程加速及跨境支付产业链。尽管短期仍面临SWIFT网络效应、人民币接受度等挑战,但技术革新与多边合作的双轮驱动,已为“后美元时代”埋下伏笔。中国有望通过“非美区域”贸易倾斜、人民币国际化三驾马车协同、数字人民币跨境生态构建,以系统化策略突围美元霸权。

  从策略角度,西部证券认为,政策上我国以“以攻为守”逻辑推进科技自主、基建投资、消费升级,并通过数字人民币跨境结算系统连接东盟及中东或将重构全球化规则,受益方向包括跨境支付金融科技、数字货币基建(量子通信、北斗导航)及区域贸易链(中韩自贸区、东盟转口贸易)等,建议中长期聚焦科技自主及新质生产力主线。

  把握跨境支付风口机会,重点关注金融科技ETF(159851)及其联接基金(A类013477、C类013478)。资料显示,金融科技ETF(159851)被动跟踪中证金融科技主题指数,全面覆盖了跨境支付、AI应用、互联网券商、华为鸿蒙、金融IT、信创等热门主题。

  数据来源:沪深交易所等。

  风险提示:金融科技ETF被动跟踪中证金融科技主题指数,该指数基日为2014.6.30,发布日期为2017.6.22,指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整,其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。文中指数成份股仅作展示,个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议,也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估的该基金风险等级为R3-中风险,适宜平衡型(C3)及以上投资者。任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另,本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的投资建议,亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。基金投资有风险,基金的过往业绩并不代表其未来表现,基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证,基金投资须谨慎。

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