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在地缘局势日趋复杂的当下,金融机构助力企业更好地进行全球化布局成为焦点。

4月24日,上海市金融服务企业“走出去”推进大会暨“百园千企送金融”(浦东专场)活动举办。在地缘局势日趋复杂的当下,金融机构助力企业更好地进行全球化布局成为焦点。

也就在前一日,中国人民银行、金融监管总局、国家外汇局和市政府共同发布《上海国际金融中心进一步提升跨境金融服务便利化行动方案》(下称《行动方案》)。上海市委常委、常务副市长吴伟在24日的会议上表示,上海将以《行动方案》出台为契机,进一步强化金融对“走出去”企业和“一带一路”建设的支持能力,形成更加适配外向型经济的金融体系,不断增强上海国际金融中心的竞争力和影响力。

中国银行上海分行行长王晓对记者表示,银行将发挥境内外联动优势,从企业走出去境外开户、跨境结算,到本外币3.0一体化资金池建设,以及上海FT自由贸易账户业务创新等方面积极参与,落地更多新产品,保障企业资金正常回流国内;外汇风险管理也受到关注,金融机构需要助力企业采用各类即远期、期权等方式保值增值,宣传汇率中性理念,推动企业优先用人民币结算。

百园千企送金融

近期,贸易局势越发复杂,据记者了解,多数企业和金融机构也已经加速寻求应对预案。第一步是供应链多元化,部分出口产品回到国内市场或并不适应,因而将供应链向东南亚做重点调整是未来的趋势;第二步则是调整市场结构,从北美市场逐步向东南亚和欧洲市场倾斜;第三步才是出口转内销,现在很多大型直播电商和直播机构都在抓住这个机会,欢迎出口企业的产品进入国内市场。

在这一进程中,金融机构提供的支持至关重要。在24日的仪式期间,国家开发银行上海市分行、进出口银行上海分行、中国银行上海市分行、交通银行上海市分行、浦发银行上海分行与本市“一带一路”企业代表签订项目融资《授信意向书》。

王晓表示,某油田企业在三个国家有五个油田,当前产量100多万吨,未来五年预计超过1000万吨产量。建厂需要大量资金建成千万吨油田,企业希望加大与国内金融机构合作,目前与中国银行、中国信保在哈萨克斯坦有合作项目,期望未来在伊拉克两个油田千万吨产能建设上有更大合作,以响应国家保障能源安全走出去的举措,当天已签约哈萨克斯坦项目融资。

吴伟对做好本市金融服务企业“走出去”提出三点希望:一要强化使命意识,主动担当作为。金融机构要将服务企业“走出去”作为自身发展的重要机遇,以实际行动助力上海不断增强全球金融资源配置能力。各区、各部门、各相关单位要加快推动《行动方案》落地落实,确保每项举措都能转化为企业看得见、摸得着的实际红利。

二要创新服务模式,精准对接需求。金融机构要充分发挥专业优势,有效整合跨境结算、融资信贷、风险管理等多种金融产品和服务,提供涵盖信贷、保险、证券、外汇等在内的综合金融服务,为企业“走出去”提供全方位、一站式金融解决方案。

三要加强协同合作,共建良好生态。各区、各部门、各相关单位要精心组织,尽快形成一批金融服务企业“走出去”创新产品和案例。金融机构要发挥对专业服务业的龙头牵引作用,整体带动法律、仲裁、会计、审计等专业服务机构一起“走出去”。

出口信用保险助企业缓冲关税影响

值得一提的是,在关税冲击下,出口信用保险可以在多个层面帮助中国企业缓冲冲击。在会议期间,中国出口信用保险公司(下称“中国信保”)代表详细介绍了出口信用保险相关业务。

上述代表示,当前,超半数企业(约65%)认为当前美国“对等关税”政策对出口的影响较大,企业面临的主要困难在于:新订单难接(超过70%的反馈)成为最突出的挑战;老订单取消风险(超过40%的反馈)也较为突出,因关税政策暂停发货或取消生产;现金流压力(超过30%的反馈)意味着收款周期拉长;业务中断与裁员压力(约14%的反馈)也不容忽视。

为此,中国信保也通过优化理赔政策,帮助企业应对挑战。例如,为了实现“稳买方”,中国信保优化涉美案件延期报损审批流程;就“保资金”而言,中国信保提升理赔追偿服务响应速度。对新增涉美案件优先勘查、定损。无争议小额涉美案件快速定损核赔,贸易纠纷案件提升处理速度;就“稳价格”而言,涉美拒收类案件,在一定金额内,遵循货物处理与定损核赔同步进行的原则。支持先行赔付,空间换时间避免闪崩式抛售,熨平市场价格波动。

当前,众多外贸企业也尝试拓展内销渠道。对此,对于已投保中国信保的出口信用保险产品的上海外贸企业,中国信保将进一步增加内贸险限额供给,支持产业链重点行业。

未来,拓展更多市场渠道也是关键。中国信保近期出台积极承保政策,支持符合条件的重点行业企业稳定老订单、开发新订单。对符合规模和占比要求企业,且风险管控能力较强的,提高买方自行掌握限额至20万美元,信用证自行掌握限额提高至50万美元。

例如,某光伏企业投建越南光伏组件厂项目,该项目将使企业在海外实现光伏全产业链布局,补齐海外自有组件产能短板,扩大海外供给能力。针对这一项目,中国信保采用买贷保险配套海投险,使用国内信用主体结构,在保障融资行资金安全的同时,提升项目信用级别,支持企业降低融资成本,加快融资进程。

强化“汇率风险中性”概念

近阶段,金融市场波动明显放大,汇率波动更是难以预测,因而企业汇率投机变得越发不可取,此次会议也突出了“汇率风险中性”的重要性。

中国外汇交易中心的代表提及,汇率风险中性是指企业把汇率波动纳入日常的财务决策,聚集主业,尽可能降低汇率波动对主营业务以及企业财务的负面影响。企业是否能够坚持汇率风险中性,直接关系到企业能否实现稳健经营。

非中性的主要表现包括:部分企业持有较大的外风险敞口,但不做套期保值或套期保值比例较低;有些企业应对汇率波动较为被动,没有建立适合自身业务特点的制度,或只在汇率波动加剧时才重视风险管理。还有些企业做套期保值由老板说了算,如果老板不重视汇率风险管理,财务部门就不愿去实施套期保值,汇率风险管理的随机性很大;部分企业存在“追涨杀跌”心态,希望利用外汇衍生品增厚收益或从事套利,偏离主业。个别企业甚至试图通过虚构实需背景累积单方向头寸,严重偏离风险中性原则。

有多位银行交易员对记者表示,在关税战升级背景下,此前各界认为美元必然将升值,展现避险货币的作用,然而此次美元指数自年初至今一度大跌近10%,资金逃离美元资产,反而人民币对美元维持稳健,欧元、日元大涨,这是令人无法预判的结果。因而外汇投机的风险巨大。

业内人士认为,“汇率风险中性”的意识将帮助企业降低经营成本以及利润的不确定性,这是大多数企业汇率风险管理的出发点。同时,这也将减少对企业会计报表和关键财务指标的冲击。一些企业有明确的财务指标要求,如资产负债率要求、每股收益等。企业需要避免或弱化汇率波动对财务报表的冲击,降低违反重要财务指标考核要求的概率。

  由于对商用飞机的强劲需求,3月份美国制成的耐用品订单大幅飙升,但其他领域的活动较为疲软,这很可能是因为企业在关税导致经济前景日益黯淡的背景下持谨慎态度。

  美国商务部普查局周四表示,耐用品(从烤面包机到飞机等使用寿命在三年或更长时间的商品)订单上个月大幅增长了9.2%,2月份的增幅经略微下修后为0.9%。

  接受路透社调查的经济学家此前预计,在2月份此前公布增长1.0%的基础上,耐用品订单将增长2.0%。

  特朗普对几乎所有贸易伙伴普遍征收了10%的关税,并威胁要对进口汽车零部件征收25%的关税。

  一系列关税已被征到其他商品上,包括木材、机动车、钢铁和铝。

  特朗普将这些关税视为一种增加财政收入的工具,以抵消他承诺的减税措施,并重振长期衰退的美国工业基础。但国内制造业严重依赖进口原材料,经济学家警告称,这些关税将破坏供应链。

  受极不稳定的商用飞机订单猛增139.0%的推动,运输设备订单飙升了27.0%。波音公司在其网站上报告称,3月份该公司收到了192架飞机的订单,高于2月份的13架。

  一些航空公司首席执行官表示,他们将推迟飞机交付,而不是支付关税,这可能会破坏波音公司从去年严重罢工中复苏的进程。

  作为衡量企业支出计划的一项备受关注的指标,除去飞机的非国防类资本品订单在2月份经修正后下降0.3%的基础上,3月份小幅增长了0.1%。此前公布的数据显示,2月份这些所谓的核心资本品订单下降了0.2%。

  核心资本品出货量在上个月反弹0.7%后,本月增长了0.3%。这些出货量数据会被纳入国内生产总值报告中企业设备支出部分的计算。企业在设备方面的投资在去年第四季度出现了萎缩。

  对今年1月至3月这一季度的经济增长预估大多低于年化0.5%的增速,经济出现萎缩的可能性很大。去年第四季度经济增长速度为2.4%。

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