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  来源:期货日报

  近日,期货公司陆续公布2024年年报或经营数据。期货日报记者整理发现,2024年期货行业经营环境在经历多次调整的情况下,市场竞争格局分化愈发明显,头部公司继续领跑,中小公司则面临更大的经营压力。

  据记者不完全统计,截至发稿,已有30家期货公司公布了2024年度的经营数据,合计实现净利润63.5亿元,与2023年度的63.6亿元相比,几乎持平。

  上述30家期货公司中,有15家公司的2024年净利润超过1亿元,跻身“亿元俱乐部”。不过,该数量较2023年的16家有所减少。此外,还有期货公司的2024年净利润较2023年下滑超过99%。

  记者发现,在进入“亿元俱乐部”的15家公司中,仅有7家公司实现了净利润同比增长,包括中信期货、国泰君安期货、南华期货、广发期货、申银万国期货、中粮期货和浙商期货,另外8家期货公司的净利润则同比下滑。

  同时,记者发现,在15家净利润不足1亿元的公司中,有6家公司(宏源期货、国海良时期货、弘业期货、宁证期货、东兴期货、创元期货)净利润同比有所增长,但仍有9家公司的净利润出现下滑。紫金天风期货、红塔期货和混沌天成期货3家公司去年则是亏损状态。

  谈及上述期货公司的经营情况,有公司分析认为,主要与2024年期货市场经营环境的变化存在较大关系。

  “尤其是在利率下行、手续费政策调整等因素对行业整体经营环境造成较大冲击的情况下,期货公司的经营压力越发明显。特别是中小型公司,在传统经纪业务收入下滑的同时,利率下行导致的利息收入减少,进一步加剧了其经营压力。”西安交大客座教授景川表示。

  “在上述环境下,行业集中度提升的特征渐渐显现,头部公司通过在国际化业务、金融科技和资产管理等领域的布局,进一步巩固了市场地位。”景川进一步说,以南华期货为例,2024年在主动适应强监管环境的同时,其围绕政策导向寻找发展中的积极因素,归母净利润同比增长13.96%,达到4.58亿元。同样在A股上市的弘业期货,2024年,面对严峻复杂的外部形势,也在大力推动业务转型,实现了跨越式发展。弘业期货年报数据显示,2024年实现营业总收入28.76亿元,同比增长47.99%;净利润2982.62万元,同比增长282.80%。尤其是在大宗商品交易及风险管理业务方面,弘业资本全年围绕期现、做市和场外衍生品三大主业,实现营业总收入25.64亿元,利润总额2082万元。

  记者统计的数据也印证了景川的观点。进入“亿元俱乐部”的15家公司合计实现净利润59.7亿元,占30家公司净利润总合的93.87%,“头部集中”现象明显。

  整体来看,2024年期货公司的经营情况在国际市场不确定性陡增,以及国内各期货交易所手续费返还政策调整和利率自律管理等多重压力下,整体呈现出三个特点:一是市场格局分化显著,头部效应强化;二是行业整体承压,盈利空间收窄;三是业务转型成效分化,依赖手续费竞争的中小机构缺乏差异化的服务能力,利润大幅下滑。

  业内人士认为,期货行业已进入“强者恒强”的深度调整期,机构需摒弃“通道依赖”,向以风险管理为核心的增值服务发力。头部公司应引领行业创新,中小机构则需通过专业化、科技化实现突围,最终形成多层次、互补性的市场生态体系。

  “2025年全球经济或将更加复杂多变,无疑对期货行业提出了新考验,如何抓住机遇寻求发展,将是今年期货行业发展的关键。”景川如是说。

  对此,他建议,期货头部公司可以进一步发挥资源优势,推动国际化业务和创新业务的深度融合,提升综合服务能力。坚持加大金融科技投入,利用大数据和人工智能技术提升服务效率和客户体验。中小型公司则应该聚焦细分市场,开发特色化产品和服务,构建差异化竞争优势。同时要加强风险管理,优化成本结构,提升抗风险能力。总之,无论是头部公司还是中小型公司,只有通过持续创新和差异化发展,才能在行业变革中占据一席之地。

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